NASDAQ: KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. Consumer non-durables sector, beverages: non-alcoholic industry. Market cap $42.12B.

$30.96−0.47 (−1.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Keurig Dr Pepper closes at $30.96, down 1.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $31.16 and 200-day average of $29.32. The GekkoIndex reads 62.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 4.2 over five days. Price stands 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.26. Over the past six months the stock has returned 14%, and over one year 13.6%, though the one-month return is -0.3%.

This week's coverage centers on leadership and portfolio moves alongside routine corporate items. Executive team changes at Keurig Dr Pepper were noted alongside similar reshuffles at 3M, Dole, and J.M. Smucker. Separately, the company is reported to be looking to extend the approach behind its Dr Pepper brand, which the coverage describes as generating $6 billion in annual sales as the second-largest carbonated soft drink in the U.S., across other parts of its portfolio. A new plastic-free coffee pod system, Alta, was also detailed. On the corporate calendar, KDP declared a quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share, payable 9 October, an annualized $0.92 with a 42.4% payout ratio and a 2.9% yield.

The next earnings date falls on 26 October 2026, before the open, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 6 August beat estimates ($0.57 vs $0.54) but drew a -2.4% reaction. In the last 90 days there was 1 insider purchase worth $250,247. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -2.3% over 5 years, positive in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage from 14 firms shows 11 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $36.21.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $30.96200-day averageGekko Fair Value $40.26

Key stats

Market cap
$42.12B
P/E ratio
32.1
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$0.98
Revenue, TTM
$20.09B
Profit margin
7.1%
Dividend yield
2.89%
Beta
0.41
Volume
22.24M avg 9.32M
1-year return
+13.6%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
50-day average
$31.16
200-day average
$29.32
Next earnings
Oct 26 before open
Shares outstanding
1.36B
52-week range
$24.88$33.82

Keurig Dr Pepper swing-trade checklist

Keurig Dr Pepper scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $30.96 sits between the 50-day ($31.16) and 200-day ($29.32) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.8, Accumulation

    Reading 62.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.1% below

    Price is 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Oct 26, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Keurig Dr Pepper stock chart and price history

Keurig Dr Pepper closed at $30.96 on Sep 18, 2026, +13.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.88 to $33.82.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.3%
3 months
+0.7%
6 months
+14.0%
1 year
+13.6%
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About Keurig Dr Pepper

Keurig Dr Pepper makes and sells a broad range of drinks and coffee equipment across the United States and other markets. It is widely recognized for its Keurig brewing systems and K-Cup pods, alongside a lineup of soda, juice and flavored beverage brands sold under many familiar labels.

The business runs through four segments. Coffee Systems covers brewers, pods and coffee blends, sold through retailers, outside distributors and the company's own website. Packaged Beverages makes and ships branded drinks and also produces beverages for private label and emerging brands, plus distribution work for partner labels. Beverage Concentrates supplies liquid concentrates and syrups for names such as Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, 7UP, Snapple, Bai, evian and several others. A separate Latin America unit produces sparkling and purified water, carbonated drinks and vegetable juice under brands including Peñafiel and Clamato. Customers span retailers, bottlers, restaurants, hotels, office coffee services and everyday consumers.

The company was established in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker KDP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Beverages: non-alcoholic
Website
keurigdrpepper.com

Keurig Dr Pepper GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Keurig Dr Pepper’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.2 points over five sessions.

010062.8Accumulation

Up 4.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44−0.6%−2.0%−1.3%+2.2%
Accumulation (current zone)215+0.4%+1.2%+1.9%+4.8%
Neutral377+0.1%−0.1%−0.3%−1.7%
Distribution25−1.9%−1.1%−2.2%−2.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average KDP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KDP price, zone by zone.Track KDP in Gekko

Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Keurig Dr Pepper trades 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.26, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Keurig Dr Pepper shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$40.26

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

23.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KDP in Gekko

Keurig Dr Pepper insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Keurig Dr Pepper worth $250K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$250Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27Alt Aaron E
director
Purchase7,862$250K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KDP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KDP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KDP in Gekko

Buybacks

Keurig Dr Pepper has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$6.00M
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Keurig Dr Pepper earnings: next date and track record

Keurig Dr Pepper reports on Oct 26, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.0%Jul ’24−5.8%Oct ’24−1.1%Feb ’25−2.2%Apr ’25−0.7%Jul ’25+6.2%Oct ’25+1.3%Feb ’26−2.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
KDP reported Q2 2026 total net sales growth of 75% (inclusive of JDE Peet's acquisition), with legacy KDP growing at high single-digit rates. EPS increased 16% to $0.57, with consolidated operating income up over 40%. U.S. Refreshment Beverages and JDE Peet's segments outperformed expectations. Dr Pepper Zero Sugar grew retail sales nearly 30%. Pro forma leverage stands at 4.4x following JDE Peet's close in April.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed low double-digit EPS growth guidance for 2026, targeting leverage of 4.1x by year-end. Separation of Global Coffee Co. is on track for early 2027, with CEO search underway and organizational structures largely finalized.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.57
est $0.54
+6.1%$7.31B
est $7.23B
+1.1%−2.4%
Feb 24, 2026$0.60
est $0.59
+1.9%$4.50B
est $4.36B
+3.2%+1.3%
Oct 27, 2025$0.54
est $0.54
+0.6%$4.31B
est $4.15B
+3.7%+6.2%
Jul 24, 2025$0.49
est $0.49
+1.0%$4.16B
est $4.14B
+0.6%−0.7%
Apr 24, 2025$0.42
est $0.38
+9.8%$3.64B
est $3.57B
+1.9%−2.2%
Feb 25, 2025$0.58
est $0.57
+1.6%$4.07B
est $4.01B
+1.5%−1.1%
Oct 24, 2024$0.51
est $0.51
0.0%$3.89B
est $3.92B
−0.8%−5.8%
Jul 25, 2024$0.45
est $0.45
0.0%$3.92B
est $3.91B
+0.2%+3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Keurig Dr Pepper stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Keurig Dr Pepper is $36.21, +17.0% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$36.21consensus 12-month target, +17.0% from the last close
Low $30High $42
Buy11
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Argus ResearchBuy, maintained$36+16.3%
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$38+22.7%
Sep 14Argus ResearchBuy, maintained$36+16.3%
Sep 11BarclaysBuy, maintained$38+22.7%
Sep 3BernsteinBuy, maintained$39+26.0%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Keurig Dr Pepper seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Keurig Dr Pepper averaged −2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.3%20210.0%2022−13.9%2023−2.7%2024+3.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.0%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.4%3 of 5

For scale, KDP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.

Keurig Dr Pepper market cap and key statistics

Keurig Dr Pepper’s market cap is $42.12B, with a P/E ratio of 32.1 and revenue of $20.09B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$42.12B
P/E ratio
32.1
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$0.98
Gekko Fair Value
$40.26

Trading

Volume
22.24M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.32M
52-week high
$33.82
52-week low
$24.88
Shares outstanding
1.36B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$20.09B
Profit margin
7.1%
Return on equity
5.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−90.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.41
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
Dividend yield
2.89%

Keurig Dr Pepper stock news this week

Coverage of Keurig Dr Pepper this week reads positive: 8 positive, 7 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Keurig Dr Pepper peers

Keurig Dr Pepper’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
KOCoca-Cola+0.5%Neutral2.8% above
MNSTMonster Beverage+0.1%Accumulation7.1% above
CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners0.0%Buying8.1% below
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated−2.9%Neutral27.6% below
PRMBPrimo Brands−1.6%Buying40.5% below
CELHCelsius−2.4%Accumulation19.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Keurig Dr Pepper stock FAQ

What is Keurig Dr Pepper’s market cap?

Keurig Dr Pepper’s market cap is $42.12B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $30.96, with 1.36B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.1.

What is the Keurig Dr Pepper stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Keurig Dr Pepper is $36.21, +17.0% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Keurig Dr Pepper is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $30.96 is 23.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.26. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Keurig Dr Pepper report earnings next?

Keurig Dr Pepper is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.64 per share on revenue of $7.33B. Keurig Dr Pepper beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Keurig Dr Pepper’s 52-week high and low?

Keurig Dr Pepper’s 52-week high is $33.82 and its 52-week low is $24.88; it closed at $30.96 on Sep 18, 2026, +13.6% over the past year.

Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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