Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TPB in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TPB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TPB in Gekko
NYSE: TPB
Turning Point Brands (TPB) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$56.22−1.16 (−2.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's coverage of Turning Point Brands (TPB) centers on its upcoming Q3 2026 earnings, scheduled for 4 November 2026 before the open, with analysts expecting $0.33 per share on revenue of $146.68 million. A comparison piece also framed TPB alongside Axon Enterprise as a "slumping stock," noting TPB's steady revenue from its Zig-Zag and Stoker's brands within the tobacco and smoking accessories market. Separately, the company's dividend history was noted, with a quarterly payout of $0.08 per share and a yield of 0.56%, alongside seven consecutive years of increases.
TPB closed at $56.22, down 2% on the day and down 21.4% over the past month, with longer-term returns of -29.7% over three months, -32.5% over six months, and -35% over the past year. The price sits below both its 50-day average of $73.56 and 200-day average of $89.75, with the 52-week range spanning $54.69 to $146.90. The GekkoIndex reads 67.4, placing TPB in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $78.09 stands at -28%.
Earnings arrive 22 days out, before the open on 4 November, within a typical 20-trading-day holding window and following a prior quarter where actual EPS of $0.18 beat the $0.12 estimate, producing a 4.1% reaction; TPB has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 11%. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows a mean 20-day return of 6.1%, positive in 3 of those years. Consensus among 5 analysts stands at buy, with a target of $118.50.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Turning Point Brands price vs fair value
Close $56.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.09
Turning Point Brands quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.09B
- P/E ratio
- 24.6
- Forward P/E
- 38.2
- EPS, TTM
- $2.32
- Revenue, TTM
- $507.2M
- Profit margin
- 8.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.54%
- Beta
- 0.97
- Volume
- 251,056 avg 504,750
- 1-year return
- −35.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
- 50-day average
- $73.56
- 200-day average
- $89.75
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 20.05M
Turning Point Brands swing-trade checklist
Turning Point Brands scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $56.22 is below the 50-day ($73.56) and 200-day ($89.75) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.4, Accumulation
Reading 67.4 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
28.0% below
Price is 28% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Turning Point Brands stock chart and price history
Turning Point Brands closed at $56.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −35.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $54.69 to $146.90.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −21.4%
- 3 months
- −29.7%
- 6 months
- −32.5%
- 1 year
- −35.0%
The full TPB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TPB in Gekko
Follow Turning Point Brands through every session
Put TPB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track TPB in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Turning Point Brands
Turning Point Brands builds and sells a mix of branded consumer goods, reaching shoppers through everyday retail channels. The company is perhaps most recognized for Zig-Zag, a line that spans rolling papers, cigarette tubes, pre-rolled cigars, roll-your-own cigar wraps and the accessories that go with them. It also makes moist snuff and loose-leaf chewing tobacco sold under names like Stoker's, Beech-Nut, Durango, Trophy and Wind River, plus CBD isolate, vapor products and other items made without tobacco or nicotine.
Its business runs through three segments: Zig-Zag Products, Stoker's Products and NewGen Products, with the last one selling straight to consumers via the VaporFi site and the VaporBeast outlet. Products reach the market through a mix of wholesalers and retailers, such as convenience stores both independent and chain, shops that specialize in tobacco, grocery stores, pharmacies and larger retail chains.
The company has its main offices in Louisville, Kentucky, and dates back to 1988, when it began under the name North Atlantic Holding Company before being renamed Turning Point Brands in November 2015. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker TPB.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Website
- turningpointbrands.com
Turning Point Brands GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Turning Point Brands’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.6 points over five sessions.
67.4Accumulation
Down 3.6 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 39 | +0.1% | +2.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 156 | −0.1% | +8.1% | ||
| Neutral | 397 | +1.2% | +3.0% | ||
| Distribution | 86 | +1.4% | +1.2% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TPB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TPB price, zone by zone.Track TPB in Gekko
Is Turning Point Brands stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Turning Point Brands trades 28.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.09, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Turning Point Brands shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$78.09
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
28.0% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.2% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TPB in Gekko
Turning Point Brands insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Turning Point Brands, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TPB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TPB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TPB in Gekko
Buybacks
Turning Point Brands has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $1.01M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.09%
- Trailing four quarters
- $4.02M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TPB.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Turning Point Brands earnings: next date and track record
Turning Point Brands reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.33
- Revenue estimate
- $146.7M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.18 est $0.12 | $143.0M est $129.6M | +4.1% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.61 est $0.60 | $124.3M est $115.7M | +15.0% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $0.42 est $0.87 | $121.0M est $120.4M | −21.5% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $1.27 est $0.78 | $119.0M est $120.4M | +5.3% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.98 est $0.79 | $116.6M est $111.0M | +16.0% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.91 est $0.75 | $106.4M est $105.5M | +16.6% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.68 | $93.67M est $93.27M | −8.6% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.87 est $0.72 | $157.5M est $102.3M | +1.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Turning Point Brands stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Turning Point Brands is $118.50, +110.8% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$118.50consensus 12-month target, +110.8% from the last close
Now $56.22Avg $118.50
Low $90High $125
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Oppenheimer | $90 | +60.1% |
| Sep 21 | BTIG | $116 | +106.3% |
| Sep 21 | Alliance Global Partners | $115 | +104.6% |
| Sep 21 | Needham | $125 | +122.3% |
| Aug 10 | BTIG | $116 | +106.3% |
+8.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Turning Point Brands seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Turning Point Brands averaged +6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, TPB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.
Turning Point Brands market cap and key statistics
Turning Point Brands’s market cap is $1.09B, with a P/E ratio of 24.6 and revenue of $507.2M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.09B
- P/E ratio
- 24.6
- Forward P/E
- 38.2
- EPS, TTM
- $2.32
- Gekko Fair Value
- $78.09
Trading
- Volume
- 251,056
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 504,750
- 52-week high
- $146.90
- 52-week low
- $54.69
- Shares outstanding
- 20.05M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $507.2M
- Profit margin
- 8.8%
- Return on equity
- 17.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −77.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.97
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.54%
Turning Point Brands stock news this week
3 headlines about Turning Point Brands from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Axon Enterprise vs. Turning Point Brands: Which Slumping Stock Is a Better Rebound Candidate Right Now?The Motley Fool, Oct 11
- Turning Point Brands (TPB) Dividend Yield 2026, Date & History $TPBMarketBeat, Oct 10
- Turning Point Brands Q3 2026 Earnings Date and EstimatesMarketBeat, Oct 9
Turning Point Brands peers
Turning Point Brands’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PMPhilip Morris International | Neutral | 5.8% above |
| MOAltria | Neutral | 11.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Turning Point Brands stock FAQ
What is Turning Point Brands’s market cap?
Turning Point Brands’s market cap is $1.09B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $56.22, with 20.05M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.6.
What is the Turning Point Brands stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Turning Point Brands is $118.50, +110.8% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Turning Point Brands stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Turning Point Brands is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $56.22 is 28.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Turning Point Brands report earnings next?
Turning Point Brands is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.33 per share on revenue of $146.7M. Turning Point Brands beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 11% on average across the report.
What is Turning Point Brands’s 52-week high and low?
Turning Point Brands’s 52-week high is $146.90 and its 52-week low is $54.69; it closed at $56.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −35.0% over the past year.
Is Turning Point Brands stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Turning Point Brands the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.