NASDAQ: PTC

PTC (PTC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$139.69+1.57 (+1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

PTC's shares moved this week largely on news from an investor-relations conference, where management highlighted new AI-based products, Jetstream and Orbit, alongside a broader valuation reset narrative. Coverage also framed the stock as a potential "growth-at-a-reasonable-price" candidate, citing historical EPS growth and balance-sheet metrics, even as one summary noted a 6.8% year-over-year decline in quarterly revenue alongside a slight EPS beat. Separate commentary flagged a near-term sentiment divergence from weaker mid- and long-term trend readings.

PTC closed at $139.69, up 1.1%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $140.34 and its 200-day average of $145.79, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 58.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 6.5% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $149.46.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report falls on 4 November, 36 days out, beyond that window. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days shows one Congressional buy and no sales. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 2% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 13 firms includes 8 buy ratings, 4 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $173.35, representing 24.1% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

PTC price vs fair value

$149.46$139.69Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $139.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $149.46

PTC quick facts

Market cap
$16.14B
P/E ratio
13.6
Forward P/E
16.3
EPS, TTM
$10.09
Revenue, TTM
$2.95B
Profit margin
41.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.00
Volume
913,184 avg 1.64M
1-year return
−31.1%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$140.34
200-day average
$145.79
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
108.5M
52-week range
$108.50$206.82

PTC swing-trade checklist

PTC scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $139.69 is below the 50-day ($140.34) and 200-day ($145.79) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.5, Neutral

    Reading 58.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.5% below

    Price is 6.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

PTC stock chart and price history

PTC closed at $139.69 on Sep 28, 2026, −31.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $108.50 to $206.82.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
PTC share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$160$180$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep139.69

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.1%
3 months
+22.7%
6 months
+1.5%
1 year
−31.1%
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About PTC

PTC provides software and professional services to enterprises around the world, with operations spanning the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific. It is known for a broad set of software tools that support digital operations, including ThingWorx for enterprise digital initiatives, Vuforia for overlaying digital information onto real-world views and building augmented reality applications, and Creo, a widely used 3D CAD technology for designing, testing, and refining product models.

The company runs through two main divisions, Software Products and Professional Services. Its product lineup also includes Onshape, a cloud-based platform combining CAD with data management and collaboration features, along with Arena and Windchill for product lifecycle management, Integrity for application lifecycle management, and Servigistics for service parts optimization. Alongside these tools, PTC's services arm handles consulting, implementation, training, cloud deployment, and ongoing technical support and licensing for its customers.

PTC was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. It originally operated under the name Parametric Technology Corporation before adopting its current name in January 2013. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PTC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
ptc.com

PTC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

PTC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.

010058.5Neutral

Down 3.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying57+0.5%−0.5%+0.9%+1.7%
Accumulation255−0.5%−0.2%−0.9%−4.3%
Neutral (current zone)3380.0%−0.3%−0.4%+0.3%
Distribution10+2.6%+3.3%+3.4%+1.7%
Selling12+0.6%+0.8%+1.4%+4.1%

Average PTC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PTC price, zone by zone.Track PTC in Gekko

Is PTC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

PTC trades 6.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.46, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what PTC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$149.46

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

6.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PTC in Gekko

PTC insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PTC, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PTC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PTC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PTC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

PTC has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$2.00B, May 6, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$500.0M
As a share of market cap
3.10%
Trailing four quarters
$1.40B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds PTC.

1added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

PTC earnings: next date and track record

PTC reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Nov ’24−10.2%Feb ’25+1.8%Apr ’25+5.2%Jul ’25−9.4%Nov ’25+3.1%Feb ’26+7.3%May ’26+6.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PTC reported a strong Q3 2026 with $60 million of net new ARR, constant-currency ARR (ex-Kepware/ThingWorx) of $2.448 billion (up 9.1% YoY), operating cash flow of $261 million and free cash flow of $249 million—both above guidance. Management highlighted momentum from its Intelligent Product Lifecycle strategy, AI-enabled product innovation, and a go-to-market transformation that they say has "turned the corner." The company reported doubled displacement activity year-over-year, gave examples of notable customer wins (including a competitive PLM win with a major defense contractor and Onshape’s largest-ever win), and emphasized early traction for AI use cases across Windchill, Arena, ServiceMax and Onshape. PTC increased the midpoint of its ARR growth guidance to 9.25% (guidance range raised to ~9%–9.5% constant-currency ARR ex-Kepware/ThingWorx) and tightened visibility into FY'26 net new ARR (midpoint net new ARR of $214 million). Capital return activity accelerated: Q3 buybacks of $525 million and an updated full-year buyback plan of approximately $1.625 billion (up from prior $1.225–1.325B), with expected fully diluted share count near ~116 million for the year. Management reiterated disciplined M&A (small tuck-ins to accelerate roadmap), product road map timing (PTC Jetstream beta live, GA early Q1 FY'27) and the need to execute in Q4 to carry momentum into FY'27.
Guidance
Raised FY'26 constant-currency ARR (excluding Kepware & ThingWorx) to approximately 9%–9.5% (midpoint 9.25%). Midpoint net new ARR guidance of $214 million for fiscal year. Increased full-year stock repurchase guidance to approximately $1.625 billion. Expect fully diluted share count to be ~116 million for the full year. (No detailed FY'27 numeric guidance provided.)
Risks flagged
Execution risk to close Q4 and convert pipeline/deferred ARR into ARR; customers' methodical AI adoption (pilot → ROI → scale) could lengthen monetization timelines; reliance on continued go-to-market momentum to sustain displacement and expansion; macro/geopolitical or supply-chain pressures could slow customer spending; share-repurchase opportunistic nature exposes capital-return plan to market volatility; modest investments (e.g., solar equity) and M&A strategy focused on small tuck-ins may limit large-scale inorganic growth levers.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.17
est $1.19
−1.7%$600.0M
est $611.6M
−1.9%+6.9%
May 6, 2026$2.69
est $2.11
+27.5%$774.3M
est $712.4M
+8.7%+7.3%
Feb 4, 2026$1.92
est $1.59
+20.8%$685.8M
est $639.0M
+7.3%+3.1%
Nov 5, 2025$3.47
est $2.27
+52.9%$893.8M
est $750.9M
+19.0%−9.4%
Jul 30, 2025$1.64
est $1.21
+35.5%$643.9M
est $583.4M
+10.4%+5.2%
Apr 30, 2025$1.79
est $1.39
+28.8%$636.4M
est $606.7M
+4.9%+1.8%
Feb 5, 2025$1.10
est $0.89
+23.6%$565.1M
est $554.2M
+2.0%−10.2%
Nov 6, 2024$1.54
est $1.46
+5.5%$626.5M
est $620.7M
+0.9%0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

PTC stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PTC is $173.35, +24.1% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$173.35consensus 12-month target, +24.1% from the last close
Low $141High $205
Buy8
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 4KeyBancBuy, maintained——
Aug 3Berenberg BankHold, maintained$170+21.7%
Jul 31CitiHold, maintained$141+0.9%
Jul 30Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$145+3.8%
Jul 30Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$205+46.8%
−0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

PTC seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, PTC averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.2%2021+7.4%2022−4.0%2023+2.5%2024−0.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.6%4 of 5

For scale, PTC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

PTC market cap and key statistics

PTC’s market cap is $16.14B, with a P/E ratio of 13.6 and revenue of $2.95B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$16.14B
P/E ratio
13.6
Forward P/E
16.3
EPS, TTM
$10.09
Gekko Fair Value
$149.46

Trading

Volume
913,184
Avg volume, 20 days
1.64M
52-week high
$206.82
52-week low
$108.50
Shares outstanding
108.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.95B
Profit margin
41.4%
Return on equity
35%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−12.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.00
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5%

PTC stock news this week

Coverage of PTC this week reads positive: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

PTC peers

PTC’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

PTC stock FAQ

What is PTC’s market cap?

PTC’s market cap is $16.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $139.69, with 108.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.6.

What is the PTC stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PTC is $173.35, +24.1% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is PTC stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate PTC is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $139.69 is 6.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $149.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does PTC report earnings next?

PTC is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.00 per share on revenue of $661.0M. PTC beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.5% on average across the report.

What is PTC’s 52-week high and low?

PTC’s 52-week high is $206.82 and its 52-week low is $108.50; it closed at $139.69 on Sep 28, 2026, −31.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $219.69 on Jul 31, 2025.

Is PTC stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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