Insider buying last 90 days
$101Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | McQUADE KATHRYN B. director | Purchase | $101K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: MO
Altria (MO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$69.52−0.18 (−0.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAltria (MO) closes at $69.52, down 0.3%, holding above both its 50-day average of $69.23 and 200-day average of $66.87. The GekkoIndex reads 54.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $81.39, leaving a gap of -14.6%.
This week's coverage centers on Altria's discounted valuation relative to peers and its dividend profile, including a recently announced $1.11 per share dividend with an ex-dividend date of 15 September 2026, reinforcing its status as a dividend king. Coverage also touches on pricing dynamics within smokeable products, noting price realization near 4.5% alongside rising discount volumes and Basic's growth affecting product mix. Separately, comparisons with British American Tobacco highlight growth, valuation, and smokeless momentum themes, and Bank of America Corp DE disclosed a new position of over 15.35 million shares valued at approximately $1.10 billion.
Looking ahead, Altria's next earnings report is set for 29 October 2026, before the open, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. In the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase totaling $101,430 was recorded. Options activity over the last 30 days showed a surge in call buying, with 121,099 call options purchased, a 455% increase over typical volume. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.7% gain over 5 years, positive in 3 of them. Analyst consensus across 10 firms includes 4 buy, 5 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $70.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $69.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $81.39
Key stats
- Market cap
- $116.1B
- P/E ratio
- 14.7
- Forward P/E
- 12.1
- EPS, TTM
- $4.73
- Revenue, TTM
- $20.44B
- Profit margin
- 39%
- Dividend yield
- 6.05%
- Beta
- 0.49
- Volume
- 14.34M avg 8.31M
- 1-year return
- +6.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4%
- 50-day average
- $69.23
- 200-day average
- $66.87
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 1.67B
Altria swing-trade checklist
Altria scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $69.52 is above the 50-day ($69.23) and 200-day ($66.87) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
54.2, Neutral
Reading 54.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.6% below
Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 39 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Altria stock chart and price history
Altria closed at $69.52 on Sep 18, 2026, +6.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $54.70 to $77.06.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +5.3%
- 3 months
- +0.6%
- 6 months
- +6.8%
- 1 year
- +6.1%
The full MO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MO in Gekko
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About Altria
Altria makes and sells tobacco products across the United States through a group of subsidiaries. Its lineup covers combustible goods such as cigarettes sold under the Marlboro name, along with cigars and pipe tobacco marketed mainly as Black & Mild. It also offers oral tobacco items, including moist smokeless brands like Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky, plus the on! line of nicotine pouches.
The company moves its products mainly through wholesale channels, working with independent distributors, and it also sells directly to large retail chains. This dual approach gives it reach into both smaller distribution networks and major store operations.
Altria was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Website
- altria.com
Altria GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Altria’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.2, in the Neutral zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.
54.2Neutral
Down 3.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 19 | +2.5% | +4.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 195 | +0.6% | +3.1% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 382 | +0.4% | +1.5% | ||
| Distribution | 65 | 0.0% | −1.1% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MO price, zone by zone.Track MO in Gekko
Is Altria stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Altria trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.39, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Altria shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$81.39
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
14.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MO in Gekko
Altria insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Altria worth $101K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MO in Gekko
Buybacks
Altria has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $223.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.19%
- Trailing four quarters
- $903.0M
From company filings.
Altria earnings: next date and track record
Altria reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected before the open, 39 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.50
- Revenue estimate
- $5.32B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Altria reported solid 2026 second quarter and first half results, driven by strength in smokeable products and continued development of its smoke-free portfolio. Adjusted diluted EPS rose 2.8% in Q2 and 4.9% for the first half. Smokeable adjusted OCI and margins expanded, Marlboro held leadership in the premium segment while discount brands gained share amid consumer discretionary pressure. Helix’s on! nicotine pouch portfolio expanded distribution (on! PLUS to ~120,000 stores) and the company prepared line extensions and flavor expansions. Management highlighted product introductions (Marlboro Cowboy Cut, on! PLUS 12 mg and future flavors), regulatory developments impacting e-vapor and nicotine pouches, timing of double duty drawback/FET credits, and continued capital returns (dividends and buybacks). Management narrowed full-year earnings guidance and expressed confidence in the plan while noting macro headwinds (inflation, gas prices) and enforcement dynamics around illicit e-vapor products.
- Guidance
- Management narrowed the full-year earnings guidance range (raised the low end) and reiterated confidence in the full-year plan; they expect double duty drawback / FET credit benefits to be more balanced across Q3 and Q4 as export volume timing normalizes. No specific numeric guidance was provided on the call transcript.
- Risks flagged
- Consumer financial pressure (inflation, elevated gas prices) and trade-down to discount brands; timing and staging of FET/duty drawback benefits; prevalence of illicit flavored disposable e-vapor products and need for sustained enforcement; regulatory uncertainty in e-vapor and nicotine pouch authorization processes; supply-chain and inventory timing factors impacting reported shipments.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.48 est $1.50 | $5.36B est $5.35B | −8.8% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.32 est $1.25 | $4.76B est $4.58B | +9.3% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $1.30 est $1.32 | $5.08B est $5.03B | −1.8% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.45 est $1.44 | $5.25B est $5.29B | −9.0% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.44 est $1.39 | $5.29B est $5.19B | +4.3% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.23 est $1.19 | $4.52B est $4.62B | +1.6% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $1.29 est $1.28 | $5.11B est $5.05B | −0.8% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.38 est $1.35 | $5.34B est $5.33B | +6.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Altria stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Altria is $70.00, +0.7% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$70.00consensus 12-month target, +0.7% from the last close
Now $69.52Avg $70.00
Low $58High $82
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | Goldman Sachs | $77 | +10.8% |
| Aug 24 | Bank of America Securities | $82 | +18.0% |
| Aug 11 | Barclays | $58 | −16.6% |
| Aug 5 | Stifel Nicolaus | $77 | +10.8% |
| Jul 31 | Needham | — | — |
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Altria seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Altria averaged +0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.1% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, MO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.
Altria market cap and key statistics
Altria’s market cap is $116.1B, with a P/E ratio of 14.7 and revenue of $20.44B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $116.1B
- P/E ratio
- 14.7
- Forward P/E
- 12.1
- EPS, TTM
- $4.73
- Gekko Fair Value
- $81.39
Trading
- Volume
- 14.34M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 8.31M
- 52-week high
- $77.06
- 52-week low
- $54.70
- Shares outstanding
- 1.67B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $20.44B
- Profit margin
- 39%
- Return on equity
- 0%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −2.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.49
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4%
- Dividend yield
- 6.05%
Altria stock news this week
Coverage of Altria this week reads positive: 9 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Why Is Altria Group (NYSE:MO) in Focus Across NYSE Composite?Kalkine Media, Sep 18
- Altria Stock Trades at a Discount: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 17
- British American Tobacco vs Altria: Which High-Yield Dividend Stock Is the Better Buy24/7 Wall Street, Sep 16
- Is Trending Stock Altria Group, Inc. (MO) a Buy Now?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 16
- Altria's Price Realization at 4.5%: Can Pricing Momentum Stay Strong?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 15
- Altria Group Inc's Dividend AnalysisYahoo Finance Singapore, Sep 15
Altria peers
Altria’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PMPhilip Morris International | Neutral | 1.1% below |
| TPBTurning Point Brands | Buying | 18.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Altria stock FAQ
What is Altria’s market cap?
Altria’s market cap is $116.1B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $69.52, with 1.67B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.7.
What is the Altria stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Altria is $70.00, +0.7% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Altria stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Altria is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $69.52 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Altria report earnings next?
Altria is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.50 per share on revenue of $5.32B. Altria beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.3% on average across the report.
What is Altria’s 52-week high and low?
Altria’s 52-week high is $77.06 and its 52-week low is $54.70; it closed at $69.52 on Sep 18, 2026, +6.1% over the past year.
Is Altria stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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