NYSE: AGX

Argan (AGX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$355.21−9.08 (−2.5%)

Gekko Brief

Argan closed at $355.21 on 28 September 2026, -2.5% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($487.61) and 200-day ($515.49) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $255.60 to $805.75. The GekkoIndex reads 68, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $398.69, so the price is 10.9% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 3 December 2026, 65 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 9.3% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 1 Congress purchase and 0 sales. Over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +6.4% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

7 firms rate the stock: 4 buy, 1 hold and 2 sell, with a consensus target of $573.00. A typical daily move is about 5.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.8%. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Argan price vs fair value

$398.69$355.21Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $355.21200-day averageGekko Fair Value $398.69

Argan quick facts

Market cap
$4.98B
P/E ratio
28.7
Forward P/E
16.6
EPS, TTM
$12.68
Revenue, TTM
$1.19B
Profit margin
15.1%
Dividend yield
0.55%
Beta
0.57
Volume
284,505 avg 456,022
1-year return
+37.6%
Typical daily move
±5.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%
50-day average
$487.61
200-day average
$515.49
Next earnings
Dec 3 after close
Shares outstanding
14.03M
52-week range
$255.60$805.75

Argan swing-trade checklist

Argan scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $355.21 is below the 50-day ($487.61) and 200-day ($515.49) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68, Accumulation

    Reading 68 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.9% below

    Price is 10.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 65 days

    Next report Dec 3, 2026, 65 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Argan stock chart and price history

Argan closed at $355.21 on Sep 28, 2026, +37.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $255.60 to $805.75.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Argan share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$400$600$800NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep355.21

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−22.8%
3 months
−55.1%
6 months
−37.3%
1 year
+37.6%
The full AGX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGX in Gekko

Follow Argan through every session

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Argan GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Argan’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.2 points over five sessions.

010068Accumulation

Down 0.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying19+2.3%+0.2%+0.3%+35.9%
Accumulation (current zone)109+3.5%+5.8%+6.5%+32.8%
Neutral475+2.0%+4.1%+9.2%+24.2%
Distribution66−0.8%+0.7%+4.5%+14.9%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average AGX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGX price, zone by zone.Track AGX in Gekko

Is Argan stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Argan trades 10.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $398.69, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Argan shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$398.69

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

10.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGX in Gekko

Argan insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Argan, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AGX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Jul 3
traded Jun 30

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Argan has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$200.0M, Apr 8, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$6.69M
As a share of market cap
0.13%
Trailing four quarters
$12.95M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 1, $659K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold AGX.

0added2opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Argan earnings: next date and track record

Argan reports on Dec 3, 2026, after the close (65 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.2%Dec ’24+15.6%Mar ’25+7.6%Jun ’25−6.8%Sep ’25−10.6%Dec ’25+29.5%Mar ’26+1.2%Jun ’26+1.7%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 2, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Argan reported record Q2 FY2027 revenue of $384 million, with Power segment up 53% ($301M), Industrial up 111% ($76M), and Teledata up 40% ($7M). Net income hit a record $53.3 million ($3.76 diluted EPS) with adjusted EBITDA of $70 million (18.2% margin) and gross margin of 19.3%. The company acquired ValCor Communications to expand Teledata in New England. Balance sheet holds ~$1 billion cash with no debt.
Guidance
Consolidated backlog stands at $2.5 billion as of July 31, 2026, down from $2.9 billion at fiscal year start due to project timing. Pipeline described as 'exceptionally strong' driven by demand for reliable energy resources. No specific revenue or EPS targets provided.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 2, 2026$3.76
est $2.68
+40.3%$384.0M
est $300.5M
+27.8%+1.7%
Jun 4, 2026$3.24
est $2.33
+38.9%$291.0M
est $256.0M
+13.6%+1.2%
Mar 26, 2026$3.47
est $1.99
+74.4%$262.1M
est $255.3M
+2.6%+29.5%
Dec 4, 2025$2.17
est $2.05
+5.9%$251.2M
est $263.8M
−4.8%−10.6%
Sep 4, 2025$2.50
est $1.99
+25.6%$237.7M
est $243.0M
−2.2%−6.8%
Jun 4, 2025$1.60
est $1.09
+46.8%$193.7M
est $193.8M
0.0%+7.6%
Mar 27, 2025$2.22
est $1.15
+93.9%$232.5M
est $197.5M
+17.7%+15.6%
Dec 5, 2024$2.00
est $1.26
+58.7%$257.0M
est $225.6M
+13.9%−1.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Argan stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Argan is $573.00, +61.3% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$573.00consensus 12-month target, +61.3% from the last close
Low $92.10High $800
Buy4
Hold1
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$565+59.1%
Sep 8Bank of America SecuritiesSell, initiated$273−23.1%
Sep 8Piper SandlerSell, initiated$273−23.1%
Sep 4Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, upgraded$700+97.1%
Sep 3Lake StreetBuy, upgraded$600+68.9%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Argan seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Argan averaged +6.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.0%2021+4.6%2022−2.0%2023+29.4%2024+8.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+18.7%4 of 5

For scale, AGX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.

Argan market cap and key statistics

Argan’s market cap is $4.98B, with a P/E ratio of 28.7 and revenue of $1.19B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.98B
P/E ratio
28.7
Forward P/E
16.6
EPS, TTM
$12.68
Gekko Fair Value
$398.69

Trading

Volume
284,505
Avg volume, 20 days
456,022
52-week high
$805.75
52-week low
$255.60
Shares outstanding
14.03M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.19B
Profit margin
15.1%
Return on equity
39.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±5.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%
Dividend yield
0.55%

Argan stock news this week

Coverage of Argan this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Argan peers

Argan’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−0.1%Neutral6.5% above
FIXComfort Systems USA+0.2%Neutral5.6% above
FERFerrovial+0.8%Accumulation20.0% below
EMEEMCOR+0.6%Neutral5.7% above
OTISOtis Worldwide+0.8%Accumulation16.5% below
APGAPi+0.3%Neutral1.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Argan stock FAQ

What is Argan’s market cap?

Argan’s market cap is $4.98B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $355.21, with 14.03M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 28.7.

What is the Argan stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Argan is $573.00, +61.3% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Argan stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Argan is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $355.21 is 10.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $398.69. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Argan report earnings next?

Argan is expected to report on Dec 3, 2026, after the market closes (65 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.12 per share on revenue of $354.4M. Argan beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.

What is Argan’s 52-week high and low?

Argan’s 52-week high is $805.75 and its 52-week low is $255.60; it closed at $355.21 on Sep 28, 2026, +37.6% over the past year.

Is Argan stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Argan?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Argan over the last 30 days, with $659K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 1, 2026 with $659K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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