NYSE: EME

EMCOR (EME) Stock Analysis & Forecast

EMCOR Group, Inc. Industrial services sector, engineering & construction industry. Market cap $33.09B.

$750.09+20.83 (+2.9%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

EMCOR shares close at $750.09, up 2.9%, with the close sitting between the 50-day average of $771.84 and the 200-day average of $765.85. The GekkoIndex reads 61.9, placing EME in the Accumulation zone, and price stands 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $720.37. Over the past year the stock has returned 21.6%, though the past month and three months show declines of 6.9% and 10.3% respectively, and the 52-week range spans $564.92 to $951.96.

Coverage this week centers on EMCOR's exposure to AI-driven data center demand, with commentary grouping EME alongside PWR and CAT as beneficiaries of strong backlogs and growth plans. Separate pieces examine whether the company's 19.6% organic growth and record $17.14 billion in RPOs can stay elevated into 2027, and whether recent acquisitions can expand capabilities across Mechanical and Electrical Construction and Mechanical Services. Bank of America Corp DE disclosed a new stake of 340,421 shares, while Allworth Financial LP trimmed its position by 22.8%, and EMCOR management presented at Morgan Stanley's Laguna Conference and announced participation in an upcoming investor event.

The next earnings report is set for 29 October 2026, 39 days out, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter produced an 18.6% reaction on EPS of $9.06 against an estimate of $7.23, part of eight straight beats. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.8% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 7 firms includes 6 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $1033.29.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $750.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $720.37

Key stats

Market cap
$33.09B
P/E ratio
23
Forward P/E
19.5
EPS, TTM
$31.65
Revenue, TTM
$18.60B
Profit margin
7.7%
Dividend yield
0.09%
Beta
1.13
Volume
848,405 avg 373,870
1-year return
+21.6%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$771.84
200-day average
$765.85
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
44.11M
52-week range
$564.92$951.96

EMCOR swing-trade checklist

EMCOR scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $750.09 sits between the 50-day ($771.84) and 200-day ($765.85) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.9, Accumulation

    Reading 61.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

EMCOR stock chart and price history

EMCOR closed at $750.09 on Sep 18, 2026, +21.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $564.92 to $951.96.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.9%
3 months
−10.3%
6 months
−0.2%
1 year
+21.6%
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About EMCOR

EMCOR designs, installs and maintains electrical and mechanical systems for buildings and infrastructure, working with clients in both the United States and the United Kingdom. Its electrical projects range from power generation and distribution equipment to lighting, energy-saving upgrades, and specialized instrumentation used in refining, chemical plants and food manufacturing, along with fire alarm, security and communication networks and public works like street lighting, traffic signals and fiber lines. On the mechanical side it handles heating and cooling systems, geothermal setups, ventilation for clean rooms, fire suppression equipment, piping and filtration, water treatment, and heavier industrial jobs such as rigging, millwright work and steel construction.

Beyond building new systems, EMCOR keeps facilities running through ongoing maintenance and operations for businesses and government agencies, emergency repair support for utility and industrial sites, service at military installations, and mobile mechanical crews. It also offers air quality upkeep, cleaning and grounds care, coordination of outside vendors, call center support, and consulting on energy programs and retrofit work, with additional services aimed at oil, gas and petrochemical operators.

The company traces its founding to 1987 and runs its headquarters out of Norwalk, Connecticut. EMCOR trades on the NYSE under the ticker EME.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
emcorgroup.com

EMCOR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

EMCOR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.7 points over five sessions.

010061.9Accumulation

Up 2.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying6Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)190+0.5%+1.0%+2.0%+10.1%
Neutral344+1.0%+2.0%+5.0%+9.4%
Distribution115+2.1%+4.0%+6.0%+12.4%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average EME share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EME price, zone by zone.Track EME in Gekko

Is EMCOR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

EMCOR trades 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $720.37, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what EMCOR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$720.37

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

4.1% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EME in Gekko

EMCOR insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EMCOR, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EME in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EME insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EME in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

EMCOR has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$181.4M
As a share of market cap
0.55%
Trailing four quarters
$854.8M

From company filings.

EMCOR earnings: next date and track record

EMCOR reports on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.0%Oct ’24+1.2%Feb ’25−0.1%Apr ’25−2.3%Jul ’25−13.0%Oct ’25−9.6%Feb ’26+3.2%Apr ’26+18.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
EMCOR reported a very strong second quarter 2026 with record quarterly revenues of $5.15 billion (up 19.8% YoY, 19.6% organic), operating income of $547 million (10.6% operating margin) and diluted EPS of $9.06 (up 35% YoY). All segments contributed to growth: Electrical Construction and Mechanical Construction posted particularly strong growth driven largely by data center and network/communications work; Construction combined generated record revenues. Building Services grew modestly. Management highlighted record remaining pro forma obligations (RPOs), strong bookings, disciplined capital allocation, and continued M&A activity (five acquisitions announced) to expand geographic reach and technical capabilities. Management raised full-year 2026 guidance on the back of first-half performance and RPO visibility and reiterated focus on training, safety, contract discipline, and prefabrication/VDC. They also discussed margin dynamics (quarterly mix effects, seasonal patterns), union labor flexibility, opportunities in semiconductors and other high-tech manufacturing, and the cadence/timing of RPO burn. Management expressed confidence in execution while noting some near-term moderation in EPS contribution from acquisition-related amortization and certain seasonal/geopolitical impacts on Industrial Services.
Guidance
Raised full-year 2026 guidance: revenue expected between $20.0 billion and $20.5 billion; diluted EPS expected between $32.00 and $33.25.
Risks flagged
Risks and headwinds mentioned include: seasonal and project-timing effects that can impact margins and RPO burn timing; geopolitical events (Middle East) that could reduce typical refinery turnaround activity and modestly pressure Industrial Services margins in the back half of the year; short-term moderation of EPS from acquisition-related intangible amortization; potential state/local moratoriums on data center builds (though management views tax revenues as a counterbalance); and the need to manage project mix (GMP vs fixed price) and large project execution risk.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$9.06
est $7.23
+25.3%$5.15B
est $4.71B
+9.4%+18.6%
Apr 29, 2026$6.84
est $5.90
+15.8%$4.63B
est $4.20B
+10.2%+3.2%
Feb 26, 2026$7.19
est $6.68
+7.6%$4.51B
est $4.28B
+5.4%−9.6%
Oct 30, 2025$6.57
est $6.52
+0.8%$4.30B
est $4.28B
+0.5%−13.0%
Jul 31, 2025$6.72
est $5.77
+16.5%$4.30B
est $4.11B
+4.8%−2.3%
Apr 30, 2025$5.26
est $4.63
+13.7%$3.87B
est $3.78B
+2.2%−0.1%
Feb 26, 2025$6.32
est $5.76
+9.8%$3.77B
est $3.80B
−0.9%+1.2%
Oct 31, 2024$5.80
est $4.98
+16.5%$3.70B
est $3.77B
−2.0%+5.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

EMCOR stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for EMCOR is $1,033.29, +37.8% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$1,033.29consensus 12-month target, +37.8% from the last close
Low $885High $1,200
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 21William BlairBuy, maintained
Aug 8Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$1,047+39.6%
Jul 31OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$1,200+60.0%
Jul 31UBSBuy, reiterated$1,065+42.0%
Jul 31Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$918+22.4%
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

EMCOR seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, EMCOR averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.7%2021+6.5%2022−4.7%2023+5.5%2024+9.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.9%4 of 5

For scale, EME’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

EMCOR market cap and key statistics

EMCOR’s market cap is $33.09B, with a P/E ratio of 23 and revenue of $18.60B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$33.09B
P/E ratio
23
Forward P/E
19.5
EPS, TTM
$31.65
Gekko Fair Value
$720.37

Trading

Volume
848,405
Avg volume, 20 days
373,870
52-week high
$951.96
52-week low
$564.92
Shares outstanding
44.11M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.60B
Profit margin
7.7%
Return on equity
40.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+34.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.13
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
0.09%

EMCOR stock news this week

6 headlines about EMCOR from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

EMCOR peers

EMCOR’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services+3.1%Accumulation6.0% above
FIXComfort Systems USA+3.7%Neutral4.4% above
FERFerrovial+0.8%Buying23.2% below
OTISOtis Worldwide−0.3%Accumulation16.0% below
MTZMasTec+1.8%Buying21.5% below
APGAPi+0.4%Accumulation0.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

EMCOR stock FAQ

What is EMCOR’s market cap?

EMCOR’s market cap is $33.09B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $750.09, with 44.11M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.

What is the EMCOR stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for EMCOR is $1,033.29, +37.8% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is EMCOR stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate EMCOR is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $750.09 is 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $720.37. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does EMCOR report earnings next?

EMCOR is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $8.33 per share on revenue of $5.19B. EMCOR beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.

What is EMCOR’s 52-week high and low?

EMCOR’s 52-week high is $951.96 and its 52-week low is $564.92; it closed at $750.09 on Sep 18, 2026, +21.6% over the past year.

Is EMCOR stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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