NYSE: GVA

Granite Construction (GVA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$115.77+0.69 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Granite Construction moves this week on a mix of operational and valuation news. The company completed the 475-foot Polychrome Pass Bridge in Denali National Park, restoring access along the park road, and joined Plug and Play Tech Center's Real Estate & Construction program to gain access to startups aimed at improving project execution, cost control, and cash generation. Separately, GVA is set to go ex-dividend on 30 September, with a $0.13 per share dividend payable 15 October, and coverage this week has focused on whether shares are undervalued relative to various valuation models.

GVA closed at $115.77, up 0.6%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $120.80 and 200-day average of $127.06, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Over the past month the stock is down 7.2%, and over three months down 27.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.6, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value stands at -11.1%, with fair value at $130.23.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality data covering five years shows an average 20-trading-day return of 1% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 2 buy and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $171.67.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Granite Construction price vs fair value

$130.23$115.77Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $115.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $130.23

Granite Construction quick facts

Market cap
$5.07B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
13.9
EPS, TTM
−$4.32
Revenue, TTM
$4.97B
Profit margin
-3.3%
Dividend yield
0.47%
Beta
1.33
Volume
703,804 avg 524,941
1-year return
+6.6%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
50-day average
$120.80
200-day average
$127.06
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
44.43M
52-week range
$97.26$162.08

Granite Construction swing-trade checklist

Granite Construction scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $115.77 is below the 50-day ($120.80) and 200-day ($127.06) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.6, Accumulation

    Reading 61.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.1% below

    Price is 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Granite Construction stock chart and price history

Granite Construction closed at $115.77 on Sep 28, 2026, +6.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $97.26 to $162.08.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Granite Construction share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep115.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−27.2%
6 months
−2.0%
1 year
+6.6%
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About Granite Construction

Granite Construction builds and restores public infrastructure while also producing the raw materials that go into that work. Its projects span roads, bridges, rail lines, airports, marine structures, dams, reservoirs and aqueducts, along with water systems, mining sites, tunnels, public safety installations, and solar and conventional power facilities. The company is recognized for combining hands-on construction work with the manufacture of the aggregates and asphalt that feed it.

The business runs through two main segments. The Construction segment handles infrastructure and site development, including water projects for municipalities, commercial suppliers, industrial operators and energy firms. The Materials segment makes aggregates and asphalt for use in Granite's own projects and for sale to outside buyers, and also offers site preparation, mining and construction management services. Customers range from federal, state and local government bodies and transportation authorities to schools, developers, utilities, other contractors, manufacturers, retailers, homeowners, farmers and private property owners.

Granite Construction was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Watsonville, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GVA.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
graniteconstruction.com

Granite Construction GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Granite Construction’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions.

010061.6Accumulation

Down 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+0.9%+1.5%+4.7%+12.8%
Accumulation (current zone)157−0.1%+0.4%+1.3%+6.7%
Neutral378+1.1%+2.5%+4.9%+10.0%
Distribution98+0.8%−0.1%−0.4%+2.8%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average GVA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GVA price, zone by zone.Track GVA in Gekko

Is Granite Construction stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Granite Construction trades 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $130.23, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Granite Construction shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$130.23

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

11.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GVA in Gekko

Granite Construction insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Granite Construction, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GVA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GVA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GVA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GVA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GVA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GVA in Gekko

Buybacks

Granite Construction has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$228K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$51.56M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GVA.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Granite Construction earnings: next date and track record

Granite Construction reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.5%Aug ’24+5.4%Oct ’24+0.2%Feb ’25−0.2%May ’25+13.6%Aug ’25−4.1%Nov ’25−1.7%Feb ’26+13.8%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Granite Construction (GVA) reported Q1 2026 results with CAP reaching $7.2 billion, up $200 million from Q4 despite a $300 million reduction from a cancelled California highway project. Federal CAP stands at $1.3 billion, including $640 million in tactical infrastructure projects. The company acquired Kenny Sain Construction, expected to add $150 million in annual revenue at high-teens adjusted EBITDA margins, expanding Utah market presence.
Guidance
Kenny Sain Construction acquisition projected to contribute $150 million annually with accretive high-teens adjusted EBITDA margins. Management views bidding environment as robust across federal, state, local, and private sectors, with federal business positioned for continued growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$0.26
est −$0.73
+135.6%$912.5M
est $782.3M
+16.6%+13.8%
Feb 12, 2026$1.23
est $1.34
−8.2%$1.17B
est $1.15B
+1.5%−1.7%
Nov 6, 2025$2.70
est $2.50
+8.0%$1.43B
est $1.15B
+24.9%−4.1%
Aug 7, 2025$1.93
est $1.77
+9.0%$1.13B
est $1.40B
−19.7%+13.6%
May 1, 2025$0.01
est −$0.43
+102.3%$699.5M
est $1.17B
−40.0%−0.2%
Feb 13, 2025$1.23
est $1.12
+9.8%$977.3M
est $706.7M
+38.3%+0.2%
Oct 31, 2024$2.05
est $2.47
−17.0%$1.28B
est $949.9M
+34.3%+5.4%
Aug 1, 2024$0.97
est $1.39
−30.2%$1.08B
est $1.01B
+7.3%+1.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Granite Construction stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Granite Construction is $171.67, +48.3% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$171.67consensus 12-month target, +48.3% from the last close
Low $119High $200
Buy2
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Goldman SachsSell, maintained$119+2.8%
Jul 31Thompson DavisBuy, maintained$200+72.8%
Jul 31OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$180+55.5%
Jul 31Goldman SachsSell, reiterated$119+2.8%
Jul 10Thompson DavisBuy, reiterated$185+59.8%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Granite Construction seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Granite Construction averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.9%2021+21.5%2022−9.9%2023+3.7%2024−4.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.3%4 of 5

For scale, GVA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.

Granite Construction market cap and key statistics

Granite Construction’s market cap is $5.07B and revenue of $4.97B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.07B
Forward P/E
13.9
EPS, TTM
−$4.32
Gekko Fair Value
$130.23

Trading

Volume
703,804
Avg volume, 20 days
524,941
52-week high
$162.08
52-week low
$97.26
Shares outstanding
44.43M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.97B
Profit margin
-3.3%
Return on equity
-14.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+25.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.33
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
Dividend yield
0.47%

Granite Construction stock news this week

Coverage of Granite Construction this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Granite Construction peers

Granite Construction’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−0.1%Neutral6.5% above
FIXComfort Systems USA+0.2%Neutral5.6% above
FERFerrovial+0.8%Accumulation20.0% below
EMEEMCOR+0.6%Neutral5.7% above
OTISOtis Worldwide+0.8%Accumulation16.5% below
APGAPi+0.3%Neutral1.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Granite Construction stock FAQ

What is Granite Construction’s market cap?

Granite Construction’s market cap is $5.07B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $115.77, with 44.43M shares outstanding.

What is the Granite Construction stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Granite Construction is $171.67, +48.3% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Granite Construction stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Granite Construction is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $115.77 is 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $130.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Granite Construction report earnings next?

Granite Construction is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.40 per share on revenue of $1.70B. Granite Construction beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is Granite Construction’s 52-week high and low?

Granite Construction’s 52-week high is $162.08 and its 52-week low is $97.26; it closed at $115.77 on Sep 28, 2026, +6.6% over the past year.

Is Granite Construction stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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