NASDAQ: LKQ

LKQ (LKQ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$23.22−0.07 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

LKQ shares have swung this week, falling 1.84% to $23.00 in one session before rising 1.68% to $23.59 in another, underperforming the broader market on both days. Attention has also centered on LKQ's Q4 2025 results, which missed EPS expectations at $0.59 against a $0.65 consensus while beating revenue estimates with $3.31 billion reported against $3.25 billion expected.

LKQ closed at $23.22, down 0.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $24.62 and its 200-day average of $28.36, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 63, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the current price stands 44.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $41.56.

The next earnings report is due 29 October 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data covering five years shows the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar averaging a 1.2% return, with gains recorded in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 7 firms shows 6 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $32.50.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

LKQ price vs fair value

$41.56$23.22Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $23.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $41.56

LKQ quick facts

Market cap
$5.87B
P/E ratio
13
Forward P/E
7.9
EPS, TTM
$1.77
Revenue, TTM
$13.69B
Profit margin
3.4%
Dividend yield
5.12%
Beta
0.84
Volume
3.28M avg 3.34M
1-year return
−22.5%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$24.62
200-day average
$28.36
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
253.0M
52-week range
$21.17$37.13

LKQ swing-trade checklist

LKQ scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $23.22 is below the 50-day ($24.62) and 200-day ($28.36) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63, Accumulation

    Reading 63 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.1% below

    Price is 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

LKQ stock chart and price history

LKQ closed at $23.22 on Sep 28, 2026, −22.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.17 to $37.13.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
LKQ share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep23.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.4%
3 months
−11.1%
6 months
−20.4%
1 year
−22.5%
The full LKQ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LKQ in Gekko

Follow LKQ through every session

Put LKQ on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track LKQ in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About LKQ

LKQ deals in the parts and systems that keep vehicles running and looking whole, supplying everything from bumper covers, body panels and headlamps to windshields for collision work, plus salvaged engines, transmissions, door units and metal body pieces, with leftover scrap sent on for recycling. On the mechanical side it moves brake pads, discs and sensors, clutches, steering and suspension gear, filters, fluids, spark plugs and batteries, and it has a name built around this kind of parts distribution.

Its business is divided into three segments, North America, Europe and Specialty, the last of which covers items like RV appliances and air conditioning units, towing hitches, bed covers, protective gear, cargo solutions, wheels, tires and suspension add-ons. Buyers range from collision and mechanical repair shops to car dealerships, both new and used, as well as everyday consumers, and the company reaches customers across the United States, Canada, several European countries and Taiwan.

Founded in 1998 and based in Chicago, Illinois, LKQ has its stock listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LKQ.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Automotive aftermarket
Website
lkqcorp.com

LKQ GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

LKQ’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.7 points over five sessions.

010063Accumulation

Down 3.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying48+1.5%+2.0%+3.8%−2.2%
Accumulation (current zone)290+0.2%+0.2%−0.5%−3.2%
Neutral313−1.4%−2.3%−3.8%−6.8%
Distribution20+0.8%−0.1%−1.2%−9.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average LKQ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LKQ price, zone by zone.Track LKQ in Gekko

Is LKQ stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

LKQ trades 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $41.56, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what LKQ shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$41.56

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

44.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LKQ in Gekko

LKQ insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LKQ, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LKQ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LKQ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LKQ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LKQ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LKQ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LKQ in Gekko

Buybacks

LKQ has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$52.00M
As a share of market cap
0.89%
Trailing four quarters
$133.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LKQ.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

LKQ earnings: next date and track record

LKQ reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.7%Jul ’24−0.6%Oct ’24+2.8%Feb ’25−11.2%Apr ’25−16.7%Jul ’25+6.4%Oct ’25+2.6%Feb ’26−7.0%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
LKQ reported Q1 2026 with North America organic revenue declining 0.5% per day, a significant improvement from -4.1% last year and -1% in Q4. Alternative parts utilization hit a record ~40% through February. Europe showed mixed results with Eastern Europe and Germany growing while UK and Italy declined. Elitek calibration business delivered strong organic growth with healthy EBITDA margins. Private label penetration reached 25.3% in Europe.
Guidance
Management expressed increasing confidence in North American recovery, citing rising used car prices, declining total loss rates, and easing insurance premiums as positive indicators. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt, but management anticipates continued margin expansion as volumes recover.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$0.67
est $0.79
−14.9%$3.47B
est $3.39B
+2.2%−7.0%
Feb 19, 2026$0.59
est $0.65
−9.2%$3.31B
est $3.25B
+2.0%+2.6%
Oct 30, 2025$0.84
est $0.74
+13.5%$3.50B
est $3.25B
+7.7%+6.4%
Jul 24, 2025$0.87
est $0.92
−5.7%$3.64B
est $3.62B
+0.6%−16.7%
Apr 24, 2025$0.79
est $0.86
−7.7%$3.46B
est $3.58B
−3.2%−11.2%
Feb 20, 2025$0.80
est $0.74
+7.8%$3.36B
est $3.65B
−8.0%+2.8%
Oct 24, 2024$0.88
est $0.89
−1.1%$3.58B
est $3.43B
+4.6%−0.6%
Jul 25, 2024$0.98
est $1.03
−4.9%$3.71B
est $3.87B
−4.0%−9.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

LKQ stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for LKQ is $32.50, +40.0% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$32.50consensus 12-month target, +40.0% from the last close
Low $30High $40
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 3Roth MKMBuy, maintained$35+50.7%
Jul 31Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$30+29.2%
Jul 31J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$30+29.2%
Jul 31Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$30+29.2%
Jul 31BarringtonBuy, reiterated$40+72.3%
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

LKQ seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, LKQ averaged +1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.4%2021+16.3%2022−12.0%2023−5.4%2024+3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.5%3 of 5

For scale, LKQ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

LKQ market cap and key statistics

LKQ’s market cap is $5.87B, with a P/E ratio of 13 and revenue of $13.69B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.87B
P/E ratio
13
Forward P/E
7.9
EPS, TTM
$1.77
Gekko Fair Value
$41.56

Trading

Volume
3.28M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.34M
52-week high
$37.13
52-week low
$21.17
Shares outstanding
253.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.69B
Profit margin
3.4%
Return on equity
7.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−29.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.84
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
5.12%

LKQ peers

LKQ’s 4 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DORMDorman Products+0.6%Accumulation9.9% below
GTGoodyear Tire & Rubber−2.1%Accumulation44.7% below
XPELXPEL−0.2%Accumulation7.6% below
SMPStandard Motor Products+1.2%Neutral2.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

LKQ stock FAQ

What is LKQ’s market cap?

LKQ’s market cap is $5.87B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $23.22, with 253.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.

What is the LKQ stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for LKQ is $32.50, +40.0% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is LKQ stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate LKQ is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $23.22 is 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $41.56. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does LKQ report earnings next?

LKQ is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.70 per share on revenue of $3.42B. LKQ beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.

What is LKQ’s 52-week high and low?

LKQ’s 52-week high is $37.13 and its 52-week low is $21.17; it closed at $23.22 on Sep 28, 2026, −22.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $60.43 on Jan 3, 2022.

Is LKQ stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See LKQ the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.