NYSE: PM

Philip Morris International (PM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$211.28+3.25 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Philip Morris International closed at $211.28 on 4 November 2026, +1.6% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($195.22) and 200-day ($182.45) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $144.22 to $214.35. The GekkoIndex reads 47, in the Neutral zone, down 7 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $198.78, so the price is 6.3% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 February 2027, 92 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 4.6% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +2.8% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

9 firms rate the stock: 7 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $211.47. A typical daily move is about 2.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Philip Morris International price vs fair value

$211.28$198.78Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $211.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $198.78

Philip Morris International quick facts

Market cap
$329.3B
P/E ratio
30.4
Forward P/E
22.8
EPS, TTM
$6.85
Revenue, TTM
$43.14B
Profit margin
24.8%
Dividend yield
2.88%
Beta
0.35
Volume
4.47M avg 4.53M
1-year return
+46.1%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$195.22
200-day average
$182.45
Next earnings
Feb 5 before open
Shares outstanding
1.56B
52-week range
$144.22$214.35

Philip Morris International swing-trade checklist

Philip Morris International scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $211.28 is above the 50-day ($195.22) and 200-day ($182.45) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    47, Neutral

    Reading 47 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    6.3% above

    Price is 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 92 days

    Next report Feb 5, 2027, 92 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Philip Morris International stock chart and price history

Philip Morris International closed at $211.28 on Nov 4, 2026, +46.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $144.22 to $214.35.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Philip Morris International share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$160$180$200DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct211.28

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+11.0%
3 months
+12.4%
6 months
+23.9%
1 year
+46.1%
The full PM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PM in Gekko

Follow Philip Morris International through every session

Put PM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Philip Morris International

Philip Morris International sells tobacco and nicotine products, aiming over time to move its range beyond traditional cigarettes toward smoke-free alternatives. Its lineup spans conventional cigarettes alongside heat-not-burn devices, vapor products, and oral nicotine options, sold in markets around the world outside the United States. The company is widely associated with its work developing and expanding smoke-free tobacco alternatives.

Its cigarette brands include Marlboro, Parliament, Bond Street, Chesterfield, L&M, Lark, and Philip Morris, along with regional names such as Dji Sam Soe, Sampoerna A, and Sampoerna U in Indonesia and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines. The smoke-free side of the business covers HEETS, including Creations, Dimensions, and Marlboro variants, plus Parliament HeatSticks and TEREA, as well as Fiit and Miix, which are licensed from KT&G. These smoke-free products reach customers in 71 markets globally.

Philip Morris International was established in 1987 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PM.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Tobacco
Website
pmi.com

Philip Morris International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Philip Morris International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47, in the Neutral zone, down 7 points over five sessions.

010047Neutral

Down 7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+1.2%+1.9%+2.6%+3.5%
Accumulation170+0.9%+1.2%+3.4%+8.4%
Neutral (current zone)432+0.6%+1.5%+2.7%+6.8%
Distribution68+0.4%−0.1%−0.4%+0.8%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average PM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PM price, zone by zone.Track PM in Gekko

Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Philip Morris International trades 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $198.78, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Philip Morris International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$198.78

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

6.3% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$199$208Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PM in Gekko

Philip Morris International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Philip Morris International, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PM in Gekko

Buybacks

Philip Morris International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2022
$209.0M
As a share of market cap
0.06%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds PM.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Philip Morris International earnings: next date and track record

Philip Morris International reports on Feb 5, 2027, before the open (92 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.3%Feb ’25+3.6%Apr ’25−8.8%Jul ’25−0.8%Oct ’25−0.1%Feb ’26+10.4%Apr ’26+1.6%Jul ’26+0.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PM delivered Q3 2026 net revenues of $11.4B (+7.1% organic, +5.5% in dollar terms), with adjusted OI exceeding $5B for the first time and margins near 45%. Adjusted diluted EPS hit a record $2.36, up 5.4%. IQOS HTU shipments grew 7.1% adjusted IMS, ZYN U.S. shipments grew 4% (+13% ex-promotional activity), and VEEV e-vapor shipments surged 62%. Combustibles exceeded expectations via stable volumes and high single-digit pricing.
Guidance
Management expects a sixth consecutive year of total shipment growth and another year of best-in-class volume, sales, and profit growth in 2026, continuing to invest in smoke-free platforms for long-term value creation.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 21, 2026$2.36
est $2.30
+2.6%$11.44B
est $11.32B
+1.1%+0.9%
Jul 22, 2026$2.20
est $2.04
+7.8%$11.19B
est $10.60B
+5.6%+1.6%
Apr 22, 2026$1.96
est $1.89
+3.7%$10.15B
est $9.95B
+1.9%+10.4%
Feb 6, 2026$1.70
est $1.70
0.0%$10.36B
est $10.40B
−0.4%−0.1%
Oct 21, 2025$2.24
est $2.09
+7.2%$10.85B
est $10.64B
+2.0%−0.8%
Jul 22, 2025$1.91
est $1.86
+2.7%$10.14B
est $10.32B
−1.7%−8.8%
Apr 23, 2025$1.69
est $1.61
+5.0%$9.30B
est $9.14B
+1.7%+3.6%
Feb 6, 2025$1.55
est $1.50
+3.4%$9.71B
est $9.44B
+2.9%+10.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Philip Morris International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Philip Morris International is $211.47, +0.1% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$211.47consensus 12-month target, +0.1% from the last close
Low $175High $232
Buy7
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$232+9.8%
Nov 3Stifel NicolausBuy, reiterated$232+9.8%
Nov 3BarclaysBuy, maintained$225+6.5%
Oct 28BarclaysBuy, reiterated$225+6.5%
Oct 28Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$222+5.1%
+2.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Philip Morris International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Philip Morris International averaged +2.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.6%2021+15.0%2022+1.7%2023−0.5%2024+2.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.9%3 of 5

For scale, PM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

Philip Morris International market cap and key statistics

Philip Morris International’s market cap is $329.3B, with a P/E ratio of 30.4 and revenue of $43.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$329.3B
P/E ratio
30.4
Forward P/E
22.8
EPS, TTM
$6.85
Gekko Fair Value
$198.78

Trading

Volume
4.47M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.53M
52-week high
$214.35
52-week low
$144.22
Shares outstanding
1.56B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$43.14B
Profit margin
24.8%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−4.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.35
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
2.88%

Philip Morris International peers

Philip Morris International’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MOAltria+0.4%Distribution7.5% below
TPBTurning Point Brands+1.9%Neutral9.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Consumer non-durables

Philip Morris International stock FAQ

What is Philip Morris International’s market cap?

Philip Morris International’s market cap is $329.3B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $211.28, with 1.56B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.4.

What is the Philip Morris International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Philip Morris International is $211.47, +0.1% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Philip Morris International is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $211.28 is 6.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $198.78. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Philip Morris International report earnings next?

Philip Morris International is expected to report on Feb 5, 2027, before the market opens (92 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.85 per share on revenue of $10.86B. Philip Morris International beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.

What is Philip Morris International’s 52-week high and low?

Philip Morris International’s 52-week high is $214.35 and its 52-week low is $144.22; it closed at $211.28 on Nov 4, 2026, +46.1% over the past year.

Is Philip Morris International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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