NASDAQ: EXPO

Exponent (EXPO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$70.67+0.86 (+1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Exponent's recent news centers on the upcoming scheduling of its third-quarter fiscal year 2026 results, confirmed for 29 October 2026 after market close, with the CEO, President, EVP and CFO hosting a conference call. A placeholder stock-forecast article also circulated. Separately, a 13F filing showed Corient Private Wealth LP trimming its stake in Exponent by 81.2% in the second quarter.

Exponent closed at $70.67, up 1.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $68.17 and 200-day average of $66.39, with the shorter average above the longer one. The stock's one-month return stands at 5.1% and its three-month return at 13.8%, within a 52-week range of $51.91 to $81.95. The GekkoIndex reads 50.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 4 points over five days. Price sits 3.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $68.49.

The next earnings date falls on 29 October 2026, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter saw a 1.5% reaction with EPS of $0.60 against a $0.55 estimate, part of a run of 7 beats in the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.9%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.3% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows, and consensus among 4 firms shows 3 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $84.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Exponent price vs fair value

$70.67$68.49Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $70.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $68.49

Exponent quick facts

Market cap
$3.43B
P/E ratio
31.3
Forward P/E
31.6
EPS, TTM
$2.23
Revenue, TTM
$567.1M
Profit margin
19.7%
Dividend yield
1.77%
Beta
0.70
Volume
462,861 avg 567,963
1-year return
+8.3%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
50-day average
$68.17
200-day average
$66.39
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
47.55M
52-week range
$51.91$81.95

Exponent swing-trade checklist

Exponent scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $70.67 is above the 50-day ($68.17) and 200-day ($66.39) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.6, Neutral

    Reading 50.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.2% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.2% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Exponent stock chart and price history

Exponent closed at $70.67 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.91 to $81.95.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Exponent share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$55$60$65$75$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct70.67

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.1%
3 months
+13.8%
6 months
+6.1%
1 year
+8.3%
The full EXPO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EXPO in Gekko

Follow Exponent through every session

Put EXPO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Exponent GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Exponent’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.6, in the Neutral zone, down 4 points over five sessions.

010050.6Neutral

Down 4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying54+1.5%+1.8%+0.9%−1.6%
Accumulation273−0.1%−0.5%−1.1%−1.1%
Neutral (current zone)337−0.4%−0.4%−0.1%−0.6%
Distribution17+0.8%+0.8%−1.0%+4.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average EXPO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EXPO price, zone by zone.Track EXPO in Gekko

Is Exponent stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Exponent trades 3.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $68.49, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Exponent shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$68.49

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

3.2% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$68$70Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EXPO in Gekko

Exponent insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Exponent, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EXPO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EXPO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXPO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in EXPO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for EXPO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXPO in Gekko

Buybacks

Exponent has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$50.00M, Jul 30, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026
$67.38M
As a share of market cap
1.97%
Trailing four quarters
$210.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold EXPO.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Exponent earnings: next date and track record

Exponent reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.5%Oct ’24−1.8%Feb ’25−2.4%May ’25−0.7%Jul ’25+8.3%Oct ’25+13.8%Feb ’26−1.4%Apr ’26+1.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Exponent delivered double-digit revenue and earnings growth in Q2 2026, driven by strong proactive work in AI-enabled product user research studies and utility sector risk management engagements. Reactive work also grew with demand for dispute-related expertise in consumer products, chemicals, and transportation. A large user research study drove higher-than-expected revenue and utilization. The company's multidisciplinary expertise across human factors, biomechanics, engineering, and data science positions it well as AI product complexity increases.
Guidance
No explicit financial guidance, revenue targets, or earnings forecasts were provided in this transcript excerpt. Eric Anderson's financial results and outlook section was referenced but not included in the provided text.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.60
est $0.55
+9.3%$148.9M
est $145.0M
+2.7%+1.5%
Apr 30, 2026$0.59
est $0.61
−3.2%$151.8M
est $149.5M
+1.5%−1.4%
Feb 5, 2026$0.49
est $0.47
+4.3%$129.4M
est $128.1M
+1.0%+13.8%
Oct 30, 2025$0.55
est $0.50
+10.0%$147.1M
est $128.5M
+14.5%+8.3%
Jul 31, 2025$0.52
est $0.48
+8.3%$142.0M
est $132.1M
+7.5%−0.7%
May 1, 2025$0.52
est $0.48
+8.3%$145.5M
est $134.6M
+8.1%−2.4%
Feb 6, 2025$0.46
est $0.40
+15.0%$136.8M
est $119.6M
+14.4%−1.8%
Oct 24, 2024$0.50
est $0.48
+4.2%$136.3M
est $121.0M
+12.7%−9.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Exponent stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Exponent is $84.00, +18.9% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$84.00consensus 12-month target, +18.9% from the last close
Low $72High $90
Buy3
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 30William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 30Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$90+27.4%
Jul 31Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$90+27.4%
Jul 31J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$90+27.4%
Jul 31UBSHold, reiterated$72+1.9%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Exponent seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Exponent averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.6%2021+10.8%2022−18.5%2023−5.9%2024+8.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.9%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.9%3 of 5

For scale, EXPO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.

Exponent market cap and key statistics

Exponent’s market cap is $3.43B, with a P/E ratio of 31.3 and revenue of $567.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.43B
P/E ratio
31.3
Forward P/E
31.6
EPS, TTM
$2.23
Gekko Fair Value
$68.49

Trading

Volume
462,861
Avg volume, 20 days
567,963
52-week high
$81.95
52-week low
$51.91
Shares outstanding
47.55M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$567.1M
Profit margin
19.7%
Return on equity
31.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+15.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.70
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
Dividend yield
1.77%

Exponent stock news this week

3 headlines about Exponent from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Exponent peers

Exponent’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−1.3%Neutral12.7% above
FIXComfort Systems USA−3.6%Neutral4.1% above
FERFerrovial+0.4%Accumulation26.0% below
EMEEMCOR−0.8%Neutral6.5% above
OTISOtis Worldwide+1.2%Neutral15.9% below
APGAPi+0.3%Neutral5.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Exponent stock FAQ

What is Exponent’s market cap?

Exponent’s market cap is $3.43B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $70.67, with 47.55M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 31.3.

What is the Exponent stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Exponent is $84.00, +18.9% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Exponent stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Exponent is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $70.67 is 3.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $68.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Exponent report earnings next?

Exponent is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.60 per share on revenue of $149.5M. Exponent beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.9% on average across the report.

What is Exponent’s 52-week high and low?

Exponent’s 52-week high is $81.95 and its 52-week low is $51.91; it closed at $70.67 on Oct 12, 2026, +8.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $127.61 on Nov 22, 2021.

Is Exponent stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 3 as mixed (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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