NYSE: AMRC

Ameresco (AMRC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$20.89−0.44 (−2.1%)
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Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week Ameresco secures a $42 million contract to modernize electric and water metering infrastructure for the City of Columbia, MO, alongside a ribbon-cutting with Roseburg Urban Sanitary Authority celebrating an energy infrastructure project. A separate piece questions whether it is too late to buy after a 5.5% rally, citing GF Value's undervalued read when shares traded at $22.68. A fund ownership filing from Dimensional Fund Advisors also surfaced but is background to these operational and valuation items.

Shares close at $20.89, down 2.1%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $23.29 and the 200-day average of $27.25, with the 50-day beneath the 200-day. The stock is off 12.2% over one month, 16.4% over three months and 47.2% over the past year, within a 52-week range of $18.38 to $44.93. The GekkoIndex reads 62, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $30.40 stands at -31.3%.

Earnings are scheduled for 2 November, 20 days out, falling inside the next 20-trading-day window; the last report produced a 32.6% reaction versus an average absolute move of 21.1% across prior quarters. Smart money shows 8 insider purchases over the last 90 days totaling $1,779,339. Seasonality over this 20-day stretch has averaged -0.3% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus across 10 firms includes 6 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $42.70.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ameresco price vs fair value

$30.40$20.89Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $20.89200-day averageGekko Fair Value $30.40

Ameresco quick facts

Market cap
$1.11B
P/E ratio
39.6
Forward P/E
14
EPS, TTM
$0.53
Revenue, TTM
$2.02B
Profit margin
1.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.62
Volume
264,563 avg 548,322
1-year return
−47.2%
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±13.4%
50-day average
$23.29
200-day average
$27.25
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
35.07M
52-week range
$18.38$44.93

Ameresco swing-trade checklist

Ameresco scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $20.89 is below the 50-day ($23.29) and 200-day ($27.25) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62, Accumulation

    Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.3% below

    Price is 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 8 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ameresco stock chart and price history

Ameresco closed at $20.89 on Oct 12, 2026, −47.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $18.38 to $44.93.

5Y and weekly in Gekko
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ameresco share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20.89

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.2%
3 months
−16.4%
6 months
−15.8%
1 year
−47.2%
The full AMRC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AMRC in Gekko

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About Ameresco

Ameresco builds and installs systems that help businesses, institutions, and government bodies use less energy and shift toward renewable power sources. Its work includes upgrading building equipment such as heating, cooling, and lighting setups so facilities run more efficiently and cost less to operate. The company is also involved in constructing compact power plants that turn renewable resources into electricity, gas, heat, or cooling, and it supplies solar panels and related equipment along with consulting and energy management support.

Internally, Ameresco organizes its activities into four segments covering U.S. regional operations, U.S. federal contracts, Canadian operations, and non-solar distributed generation projects. Once renewable facilities are built, the company often continues running and servicing them, then sells the resulting power, fuel, or thermal output. It also holds a wind energy site in Ireland. Clients range from national, state, and municipal agencies to hospitals, schools, universities, airports, housing authorities, and private commercial or industrial firms. At the end of 2021 the company's holdings included 147 fully owned small power-generation and solar sites.

Ameresco was established in 2000 and is based in Framingham, Massachusetts. The stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker AMRC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
ameresco.com

Ameresco GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ameresco’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.3 points over five sessions.

010062Accumulation

Up 0.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+8.1%+15.0%+10.2%+20.9%
Accumulation (current zone)282−0.2%−0.6%−1.7%0.0%
Neutral332+0.5%+1.0%+4.5%+10.5%
Distribution30−0.5%+1.9%+2.4%+17.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AMRC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AMRC price, zone by zone.Track AMRC in Gekko

Is Ameresco stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ameresco trades 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.40, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ameresco shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$30.40

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

31.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 39.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$30$21Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AMRC in Gekko

Ameresco insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 8 open-market purchases in Ameresco worth $1.78M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.78Min 8 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 1Sakellaris George P
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer		Purchase3,000$66K
Aug 27Sakellaris George P
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer		Purchase4,000$91K
Aug 26Sutton Joseph W.
director		Purchase9,700$202K
Aug 26Sakellaris George P
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer		Purchase5,000$105K
Aug 26Sakellaris George P
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer		Purchase4,062$89K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AMRC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AMRC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AMRC in Gekko

Buybacks

Ameresco has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
$6K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AMRC.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ameresco earnings: next date and track record

Ameresco reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±21.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−17.6%Nov ’24−35.3%Feb ’25+8.3%May ’25+56.8%Aug ’25−8.2%Nov ’25−8.4%Mar ’26−1.8%May ’26+32.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ameresco reported a transformational Q2 2026 with $1.8 billion in record new awards, including $1.2 billion from data centers and $600 million from other markets. The company closed the Neogenyx joint venture with HASI for external capital acceleration, brought online a 250MW battery storage system in Canada, and energized a 560MW solar project in Greece. Ameresco repositioned into two core pillars: power infrastructure and building/public infrastructure.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in long-term profitable growth driven by a robust pipeline. Data center backlog is expected to increase as development progresses and projects convert to contracted backlog. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.20
est $0.20		0.0%$515.5M
est $465.2M		+10.8%+32.6%
May 4, 2026−$0.33
est −$0.29		−13.8%$401.5M
est $362.9M		+10.6%−1.8%
Mar 2, 2026$0.39
est $0.32		+21.9%$581.0M
est $556.1M		+4.5%−8.4%
Nov 3, 2025$0.35
est $0.26		+34.6%$526.0M
est $556.5M		−5.5%−8.2%
Aug 4, 2025$0.27
est $0.06		+350.0%$472.3M
est $517.7M		−8.8%+56.8%
May 5, 2025−$0.11
est −$0.26		+57.7%$352.8M
est $444.5M		−20.6%+8.3%
Feb 27, 2025$0.88
est $0.76		+15.8%$532.7M
est $525.1M		+1.4%−35.3%
Nov 7, 2024$0.33
est $0.47		−29.8%$500.9M
est $526.3M		−4.8%−17.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ameresco stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ameresco is $42.70, +104.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$42.70consensus 12-month target, +104.4% from the last close
Low $32High $62
Buy6
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$36+72.3%
Aug 28Craig-HallumBuy, maintained——
Aug 26Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$36+72.3%
Aug 18Robert W. BairdHold, downgraded$32+53.2%
Aug 13Stifel NicolausBuy, reiterated$38+81.9%
−1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ameresco seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Ameresco averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+65.9%2021−15.0%2022−36.7%2023−4.8%2024−7.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.3%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.1%2 of 5

For scale, AMRC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.4%.

Ameresco market cap and key statistics

Ameresco’s market cap is $1.11B, with a P/E ratio of 39.6 and revenue of $2.02B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.11B
P/E ratio
39.6
Forward P/E
14
EPS, TTM
$0.53
Gekko Fair Value
$30.40

Trading

Volume
264,563
Avg volume, 20 days
548,322
52-week high
$44.93
52-week low
$18.38
Shares outstanding
35.07M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.02B
Profit margin
1.4%
Return on equity
4.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−25.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.62
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±13.4%

Ameresco stock news this week

4 headlines about Ameresco from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Ameresco peers

Ameresco’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−1.3%Neutral12.7% above
FIXComfort Systems USA−3.6%Neutral4.1% above
FERFerrovial+0.4%Accumulation26.0% below
EMEEMCOR−0.8%Neutral6.5% above
OTISOtis Worldwide+1.2%Neutral15.9% below
APGAPi+0.3%Neutral5.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

VZTMUSTBMYINGBCS

Reporting earnings this week

JPMJNJUNHGSWFCC

Popular on Gekko

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Ameresco stock FAQ

What is Ameresco’s market cap?

Ameresco’s market cap is $1.11B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $20.89, with 35.07M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.6.

What is the Ameresco stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ameresco is $42.70, +104.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ameresco stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ameresco is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $20.89 is 31.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ameresco report earnings next?

Ameresco is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.57 per share on revenue of $572.8M. Ameresco beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 21.1% on average across the report.

What is Ameresco’s 52-week high and low?

Ameresco’s 52-week high is $44.93 and its 52-week low is $18.38; it closed at $20.89 on Oct 12, 2026, −47.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $101.86 on Nov 8, 2021.

Is Ameresco stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

Built and overseen by Jared Mann

Founder of Gekko.app. Jared has traded stocks and ETFs for more than 20 years and has a financial industry background.

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