NASDAQ: TBBK

Bancorp (TBBK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$49.13+0.88 (+1.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Bancorp's only company-specific headline this week concerns whether its recent earnings beat shifts the investment narrative, noting the launch of the Finetics embedded finance platform and a 67.05% profit margin tied to Q2 FY26 results. Beyond that, most coverage centers on peer banks such as USB, FITB, WASH, East West Bancorp and ConnectOne Bancorp ahead of their own Q3 reports, with themes of net interest income growth, fee income trends and credit risk recurring across the group.

TBBK closed at $49.13, up 1.8%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $59.13 and 200-day average of $59.84, with the 50-day under the 200-day, underscoring a longer-term downtrend; the stock's one-month return is -3%, three-month -25.8%, and one-year -36.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 65, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 2.6 over five days. Price sits 25.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $66.01.

Bancorp next reports earnings on 29 October 2026, 17 days away, falling inside the typical 20-trading-day holding window and historically carrying an average absolute reaction of 6.9%. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 8.7% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus from 3 firms rates the stock a buy, with a consensus target of 76 implying 54.7% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Bancorp price vs fair value

$66.01$49.13Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $49.13200-day averageGekko Fair Value $66.01

Bancorp quick facts

Market cap
$2.05B
P/E ratio
9.3
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
$5.32
Revenue, TTM
$531.9M
Profit margin
43.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.25
Volume
460,899 avg 603,640
1-year return
−36.1%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%
50-day average
$59.13
200-day average
$59.84
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
40.79M
52-week range
$47.01$81.65

Bancorp swing-trade checklist

Bancorp scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $49.13 is below the 50-day ($59.13) and 200-day ($59.84) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65, Accumulation

    Reading 65 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.6% below

    Price is 25.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +8.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Bancorp stock chart and price history

Bancorp closed at $49.13 on Oct 12, 2026, −36.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $47.01 to $81.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Bancorp share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct49.13

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.0%
3 months
−25.8%
6 months
−17.5%
1 year
−36.1%
The full TBBK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TBBK in Gekko

Follow Bancorp through every session

Put TBBK on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Bancorp

Bancorp functions as the holding entity behind The Bancorp Bank, which supplies a broad mix of banking products to clients nationwide. Among its best-known offerings are checking, savings, money market, and commercial deposit accounts, as well as prepaid and debit card programs. It also issues credit lines backed by either securities or the cash value held in insurance policies.

The company's activities extend into institutional banking, bridge financing tied to real estate, loans backed by the Small Business Administration, and loans tied to commercial mortgages and commercial property. A notable portion of its business involves leasing arrangements for vehicle fleets, trucks, and other equipment types. It further operates in private label banking, handles payment processing for independent service organizations on behalf of card networks, and gives customers access to online banking tools.

Bancorp traces its incorporation back to 1999 and runs its operations from Wilmington, Delaware. Investors can find its stock listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TBBK.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Regional banks
Website
thebancorp.com

Bancorp GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Bancorp’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.6 points over five sessions.

010065Accumulation

Down 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying49−0.6%−0.8%−1.2%+5.0%
Accumulation (current zone)182+0.6%+0.7%+4.1%+10.1%
Neutral3840.0%+0.4%+0.3%+3.7%
Distribution56+2.1%+3.2%+1.8%+4.0%
Selling11+4.8%+5.8%+6.9%−20.8%

Average TBBK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TBBK price, zone by zone.Track TBBK in Gekko

Is Bancorp stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Bancorp trades 25.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $66.01, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Bancorp shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$66.01

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

25.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$66$48Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TBBK in Gekko

Bancorp insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Bancorp, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TBBK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TBBK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TBBK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TBBK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TBBK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TBBK in Gekko

Buybacks

Bancorp has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$50.47M
As a share of market cap
2.47%
Trailing four quarters
$403.6M

From company filings.

Bancorp earnings: next date and track record

Bancorp reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.2%Oct ’24+10.3%Jan ’25−0.8%Apr ’25−8.4%Jul ’25+5.4%Oct ’25−11.5%Jan ’26−3.8%Apr ’26−0.8%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
The Bancorp reported Q2 2026 EPS of $1.45, up 14.2% year-over-year, with ROE of 34.7%. Fintech GDV grew 22.5% YoY and fintech revenue grew 21% YoY. Average loans reached $7.63 billion, up 16% YoY, with fintech loans at 18% of total. Cash App program is ramping, credit sponsorship exceeds expectations, and an embedded finance partner announcement is imminent.
Guidance
Full year 2026 EPS guidance raised to $5.95-$6.05, with Q4 target of $1.65-$1.75. Preliminary 2027 guidance maintained at $8.10-$8.30 EPS. Share buybacks forecast at $200 million for 2026, with future repurchases targeting ~100% of annual net income.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.45
est $1.36
+6.6%$137.7M
est $166.7M
−17.4%−0.8%
Apr 23, 2026$1.41
est $1.34
+5.2%$161.3M
est $189.3M
−14.8%−3.8%
Jan 29, 2026$1.28
est $1.46
−12.3%$172.6M
est $164.1M
+5.2%−11.5%
Oct 23, 2025$1.18
est $1.33
−11.3%$134.8M
est $162.3M
−16.9%+5.4%
Jul 24, 2025$1.27
est $1.28
−0.8%$181.2M
est $97.80M
+85.3%−8.4%
Apr 24, 2025$1.19
est $1.24
−4.0%$175.4M
est $107.7M
+62.8%−0.8%
Jan 30, 2025$1.15
est $1.13
+1.8%$149.2M
est $96.76M
+54.2%+10.3%
Oct 24, 2024$1.04
est $1.12
−7.1%$125.8M
est $130.4M
−3.6%−14.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Bancorp stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Bancorp is $76.00, +54.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$76.00consensus 12-month target, +54.7% from the last close
Low $75High $88
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$75+52.7%
Aug 7Raymond JamesBuy, reiterated$88+79.1%
Aug 3KBWBuy, reiterated$79+60.8%
Aug 3Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$86+75.0%
Jul 31Raymond JamesBuy, reiterated$82+66.9%
+4.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Bancorp seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Bancorp averaged +8.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.9%2021+32.4%2022+9.5%2023+1.5%2024−14.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.2%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+8.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.1%4 of 5

For scale, TBBK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.

Bancorp market cap and key statistics

Bancorp’s market cap is $2.05B, with a P/E ratio of 9.3 and revenue of $531.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.05B
P/E ratio
9.3
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
$5.32
Gekko Fair Value
$66.01

Trading

Volume
460,899
Avg volume, 20 days
603,640
52-week high
$81.65
52-week low
$47.01
Shares outstanding
40.79M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$531.9M
Profit margin
43.6%
Return on equity
29.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+14.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.25
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.3%

Bancorp stock news this week

Coverage of Bancorp this week reads positive: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Bancorp peers

Bancorp’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce+0.4%Accumulation5.7% below
USBU.S. Bancorp+0.4%Accumulation11.0% below
NUNu−0.6%Neutral0.7% below
TFCTruist Financial+0.9%Accumulation9.6% below
FITBFifth Third Bancorp+0.1%Accumulation11.2% below
MTBM&T Bank+0.9%Accumulation9.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Bancorp stock FAQ

What is Bancorp’s market cap?

Bancorp’s market cap is $2.05B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $49.13, with 40.79M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.3.

What is the Bancorp stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Bancorp is $76.00, +54.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Bancorp stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Bancorp is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $49.13 is 25.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $66.01. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Bancorp report earnings next?

Bancorp is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.47 per share on revenue of $154.9M. Bancorp beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.

What is Bancorp’s 52-week high and low?

Bancorp’s 52-week high is $81.65 and its 52-week low is $47.01; it closed at $49.13 on Oct 12, 2026, −36.1% over the past year.

Is Bancorp stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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