NASDAQ: KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$36.79+2.05 (+5.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Keurig Dr Pepper's stock moved this week on third-quarter results, with adjusted diluted EPS rising 22% (and in one account 22.2%) to $0.66, as adjusted net sales climbed 70.1% to $7.3 billion, boosted by the JDE Peet's acquisition and legacy growth. Despite the earnings beat, shares fell as budget-conscious consumers pulled back on K-Cups, with softer demand in the U.S. coffee business cited as the driver of the decline; net sales also came in short of expectations even as refreshment beverages and energy drink share, now above 10%, were highlighted as strengths. TD Cowen maintained its Hold rating while raising its price target to $35 from $33, and a separate tracking service lifted its average 12-month target to $36.75 from $36.56, with a Buy consensus among the analysts it surveyed.

KDP closed at $36.79, up 5.9%, sitting above both its 50-day ($32.68) and 200-day ($30.12) averages, with one-month, three-month, six-month and one-year returns of 18.2%, 21.1%, 28.8% and 38.1% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 46.8, in the Neutral zone. Price remains 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.82.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 23 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, smart money activity includes one open-market insider purchase valued at $250,247. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 1.5% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. The 13 analysts covering the stock lean heavily toward Buy ratings, with a consensus target of $36.38, implying a -1.1% gap to current price.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Keurig Dr Pepper price vs fair value

$40.82$36.79Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $36.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $40.82

Keurig Dr Pepper quick facts

Market cap
$50.06B
P/E ratio
36.1
Forward P/E
14.1
EPS, TTM
$1.02
Revenue, TTM
$20.09B
Profit margin
7.1%
Dividend yield
2.57%
Beta
0.36
Volume
28.54M avg 17.27M
1-year return
+38.1%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$32.68
200-day average
$30.12
Next earnings
Feb 23 before open
Shares outstanding
1.36B
52-week range
$24.88$37.32

Keurig Dr Pepper swing-trade checklist

Keurig Dr Pepper scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $36.79 is above the 50-day ($32.68) and 200-day ($30.12) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.8, Neutral

    Reading 46.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    9.9% below

    Price is 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 110 days

    Next report Feb 23, 2027, 110 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Keurig Dr Pepper stock chart and price history

Keurig Dr Pepper closed at $36.79 on Nov 4, 2026, +38.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.88 to $37.32.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Keurig Dr Pepper share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct36.79

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+18.2%
3 months
+21.1%
6 months
+28.8%
1 year
+38.1%
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About Keurig Dr Pepper

Keurig Dr Pepper makes and sells a broad range of drinks and coffee equipment across the United States and other markets. It is widely recognized for its Keurig brewing systems and K-Cup pods, alongside a lineup of soda, juice and flavored beverage brands sold under many familiar labels.

The business runs through four segments. Coffee Systems covers brewers, pods and coffee blends, sold through retailers, outside distributors and the company's own website. Packaged Beverages makes and ships branded drinks and also produces beverages for private label and emerging brands, plus distribution work for partner labels. Beverage Concentrates supplies liquid concentrates and syrups for names such as Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, 7UP, Snapple, Bai, evian and several others. A separate Latin America unit produces sparkling and purified water, carbonated drinks and vegetable juice under brands including Peñafiel and Clamato. Customers span retailers, bottlers, restaurants, hotels, office coffee services and everyday consumers.

The company was established in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker KDP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Beverages: non-alcoholic
Website
keurigdrpepper.com

Keurig Dr Pepper GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Keurig Dr Pepper’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.8, in the Neutral zone, down 0.2 points over five sessions.

010046.8Neutral

Down 0.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44−0.6%−2.0%−1.3%+2.2%
Accumulation223+0.5%+1.3%+2.3%+4.9%
Neutral (current zone)400+0.2%0.0%−0.3%−1.3%
Distribution29−1.4%−1.1%−2.2%−2.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average KDP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KDP price, zone by zone.Track KDP in Gekko

Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Keurig Dr Pepper trades 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.82, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Keurig Dr Pepper shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$40.82

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

9.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$41$35Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KDP in Gekko

Keurig Dr Pepper insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Keurig Dr Pepper worth $250K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$250Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27Alt Aaron E
director
Purchase7,862$250K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KDP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KDP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KDP in Gekko

Buybacks

Keurig Dr Pepper has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$6.00M
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Keurig Dr Pepper earnings: next date and track record

Keurig Dr Pepper reports on Feb 23, 2027, before the open (110 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.0%Jul ’24−5.8%Oct ’24−1.1%Feb ’25−2.2%Apr ’25−0.7%Jul ’25+6.2%Oct ’25+1.3%Feb ’26−2.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
KDP reported Q2 2026 total net sales growth of 75% (inclusive of JDE Peet's acquisition), with legacy KDP growing at high single-digit rates. EPS increased 16% to $0.57, with consolidated operating income up over 40%. U.S. Refreshment Beverages and JDE Peet's segments outperformed expectations. Dr Pepper Zero Sugar grew retail sales nearly 30%. Pro forma leverage stands at 4.4x following JDE Peet's close in April.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed low double-digit EPS growth guidance for 2026, targeting leverage of 4.1x by year-end. Separation of Global Coffee Co. is on track for early 2027, with CEO search underway and organizational structures largely finalized.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.57
est $0.54
+6.1%$7.31B
est $7.23B
+1.1%−2.4%
Feb 24, 2026$0.60
est $0.59
+1.9%$4.50B
est $4.36B
+3.2%+1.3%
Oct 27, 2025$0.54
est $0.54
+0.6%$4.31B
est $4.15B
+3.7%+6.2%
Jul 24, 2025$0.49
est $0.49
+1.0%$4.16B
est $4.14B
+0.6%−0.7%
Apr 24, 2025$0.42
est $0.38
+9.8%$3.64B
est $3.57B
+1.9%−2.2%
Feb 25, 2025$0.58
est $0.57
+1.6%$4.07B
est $4.01B
+1.5%−1.1%
Oct 24, 2024$0.51
est $0.51
0.0%$3.89B
est $3.92B
−0.8%−5.8%
Jul 25, 2024$0.45
est $0.45
0.0%$3.92B
est $3.91B
+0.2%+3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Keurig Dr Pepper stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Keurig Dr Pepper is $36.38, −1.1% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$36.38consensus 12-month target, −1.1% from the last close
Low $32High $42
Buy11
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$40+8.7%
Nov 4RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$42+14.2%
Nov 4UBSBuy, maintained$42+14.2%
Nov 4TD CowenHold, maintained$35−4.9%
Nov 4J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$41+11.4%
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Keurig Dr Pepper seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Keurig Dr Pepper averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.6%2021+2.7%2022+3.4%2023−0.9%2024+7.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.6%3 of 5

For scale, KDP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

Keurig Dr Pepper market cap and key statistics

Keurig Dr Pepper’s market cap is $50.06B, with a P/E ratio of 36.1 and revenue of $20.09B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$50.06B
P/E ratio
36.1
Forward P/E
14.1
EPS, TTM
$1.02
Gekko Fair Value
$40.82

Trading

Volume
28.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
17.27M
52-week high
$37.32
52-week low
$24.88
Shares outstanding
1.36B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$20.09B
Profit margin
7.1%
Return on equity
5.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−90.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.36
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
2.57%

Keurig Dr Pepper stock news this week

Coverage of Keurig Dr Pepper this week reads positive: 11 positive, 5 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Keurig Dr Pepper peers

Keurig Dr Pepper’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
KOCoca-Cola−0.5%Neutral7.5% above
MNSTMonster Beverage+1.2%Neutral17.2% above
CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners+0.3%Neutral6.3% above
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated−3.5%Neutral16.8% above
CELHCelsius+0.3%Neutral9.1% below
PRMBPrimo Brands−0.9%Neutral37.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Beverages: non-alcoholic

Keurig Dr Pepper stock FAQ

What is Keurig Dr Pepper’s market cap?

Keurig Dr Pepper’s market cap is $50.06B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $36.79, with 1.36B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 36.1.

What is the Keurig Dr Pepper stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Keurig Dr Pepper is $36.38, −1.1% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Keurig Dr Pepper is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $36.79 is 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $40.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Keurig Dr Pepper report earnings next?

Keurig Dr Pepper is expected to report on Feb 23, 2027, before the market opens (110 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $7.66B. Keurig Dr Pepper beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.

What is Keurig Dr Pepper’s 52-week high and low?

Keurig Dr Pepper’s 52-week high is $37.32 and its 52-week low is $24.88; it closed at $36.79 on Nov 4, 2026, +38.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $41.31 on Aug 18, 2022.

Is Keurig Dr Pepper stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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