NASDAQ: FIZZ

National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$32.15+1.63 (+5.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

National Beverage's shares moved this week on a Q1 fiscal 2027 report that showed a profit miss despite nearly flat sales of $330.662 million, with diluted EPS falling to $0.50 from $0.60 a year earlier. The annual shareholders meeting also took place, with investors re-electing Nick A. Caporella as a Class III director and approving executive compensation in a non-binding vote. Separate commentary flagged divergent sentiment readings on the stock, including a short setup framed around a 24.7:1 risk-reward ratio.

FIZZ closed at $32.15, up 5.3% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $31.31 and 200-day average of $33.50. The GekkoIndex reads 52.5, in the Neutral zone, down 9.9 over the past five sessions. The stock trades 3.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.44, with a one-year return of -14% and a 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21.

The next earnings date falls on 10 December, 58 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last eight quarters, FIZZ has beaten EPS estimates three times, with an average absolute reaction of 3.7% and a 6.8% move after the last report. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.7% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting against the current Neutral reading.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

National Beverage price vs fair value

$33.44$32.15Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $32.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $33.44

National Beverage quick facts

Market cap
$3.01B
P/E ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
18.5
EPS, TTM
$1.86
Revenue, TTM
$1.18B
Profit margin
14.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.85
Volume
676,375 avg 423,004
1-year return
−14.0%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$31.31
200-day average
$33.50
Next earnings
Dec 10
Shares outstanding
93.61M
52-week range
$28.97$38.21

National Beverage swing-trade checklist

National Beverage scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $32.15 sits between the 50-day ($31.31) and 200-day ($33.50) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.5, Neutral

    Reading 52.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.9% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.9% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 59 days

    Next report Dec 10, 2026, 59 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

National Beverage stock chart and price history

National Beverage closed at $32.15 on Oct 12, 2026, −14.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
National Beverage share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct32.15

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.5%
3 months
+4.0%
6 months
−7.1%
1 year
−14.0%
The full FIZZ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FIZZ in Gekko

Follow National Beverage through every session

Put FIZZ on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track FIZZ in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About National Beverage

National Beverage makes and sells drinks for shoppers across the U.S. and Canadian markets, covering sparkling water, juice, energy drinks and soda. Its catalog leans toward people drawn to fitness and wellness, with labels such as LaCroix, LaCroix Cúrate and LaCroix NiCola sitting alongside Clear Fruit, Rip It, Everfresh, Everfresh Premier Varietals and Mr. Pure. Shasta and Faygo round out its soda offerings, giving the company a recognizable presence among its carbonated lines.

A group of subsidiaries under the National Beverage umbrella handles the work of formulating, bottling, marketing and shipping these products. Buyers range from big-box retail chains down to independent neighborhood stores, and the goods reach them through grocery aisles, convenience stores and restaurant or food-service suppliers.

Founded in 1985, National Beverage runs its operations from Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Investors can find its stock listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FIZZ.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Beverages: non-alcoholic
Website
nationalbeverage.com

National Beverage GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

National Beverage’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.5, in the Neutral zone, down 9.9 points over five sessions.

010052.5Neutral

Down 9.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying61−0.2%−0.5%−1.3%−1.8%
Accumulation260+0.1%−0.2%−0.4%−0.4%
Neutral (current zone)340−0.4%−0.8%−1.4%−4.7%
Distribution18−2.6%−0.8%−3.8%−10.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average FIZZ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FIZZ price, zone by zone.Track FIZZ in Gekko

Is National Beverage stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

National Beverage trades 3.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.44, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what National Beverage shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$33.44

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

3.9% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 11.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$33$31Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FIZZ in Gekko

National Beverage insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for National Beverage, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FIZZ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FIZZ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIZZ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FIZZ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FIZZ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIZZ in Gekko

Buybacks

National Beverage has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Nov 1, 2025
$673K
As a share of market cap
0.02%

From company filings.

National Beverage earnings: next date and track record

National Beverage reports on Dec 10, 2026 (59 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.3%Sep ’24−6.9%Dec ’24+0.7%Mar ’25+4.2%Jul ’25−0.3%Sep ’25−4.7%Dec ’25+3.7%Mar ’26+6.8%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 1, 2026$0.43
est $0.47
−8.6%$297.2M
est $294.8M
+0.8%+6.8%
Mar 12, 2026$0.44
est $0.44
0.0%$264.6M
est $269.7M
−1.9%+3.7%
Dec 11, 2025$0.50
est $0.51
−2.0%$288.3M
est $292.7M
−1.5%−4.7%
Sep 11, 2025$0.60
est $0.61
−1.6%$330.5M
est $304.3M
+8.6%−0.3%
Jul 2, 2025$0.48
est $0.47
+2.1%$313.6M
est $303.3M
+3.4%+4.2%
Mar 6, 2025$0.42
est $0.43
−2.3%$267.1M
est $303.3M
−11.9%+0.7%
Dec 5, 2024$0.49
est $0.49
+0.2%$291.2M
est $310.0M
−6.1%−6.9%
Sep 5, 2024$0.61
est $0.57
+7.0%$329.5M
est $330.7M
−0.4%−2.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

National Beverage stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for National Beverage is $31.00, −3.6% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$31.00consensus 12-month target, −3.6% from the last close
Buy0
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 13UBSSell, reiterated$31−3.6%
Sep 4UBSSell, maintained$32−0.5%
Sep 4UBSSell, reiterated$32−0.5%
−1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

National Beverage seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, National Beverage averaged +6.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.3%2021+17.4%2022+7.5%2023+9.2%2024−11.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.2%4 of 5

For scale, FIZZ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

National Beverage market cap and key statistics

National Beverage’s market cap is $3.01B, with a P/E ratio of 16.6 and revenue of $1.18B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.01B
P/E ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
18.5
EPS, TTM
$1.86
Gekko Fair Value
$33.44

Trading

Volume
676,375
Avg volume, 20 days
423,004
52-week high
$38.21
52-week low
$28.97
Shares outstanding
93.61M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.18B
Profit margin
14.8%
Return on equity
40.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−16.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.85
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%

National Beverage stock news this week

Coverage of National Beverage this week reads negative: 0 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

National Beverage peers

National Beverage’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
KOCoca-Cola+1.6%Neutral5.7% above
MNSTMonster Beverage−0.1%Neutral6.9% above
CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners+0.2%Neutral1.7% below
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper+2.7%Neutral16.9% below
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated−0.4%Neutral17.1% above
CELHCelsius−0.4%Neutral17.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

National Beverage stock FAQ

What is National Beverage’s market cap?

National Beverage’s market cap is $3.01B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $32.15, with 93.61M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.6.

What is the National Beverage stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for National Beverage is $31.00, −3.6% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is National Beverage stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate National Beverage is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $32.15 is 3.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $33.44. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does National Beverage report earnings next?

National Beverage is expected to report on Dec 10, 2026 (59 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.45 per share on revenue of $308.5M. National Beverage beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is National Beverage’s 52-week high and low?

National Beverage’s 52-week high is $38.21 and its 52-week low is $28.97; it closed at $32.15 on Oct 12, 2026, −14.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $64.67 on Nov 3, 2021.

Is National Beverage stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See National Beverage the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.