Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for STRL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every STRL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STRL in Gekko
NASDAQ: STRL
Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$498.36−13.93 (−2.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySterling Infrastructure eased this week, closing at $498.36 after a 2.72% daily drop. Coverage points to continued digestion of its Q2 results, where EPS of $5.80 beat a $5.01 estimate on revenue up 90.4% to $1.17 billion, alongside its E-Infrastructure growth story tied to data centers and semiconductor campuses. A consensus price target of $690.33 from eight brokerages and comparisons with peer PWR on backlog and valuation also featured, along with a CEO transfer of 40,000 shares into family trusts, described as a gift rather than a sale.
Price sits at $498.36, below both the 50-day average of $536.29 and the 200-day average of $535.48, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 60, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Shares trade 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $557.23, a gap wider than the 5% threshold Gekko treats as notable.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 2 November, 34 days out, beyond a typical holding window. Smart-money activity shows one unusual options signal in the last 30 days, with put premium of $446,000 versus no call premium recorded. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 8.1% from this point in the calendar, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst sentiment remains uniformly bullish, with six firms all rating the stock a buy and a consensus target of $876, implying 75.8% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Sterling Infrastructure price vs fair value
Close $498.36200-day averageGekko Fair Value $557.23
Sterling Infrastructure quick facts
- Market cap
- $15.29B
- P/E ratio
- 36.9
- Forward P/E
- 19.7
- EPS, TTM
- $13.92
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.44B
- Profit margin
- 12.6%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.85
- Volume
- 367,830 avg 548,865
- 1-year return
- +47.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.6%
- 50-day average
- $536.29
- 200-day average
- $535.48
- Next earnings
- Nov 2 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 30.59M
Sterling Infrastructure swing-trade checklist
Sterling Infrastructure scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $498.36 sits between the 50-day ($536.29) and 200-day ($535.48) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60, Accumulation
Reading 60 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
10.6% below
Price is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 34 days
Next report Nov 2, 2026, 34 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Sterling Infrastructure stock chart and price history
Sterling Infrastructure closed at $498.36 on Sep 28, 2026, +47.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $281.58 to $1,005.68.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.6%
- 3 months
- −38.8%
- 6 months
- +18.6%
- 1 year
- +47.3%
The full STRL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open STRL in Gekko
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About Sterling Infrastructure
Sterling Infrastructure works through three separate business lines covering transportation, e-infrastructure, and building solutions. Its transportation arm builds and repairs public works such as highways, bridges, airports, ports, and light rail lines, along with water, wastewater, and storm drainage systems. The e-infrastructure side prepares building sites for large commercial clients, while the building solutions unit handles concrete work for homes and commercial structures, including foundations, parking structures, and elevated slabs. The company's projects reach across much of the country, from the South, Northeast, and Mid-Atlantic to the Rocky Mountain states, California, and Hawaii.
Customers vary by segment. Transportation work is done for state transportation departments, transit authorities, airport and port authorities, water authorities, and railway operators. The site-development business serves companies in e-commerce, data centers, distribution and warehousing, and energy. The concrete segment works with home builders of various sizes as well as developers and general contractors on commercial projects.
Sterling Infrastructure traces back to 1955, when it was known as Sterling Construction Company before taking its current name in 2022. It is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker STRL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Industrial services
- Industry
- Engineering & construction
- Website
- strlco.com
Sterling Infrastructure GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Sterling Infrastructure’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.5 points over five sessions.
60Accumulation
Up 2.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 16 | +3.2% | +7.4% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 191 | +1.5% | +3.5% |
| Neutral | 383 | +2.6% | +10.6% |
| Distribution | 71 | −0.9% | +2.6% |
| Selling | 11 | +0.5% | +7.1% |
Average STRL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STRL price, zone by zone.Track STRL in Gekko
Is Sterling Infrastructure stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Sterling Infrastructure trades 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $557.23, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Sterling Infrastructure shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$557.23
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
10.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STRL in Gekko
Sterling Infrastructure insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sterling Infrastructure, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in STRL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for STRL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STRL in Gekko
Buybacks
Sterling Infrastructure has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $22.98M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.15%
- Trailing four quarters
- $65.61M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 18, $446K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds STRL.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Sterling Infrastructure earnings: next date and track record
Sterling Infrastructure reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (34 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 2, 2026
Expected after the close, 34 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.07
- Revenue estimate
- $1.17B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Sterling Infrastructure reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 90% with adjusted diluted EPS surging 116% to $5.80. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled with margins expanding 150bps to 22%. E-Infrastructure revenue grew 192%, driven by data centers and semiconductor campuses. Signed backlog reached $4.3B (up 116% YoY) with combined backlog of $5.6B and total addressable work pool exceeding $7B.
- Guidance
- Management expressed strong confidence in multiyear outlook supported by $7B+ total work pool visibility, up $2.5B since year-end. Full year 2026 financial guidance details were referenced in accompanying slides. Backlog growth and customer multiyear capital plan visibility underpin continued optimism.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | $5.60 est $5.00 | $1.17B est $969.2M | −9.2% |
| May 4, 2026 | $3.59 est $2.28 | $825.7M est $603.6M | +51.3% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $3.08 est $2.62 | $755.6M est $640.3M | −5.7% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $3.48 est $2.79 | $689.0M est $621.3M | +1.2% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $2.69 est $2.26 | $614.5M est $554.4M | +12.7% |
| May 5, 2025 | $1.63 est $1.46 | $430.9M est $409.1M | +3.8% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $1.46 est $1.31 | $498.8M est $531.3M | +12.4% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $1.97 est $1.71 | $593.7M est $534.1M | +10.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Sterling Infrastructure stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sterling Infrastructure is $876.00, +75.8% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$876.00consensus 12-month target, +75.8% from the last close
Now $498.36Avg $876.00
Low $700High $1,000
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | William Blair | — | — |
| Aug 20 | D.A. Davidson | $700 | +40.5% |
| Aug 20 | Oppenheimer | $700 | +40.5% |
| Aug 5 | Oppenheimer | $950 | +90.6% |
| Aug 5 | KeyBanc | $754 | +51.3% |
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Sterling Infrastructure seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Sterling Infrastructure averaged +8.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +8.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +19.7% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, STRL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.6%.
Sterling Infrastructure market cap and key statistics
Sterling Infrastructure’s market cap is $15.29B, with a P/E ratio of 36.9 and revenue of $3.44B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $15.29B
- P/E ratio
- 36.9
- Forward P/E
- 19.7
- EPS, TTM
- $13.92
- Gekko Fair Value
- $557.23
Trading
- Volume
- 367,830
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 548,865
- 52-week high
- $1,005.68
- 52-week low
- $281.58
- Shares outstanding
- 30.59M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $3.44B
- Profit margin
- 12.6%
- Return on equity
- 40%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +116.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.85
- Typical daily move
- ±5.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.6%
Sterling Infrastructure stock news this week
Coverage of Sterling Infrastructure this week reads positive: 5 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Why Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Dipped More Than Broader Market TodayZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Sterling Infrastructure 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth TodayBenzinga, Sep 28
- Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. $STRL Shares Bought by Envestnet Asset Management Inc.MarketBeat, Sep 26
- Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $690.33 According to AnalystsMarketBeat, Sep 25
- A gift to his children's trusts: Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) CEO transfers 40,000 shares.Stock Titan, Sep 24
- Is Sterling's $130M-$140M CapEx Plan Fuel for Its Next Growth Leg?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 23
Sterling Infrastructure peers
Sterling Infrastructure’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PWRQuanta Services | Neutral | 6.5% above |
| FIXComfort Systems USA | Neutral | 5.6% above |
| FERFerrovial | Accumulation | 20.0% below |
| EMEEMCOR | Neutral | 5.7% above |
| OTISOtis Worldwide | Accumulation | 16.5% below |
| APGAPi | Neutral | 1.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Sterling Infrastructure stock FAQ
What is Sterling Infrastructure’s market cap?
Sterling Infrastructure’s market cap is $15.29B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $498.36, with 30.59M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 36.9.
What is the Sterling Infrastructure stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sterling Infrastructure is $876.00, +75.8% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Sterling Infrastructure stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Sterling Infrastructure is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $498.36 is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $557.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Sterling Infrastructure report earnings next?
Sterling Infrastructure is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (34 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.07 per share on revenue of $1.17B. Sterling Infrastructure beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.3% on average across the report.
What is Sterling Infrastructure’s 52-week high and low?
Sterling Infrastructure’s 52-week high is $1,005.68 and its 52-week low is $281.58; it closed at $498.36 on Sep 28, 2026, +47.3% over the past year.
Is Sterling Infrastructure stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Sterling Infrastructure?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Sterling Infrastructure over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $446K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $446K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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