NASDAQ: FER

Ferrovial (FER) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Ferrovial SE. Industrial services sector, engineering & construction industry. Market cap $39.92B.

$55.04+0.39 (+0.7%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ferrovial closes at $55.04, up 0.7%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $61.72 and its 200-day average of $66.37, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 14.9%, and it is off 20.5% over three months and 13.3% over six months, though it remains 53.91 to 74.79 within its 52-week range. The GekkoIndex reads 71, placing it in the Buying zone, while price sits 23.2% below the Gekko Fair Value figure of $71.68.

The one notable disclosure this week concerns Engineers Gate Manager LP, which cut its Ferrovial position by 60.6% in the second quarter, selling 27,221 shares and leaving it with 17,720 shares worth $1.22 million, according to its SEC filing.

The next earnings date falls on 27 October 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 25 February 2026 beat estimates ($0.34 actual versus -$0.18 expected) with a 1.5% reaction, part of a run of 3 beats in 3 quarters, though average absolute reactions have run 7.1%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 10.2% gain across 3 years, rising in 2 of them. One billionaire holder is recorded, while insider, Congress and options activity show no data in their respective windows. Consensus analyst targets average $76.6, implying 39.2% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $55.04200-day averageGekko Fair Value $71.68

Key stats

Market cap
$39.92B
P/E ratio
57.5
Forward P/E
39.2
EPS, TTM
$0.95
Revenue, TTM
$9.86B
Profit margin
6.2%
Dividend yield
1.01%
Beta
0.78
Volume
2.70M avg 1.31M
1-year return
−5.1%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.3%
50-day average
$61.72
200-day average
$66.37
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
720.6M
52-week range
$53.91$74.79

Ferrovial swing-trade checklist

Ferrovial scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $55.04 is below the 50-day ($61.72) and 200-day ($66.37) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71, Buying

    Reading 71 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.2% below

    Price is 23.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +10.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +10.2% over 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ferrovial stock chart and price history

Ferrovial closed at $55.04 on Sep 18, 2026, −5.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $53.91 to $74.79.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.9%
3 months
−20.5%
6 months
−13.3%
1 year
−5.1%
The full FER chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FER in Gekko

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About Ferrovial

Ferrovial works across the full lifespan of transport infrastructure and urban services, taking projects from design through construction, financing, operation and maintenance. It is known for building and running large-scale infrastructure assets rather than a single product, serving public and private clients that need transport and related facilities built and kept running over time.

The company groups its work into four areas. Its construction arm plans and delivers public and private projects, including public infrastructure works. A toll roads business develops, funds and manages major roadways, while an airports business builds, invests in and operates aviation facilities. A fourth division, covering energy infrastructure and mobility, promotes, builds and runs power transmission lines and renewable generation plants, and also handles mobility and waste management facilities along with services for the mining sector in Chile.

Ferrovial was established in 1952 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FER.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
ferrovial.com

Ferrovial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ferrovial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71, in the Buying zone, down 1.6 points over five sessions.

010071Buying

Down 1.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)13+1.9%+4.5%+10.0%+12.7%
Accumulation129+1.1%+2.2%+4.2%+5.5%
Neutral418+0.2%+0.4%+0.9%+4.2%
Distribution24−0.5%−1.5%−0.4%+5.9%
Selling0Not available

Average FER share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FER price, zone by zone.Track FER in Gekko

Is Ferrovial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ferrovial trades 23.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.68, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ferrovial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$71.68

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

23.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FER in Gekko

Ferrovial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ferrovial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FER in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FER insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FER in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FER were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FER, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FER in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds FER.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ferrovial earnings: next date and track record

Ferrovial reports on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 3 reports.

3 of 3reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−18.8%Oct ’21−23.1%Mar ’22−3.9%Jul ’24−2.5%Oct ’24+3.4%Feb ’25−1.9%May ’25−1.5%Jul ’25+1.5%Feb ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 25, 2026$0.34
est −$0.18
+293.3%$3.19B
est $2.36B
+35.1%+1.5%
Jul 28, 2025$0.73
est $0.00
$2.63B
est $2.52B
+4.3%−1.5%
May 12, 2025$0.41$2.45B
est $1.98B
+23.6%−1.9%
Feb 25, 2025$3.90
est $0.00
$2.53B
est $2.03B
+24.8%+3.4%
Oct 29, 2024$2.15$2.68B
est $2.27B
+18.1%−2.5%
Jul 30, 2024$0.31$2.57B
est $4.44B
−42.2%−3.9%
Mar 31, 2022$2.03$1.95B−23.1%
Oct 29, 2021$0.12−18.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ferrovial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ferrovial is $76.60, +39.2% from the last close.

$76.60consensus 12-month target, +39.2% from the last close
+10.0%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+10.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ferrovial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ferrovial averaged +10.2% across the last 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+21.6%2023−1.7%2024+10.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.2%2 of 3
Next 10 trading days+8.4%2 of 3
Next 15 trading days+6.7%2 of 3
Next 20 trading days+10.2%2 of 3
Next 30 trading days+6.4%2 of 3

For scale, FER’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.

Ferrovial market cap and key statistics

Ferrovial’s market cap is $39.92B, with a P/E ratio of 57.5 and revenue of $9.86B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$39.92B
P/E ratio
57.5
Forward P/E
39.2
EPS, TTM
$0.95
Gekko Fair Value
$71.68

Trading

Volume
2.70M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.31M
52-week high
$74.79
52-week low
$53.91
Shares outstanding
720.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.86B
Profit margin
6.2%
Return on equity
11.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−52.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.78
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.3%
Dividend yield
1.01%

Ferrovial stock news this week

1 headline about Ferrovial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Ferrovial peers

Ferrovial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services+3.1%Accumulation6.0% above
FIXComfort Systems USA+3.7%Neutral4.4% above
EMEEMCOR+2.6%Accumulation4.1% above
OTISOtis Worldwide−0.3%Accumulation16.0% below
MTZMasTec+1.8%Buying21.5% below
APGAPi+0.4%Accumulation0.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ferrovial stock FAQ

What is Ferrovial’s market cap?

Ferrovial’s market cap is $39.92B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $55.04, with 720.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 57.5.

What is the Ferrovial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ferrovial is $76.60, +39.2% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ferrovial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ferrovial is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $55.04 is 23.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $71.68. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ferrovial report earnings next?

Ferrovial is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.14 per share on revenue of $3.03B.

What is Ferrovial’s 52-week high and low?

Ferrovial’s 52-week high is $74.79 and its 52-week low is $53.91; it closed at $55.04 on Sep 18, 2026, −5.1% over the past year.

Is Ferrovial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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