NYSE: EME

EMCOR (EME) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$639.25−68.18 (−9.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

EMCOR's building services unit grew 4.7% year-over-year to $852 million in the third quarter of 2026, though the segment absorbed a $34 million impairment charge tied to an energy-efficiency performance contracting subsidiary. This followed Q3 results featuring adjusted diluted EPS of $9.60 against a $8.37 estimate and record RPOs, yet both Cantor Fitzgerald and Oppenheimer trimmed price targets, to $920 from $1047 and $1000 from $1200 respectively, while keeping Overweight and Outperform ratings. Broader analyst consensus across 6 firms remains 5 buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $940.5 implying 47.1% upside.

EME closed at $639.25, down 9.6%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $738.06 and 200-day average of $781.78, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return is -22.5%, three-month -20.9%, and six-month -32.3%, against a 52-week range of $564.92 to $951.96. The GekkoIndex reads 67.9, placing EME in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $667.53.

The next earnings date is 25 February 2027, 112 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. In the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.6% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. The average historical 20-day return following an Accumulation reading has been 1.8%, a figure worth keeping in view alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

EMCOR price vs fair value

$667.53$639.25Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $639.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $667.53

EMCOR quick facts

Market cap
$27.99B
P/E ratio
19.7
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$34.59
Revenue, TTM
$19.84B
Profit margin
7.8%
Dividend yield
0.06%
Beta
1.16
Volume
873,224 avg 444,345
1-year return
−5.1%
Typical daily move
±4.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$738.06
200-day average
$781.78
Next earnings
Feb 25
Shares outstanding
43.78M
52-week range
$564.92$951.96

EMCOR swing-trade checklist

EMCOR scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $639.25 is below the 50-day ($738.06) and 200-day ($781.78) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.9, Accumulation

    Reading 67.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 112 days

    Next report Feb 25, 2027, 112 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

EMCOR stock chart and price history

EMCOR closed at $639.25 on Nov 4, 2026, −5.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $564.92 to $951.96.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
EMCOR share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$500$600$700$800$900DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct639.25

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−22.5%
3 months
−20.9%
6 months
−32.3%
1 year
−5.1%
The full EME chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EME in Gekko

Follow EMCOR through every session

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About EMCOR

EMCOR designs, installs and maintains electrical and mechanical systems for buildings and infrastructure, working with clients in both the United States and the United Kingdom. Its electrical projects range from power generation and distribution equipment to lighting, energy-saving upgrades, and specialized instrumentation used in refining, chemical plants and food manufacturing, along with fire alarm, security and communication networks and public works like street lighting, traffic signals and fiber lines. On the mechanical side it handles heating and cooling systems, geothermal setups, ventilation for clean rooms, fire suppression equipment, piping and filtration, water treatment, and heavier industrial jobs such as rigging, millwright work and steel construction.

Beyond building new systems, EMCOR keeps facilities running through ongoing maintenance and operations for businesses and government agencies, emergency repair support for utility and industrial sites, service at military installations, and mobile mechanical crews. It also offers air quality upkeep, cleaning and grounds care, coordination of outside vendors, call center support, and consulting on energy programs and retrofit work, with additional services aimed at oil, gas and petrochemical operators.

The company traces its founding to 1987 and runs its headquarters out of Norwalk, Connecticut. EMCOR trades on the NYSE under the ticker EME.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
emcorgroup.com

EMCOR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

EMCOR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.3 points over five sessions.

010067.9Accumulation

Up 0.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying8Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)207+0.3%+1.1%+1.8%+9.1%
Neutral360+0.8%+1.6%+4.5%+8.3%
Distribution115+2.1%+4.0%+6.0%+12.4%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average EME share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EME price, zone by zone.Track EME in Gekko

Is EMCOR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

EMCOR trades 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $667.53, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what EMCOR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$667.53

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

4.2% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.7% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$668$707Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EME in Gekko

EMCOR insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EMCOR, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EME in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EME insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EME in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

EMCOR has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$188.0M
As a share of market cap
0.67%
Trailing four quarters
$610.6M

From company filings.

EMCOR earnings: next date and track record

EMCOR reports on Feb 25, 2027 (112 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.2%Feb ’25−0.1%Apr ’25−2.3%Jul ’25−13.0%Oct ’25−9.6%Feb ’26+3.2%Apr ’26+18.6%Jul ’26+0.1%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
EMCOR delivered exceptional Q3 2026 results with revenue growth of 28.8% (25.5% organic). Adjusted diluted EPS reached $9.60, up 46% year-over-year. Adjusted operating margin was 10.5%, with electrical construction at 13.3% and mechanical at 12.1%. Operating cash flow was $797 million. Record RPOs of $18.57 billion surged 47% year-over-year, led by data center RPOs of $8.74 billion, more than double prior year.
Guidance
Management highlighted record RPO backlog of $18.57 billion as a strong forward demand indicator. Specific revenue and EPS guidance targets were not yet provided in this excerpt, pending Tony Guzzi's guidance discussion later in the call.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$9.60
est $8.37
+14.7%$5.54B
est $5.19B
+6.8%+0.1%
Jul 30, 2026$9.06
est $7.23
+25.3%$5.15B
est $4.71B
+9.4%+18.6%
Apr 29, 2026$6.84
est $5.90
+15.8%$4.63B
est $4.20B
+10.2%+3.2%
Feb 26, 2026$7.19
est $6.68
+7.6%$4.51B
est $4.28B
+5.4%−9.6%
Oct 30, 2025$6.57
est $6.52
+0.8%$4.30B
est $4.28B
+0.5%−13.0%
Jul 31, 2025$6.72
est $5.77
+16.5%$4.30B
est $4.11B
+4.8%−2.3%
Apr 30, 2025$5.26
est $4.63
+13.7%$3.87B
est $3.78B
+2.2%−0.1%
Feb 26, 2025$6.32
est $5.76
+9.8%$3.77B
est $3.80B
−0.9%+1.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

EMCOR stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for EMCOR is $940.50, +47.1% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$940.50consensus 12-month target, +47.1% from the last close
Low $795High $1,000
Buy5
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4UBSBuy, maintained$925+44.7%
Nov 2OppenheimerBuy, maintained$1,000+56.4%
Nov 2Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$920+43.9%
Nov 2Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$920+43.9%
Oct 30Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$809+26.6%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

EMCOR seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, EMCOR averaged +1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.4%2021+3.3%2022+0.5%2023+10.4%2024−6.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.0%3 of 5

For scale, EME’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

EMCOR market cap and key statistics

EMCOR’s market cap is $27.99B, with a P/E ratio of 19.7 and revenue of $19.84B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$27.99B
P/E ratio
19.7
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$34.59
Gekko Fair Value
$667.53

Trading

Volume
873,224
Avg volume, 20 days
444,345
52-week high
$951.96
52-week low
$564.92
Shares outstanding
43.78M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.84B
Profit margin
7.8%
Return on equity
40.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+37.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.16
Typical daily move
±4.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
Dividend yield
0.06%

EMCOR stock news this week

Coverage of EMCOR this week reads positive: 8 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

EMCOR peers

EMCOR’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−7.4%Accumulation3.4% below
FERFerrovial−1.0%Neutral13.2% below
FIXComfort Systems USA−2.1%Buying25.1% below
OTISOtis Worldwide+1.9%Neutral1.1% below
APGAPi−5.2%Neutral10.3% above
MTZMasTec−10.3%Accumulation21.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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EMCOR stock FAQ

What is EMCOR’s market cap?

EMCOR’s market cap is $27.99B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $639.25, with 43.78M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.7.

What is the EMCOR stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for EMCOR is $940.50, +47.1% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is EMCOR stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate EMCOR is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $639.25 is 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $667.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does EMCOR report earnings next?

EMCOR is expected to report on Feb 25, 2027 (112 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $9.34 per share on revenue of $5.53B. EMCOR beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is EMCOR’s 52-week high and low?

EMCOR’s 52-week high is $951.96 and its 52-week low is $564.92; it closed at $639.25 on Nov 4, 2026, −5.1% over the past year.

Is EMCOR stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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