NASDAQ: FER

Ferrovial (FER) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$58.95+1.41 (+2.5%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Ferrovial closed at $58.95 on 4 November 2026, +2.5% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($54.27) and 200-day ($64.15) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $48.00 to $74.79. The GekkoIndex reads 48.1, in the Neutral zone, down 5.6 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $67.93, so the price is 13.2% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 4 March 2027, 119 days away. Over the last 5 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 1.7% across the report.

A typical daily move is about 2.6%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Ferrovial price vs fair value

$67.93$58.95Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $58.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $67.93

Ferrovial quick facts

Market cap
$42.51B
P/E ratio
31.4
Forward P/E
42.7
EPS, TTM
$1.82
Revenue, TTM
$9.86B
Profit margin
6.2%
Dividend yield
1.01%
Beta
0.76
Volume
2.47M avg 2.48M
1-year return
−5.6%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$54.27
200-day average
$64.15
Next earnings
Mar 4
Shares outstanding
718.8M
52-week range
$48.00$74.79

Ferrovial swing-trade checklist

Ferrovial scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $58.95 sits between the 50-day ($54.27) and 200-day ($64.15) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.1, Neutral

    Reading 48.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    13.2% below

    Price is 13.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 119 days

    Next report Mar 4, 2027, 119 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ferrovial stock chart and price history

Ferrovial closed at $58.95 on Nov 4, 2026, −5.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $48.00 to $74.79.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ferrovial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$55$65$70$75DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct58.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.6%
3 months
−9.8%
6 months
−17.8%
1 year
−5.6%
The full FER chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FER in Gekko

Follow Ferrovial through every session

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About Ferrovial

Ferrovial works across the full lifespan of transport infrastructure and urban services, taking projects from design through construction, financing, operation and maintenance. It is known for building and running large-scale infrastructure assets rather than a single product, serving public and private clients that need transport and related facilities built and kept running over time.

The company groups its work into four areas. Its construction arm plans and delivers public and private projects, including public infrastructure works. A toll roads business develops, funds and manages major roadways, while an airports business builds, invests in and operates aviation facilities. A fourth division, covering energy infrastructure and mobility, promotes, builds and runs power transmission lines and renewable generation plants, and also handles mobility and waste management facilities along with services for the mining sector in Chile.

Ferrovial was established in 1952 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FER.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
ferrovial.com

Ferrovial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ferrovial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.1, in the Neutral zone, down 5.6 points over five sessions.

010048.1Neutral

Down 5.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+0.1%0.0%−2.4%+3.7%
Accumulation146+1.0%+1.5%+2.4%+2.0%
Neutral (current zone)418+0.2%+0.4%+0.9%+3.4%
Distribution24−0.5%−1.5%−0.4%+5.9%
Selling0Not available

Average FER share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FER price, zone by zone.Track FER in Gekko

Is Ferrovial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ferrovial trades 13.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $67.93, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ferrovial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$67.93

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

13.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 21.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$68$58Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FER in Gekko

Ferrovial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ferrovial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FER in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FER insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FER in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FER were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FER, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FER in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds FER.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ferrovial earnings: next date and track record

Ferrovial reports on Mar 4, 2027 (119 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports.

5 of 5reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.7%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.9%Jul ’24−2.5%Oct ’24−0.4%Feb ’25−1.9%May ’25−0.3%Jul ’25−2.8%Oct ’25+1.5%Feb ’26−0.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ferrovial reported strong H1 2026 performance led by North American highways with outstanding revenue growth. 407 ETR revenue grew 18.7% with EBITDA up 24.4%, distributing CAD 500M in dividends with CAD 550M more approved for Q3. Dallas Fort Worth managed lanes posted double-digit EBITDA growth (NTE +14.7%, LBJ +15.2%, NTE35W +18.6%). I-66 traffic grew 8.5% with revenue up 17.9%. Net cash position stands at EUR 1.3B excluding infrastructure projects.
Guidance
Ferrovial submitted bids for I-24 Tennessee and I-85 Georgia managed lanes projects with results expected in Q3 2026. JFK Terminal 1 submitted a completion remedial plan targeting March 2027 for Phase DBO. Czech Republic D-certified highway bid was noted as most cost-effective with technical evaluation ongoing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.41
est $0.25
+64.6%$5.37B
est $4.93B
+8.9%−0.5%
Feb 25, 2026$0.34
est −$0.18
+293.3%$3.19B
est $2.36B
+35.1%+1.5%
Oct 28, 2025$0.28
est −$0.21
+233.2%$3.02B
est $2.84B
+6.5%−2.8%
Jul 29, 2025$0.88
est −$0.21
+518.3%$5.26B
est $5.33B
−1.3%−0.3%
May 12, 2025$0.41—$2.45B
est $1.98B
+23.6%−1.9%
Feb 28, 2025$2.02
est $0.14
+1,325.5%$5.05B
est $2.11B
+139.9%−0.4%
Oct 29, 2024$2.15—$2.68B
est $2.27B
+18.1%−2.5%
Jul 30, 2024$0.31—$2.57B
est $4.44B
−42.2%−3.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ferrovial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ferrovial is $72.60, +23.2% from the last close.

$72.60consensus 12-month target, +23.2% from the last close
+0.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ferrovial market cap and key statistics

Ferrovial’s market cap is $42.51B, with a P/E ratio of 31.4 and revenue of $9.86B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$42.51B
P/E ratio
31.4
Forward P/E
42.7
EPS, TTM
$1.82
Gekko Fair Value
$67.93

Trading

Volume
2.47M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.48M
52-week high
$74.79
52-week low
$48.00
Shares outstanding
718.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.86B
Profit margin
6.2%
Return on equity
11.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−52.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.76
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
1.01%

Ferrovial stock news this week

4 headlines about Ferrovial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Ferrovial peers

Ferrovial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−7.4%Accumulation3.4% below
FIXComfort Systems USA−2.1%Buying25.1% below
OTISOtis Worldwide+1.9%Neutral1.1% below
EMEEMCOR−4.6%Accumulation4.2% below
APGAPi−5.2%Neutral10.3% above
MTZMasTec−10.3%Accumulation21.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Ferrovial stock FAQ

What is Ferrovial’s market cap?

Ferrovial’s market cap is $42.51B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $58.95, with 718.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.4.

What is the Ferrovial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ferrovial is $72.60, +23.2% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ferrovial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ferrovial is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $58.95 is 13.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $67.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ferrovial report earnings next?

Ferrovial is expected to report on Mar 4, 2027 (119 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.14 per share on revenue of $1.84B. Ferrovial beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports, moving 1.7% on average across the report.

What is Ferrovial’s 52-week high and low?

Ferrovial’s 52-week high is $74.79 and its 52-week low is $48.00; it closed at $58.95 on Nov 4, 2026, −5.6% over the past year.

Is Ferrovial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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