NYSE: MO

Altria (MO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$78.01+1.07 (+1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Altria shares climbed this week, with October gains of 15.9% attributed to solid earnings driven by price increases and a smaller-than-expected volume decline. The company's Q3 2026 results showed 4.8% adjusted diluted EPS growth, with on! nicotine pouches posting 13.3% shipment volume growth to 47.8 million cans and retail share at 8.3%; Helix also expanded on! PLUS 12-milligram nationally. Altria announced its 61st dividend increase alongside a $1 billion share repurchase program. Analyst actions were mixed: Barclays raised its price target to $60.00 while maintaining an "underweight" rating, UBS Group raised its target from $79.00 to $83.00 with a "buy" rating, and the stock was also compared against peer Philip Morris (PM) on dividend yield and growth appeal.

MO closed at $78.01, up 1.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $71.05 and 200-day average of $69.12. The GekkoIndex reads 44.3, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down from a five-day change of -10.2. Price remains 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.33.

The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, outside the typical 20-trading-day window. Over the last 90 days, smart money activity includes one insider purchase and one Congressional buy with no sales. Seasonality over five years shows an average 2.8% gain across the next 20 trading days, with gains in 4 of those years. The consensus analyst target sits at $73.45, with 8 firms covering the stock.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Altria price vs fair value

$84.33$78.01Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $78.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $84.33

Altria quick facts

Market cap
$129.8B
P/E ratio
15.9
Forward P/E
13.5
EPS, TTM
$4.85
Revenue, TTM
$20.63B
Profit margin
39.3%
Dividend yield
5.50%
Beta
0.46
Volume
7.81M avg 8.68M
1-year return
+37.7%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
50-day average
$71.05
200-day average
$69.12
Next earnings
Feb 4 before open
Shares outstanding
1.66B
52-week range
$54.70$79.81

Altria swing-trade checklist

Altria scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $78.01 is above the 50-day ($71.05) and 200-day ($69.12) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    44.3, Distribution

    Reading 44.3 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.5% below

    Price is 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Altria stock chart and price history

Altria closed at $78.01 on Nov 4, 2026, +37.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $54.70 to $79.81.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Altria share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$55$60$65$70$75DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct78.01

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+13.8%
3 months
+15.1%
6 months
+11.2%
1 year
+37.7%
The full MO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MO in Gekko

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About Altria

Altria makes and sells tobacco products across the United States through a group of subsidiaries. Its lineup covers combustible goods such as cigarettes sold under the Marlboro name, along with cigars and pipe tobacco marketed mainly as Black & Mild. It also offers oral tobacco items, including moist smokeless brands like Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky, plus the on! line of nicotine pouches.

The company moves its products mainly through wholesale channels, working with independent distributors, and it also sells directly to large retail chains. This dual approach gives it reach into both smaller distribution networks and major store operations.

Altria was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Tobacco
Website
altria.com

Altria GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Altria’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.3, in the Distribution zone, down 10.2 points over five sessions.

010044.3Distribution

Down 10.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying19+2.5%+3.4%+4.6%+8.8%
Accumulation199+0.7%+1.4%+3.4%+8.2%
Neutral408+0.4%+0.8%+1.6%+3.1%
Distribution (current zone)700.0%+0.2%−1.1%+0.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MO price, zone by zone.Track MO in Gekko

Is Altria stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Altria trades 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.33, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Altria shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$84.33

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

7.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$84$77Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MO in Gekko

Altria insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Altria worth $101K, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$101Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 11McQUADE KATHRYN B.
director
Purchase1,500$101K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Altria has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$1.00B, Oct 29, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$400.0M
As a share of market cap
0.31%
Trailing four quarters
$1.02B

From company filings.

Altria earnings: next date and track record

Altria reports on Feb 4, 2027, before the open (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.8%Jan ’25+1.6%Apr ’25+4.3%Jul ’25−9.0%Oct ’25−1.8%Jan ’26+9.3%Apr ’26−8.8%Jul ’26+6.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Altria delivered 4.8% adjusted diluted EPS growth in Q3 2026, driven by strong smokeable products performance and smoke-free expansion. On! nicotine pouches posted 13.3% shipment volume growth to 47.8 million cans, with retail share at 8.3%. Helix expanded on! PLUS 12-milligram nationally and launched new flavors. Altria announced its 61st dividend increase and a $1 billion share repurchase program expansion, raising full-year earnings guidance.
Guidance
Management raised full-year 2026 earnings guidance based on strong first nine months performance. The Board authorized a $1 billion expansion of the existing share repurchase program, signaling confidence in cash generation and capital return sustainability.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$1.52
est $1.51
+0.7%$5.44B
est $5.31B
+2.4%+6.9%
Jul 30, 2026$1.48
est $1.50
−1.3%$5.36B
est $5.35B
+0.2%−8.8%
Apr 30, 2026$1.32
est $1.25
+5.6%$4.76B
est $4.58B
+3.9%+9.3%
Jan 29, 2026$1.30
est $1.32
−1.5%$5.08B
est $5.03B
+0.9%−1.8%
Oct 30, 2025$1.45
est $1.44
+0.7%$5.25B
est $5.29B
−0.8%−9.0%
Jul 30, 2025$1.44
est $1.39
+3.6%$5.29B
est $5.19B
+1.9%+4.3%
Apr 29, 2025$1.23
est $1.19
+3.4%$4.52B
est $4.62B
−2.1%+1.6%
Jan 30, 2025$1.29
est $1.28
+0.8%$5.11B
est $5.05B
+1.2%−0.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Altria stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Altria is $73.45, −5.8% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$73.45consensus 12-month target, −5.8% from the last close
Low $59High $85
Buy4
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2BarclaysSell, maintained$60−23.1%
Oct 30Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$82+5.1%
Oct 30Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$77−1.3%
Oct 30Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$77−1.3%
Oct 30UBSBuy, maintained$83+6.4%
−1.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+2.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Altria seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Altria averaged +2.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.5%2021+3.7%2022+5.0%2023+5.6%2024+1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.5%5 of 5

For scale, MO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.

Altria market cap and key statistics

Altria’s market cap is $129.8B, with a P/E ratio of 15.9 and revenue of $20.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$129.8B
P/E ratio
15.9
Forward P/E
13.5
EPS, TTM
$4.85
Gekko Fair Value
$84.33

Trading

Volume
7.81M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.68M
52-week high
$79.81
52-week low
$54.70
Shares outstanding
1.66B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$20.63B
Profit margin
39.3%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.46
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
Dividend yield
5.50%

Altria stock news this week

Coverage of Altria this week reads positive: 10 positive, 8 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Altria peers

Altria’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PMPhilip Morris International−1.4%Neutral6.3% above
TPBTurning Point Brands+1.9%Neutral9.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Altria stock FAQ

What is Altria’s market cap?

Altria’s market cap is $129.8B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $78.01, with 1.66B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.9.

What is the Altria stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Altria is $73.45, −5.8% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Altria stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Altria is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $78.01 is 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.33. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Altria report earnings next?

Altria is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027, before the market opens (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.40 per share on revenue of $5.17B. Altria beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.3% on average across the report.

What is Altria’s 52-week high and low?

Altria’s 52-week high is $79.81 and its 52-week low is $54.70; it closed at $78.01 on Nov 4, 2026, +37.7% over the past year.

Is Altria stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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