Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XPEL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every XPEL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XPEL in Gekko
NASDAQ: XPEL
XPEL (XPEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$44.15−0.28 (−0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeXPEL trades at $44.15, down 0.6%, with no fresh headlines driving the move this week. Price sits between its 50-day average of $47.43 and 200-day average of $46.79, reflecting a mixed trend. Shares remain well off the 52-week high of $55.91, with a one-month return of -6.5% and a six-month return of -5.3%, while the one-year return stands at 29.7%.
The GekkoIndex reads 62.8, placing XPEL in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value is set at $46.28, putting the current price 4.6% below that level, a gap Gekko Fair Value watchers may note is within the narrow 5% range. Typical daily movement runs 2.8%, with a typical 20-day swing of 8.3%.
Looking ahead, XPEL reports earnings on 4 November 2026, 22 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 25 February 2026 saw EPS of $0.48 against an estimate of $0.43, followed by a -10.7% reaction. Across the last 8 quarters, EPS beat estimates 5 times, with an average absolute post-earnings move of 14%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -6.6% from this point in the calendar, positive in just 1 of those years. Consensus among 3 analysts stands at a buy rating, with a consensus target of $61.67.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
XPEL price vs fair value
Close $44.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $46.28
XPEL quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.22B
- P/E ratio
- 22.7
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- $1.98
- Revenue, TTM
- $508.1M
- Profit margin
- 10.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.18
- Volume
- 111,865 avg 181,193
- 1-year return
- +29.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.3%
- 50-day average
- $47.43
- 200-day average
- $46.79
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 27.57M
XPEL swing-trade checklist
XPEL scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $44.15 sits between the 50-day ($47.43) and 200-day ($46.79) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.8, Accumulation
Reading 62.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.6% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.6% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−6.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
XPEL stock chart and price history
XPEL closed at $44.15 on Oct 12, 2026, +29.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $31.88 to $55.91.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.5%
- 3 months
- −0.1%
- 6 months
- −5.3%
- 1 year
- +29.7%
The full XPEL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open XPEL in Gekko
Follow XPEL through every session
Put XPEL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About XPEL
XPEL designs, produces, distributes and fits a wide range of aftermarket coverings for vehicles, along with some products for buildings. Its main lines include protective films for car paintwork, headlight covers, and window film for both automobiles and architectural use, and it is particularly associated with these surface protection products. The company also builds its own software to run its business operations.
Beyond its core films, XPEL sells ceramic coatings, branded clothing and gear, and installation supplies such as squeegees, microfiber cloths, fluids and cutting tools, plus paint protection kits and car care items sold through its own online store. It reaches buyers through a mix of independent installers, new car dealerships, outside distributors, franchise partners and its own installation centers, in addition to direct internet sales.
XPEL is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, and traces its founding back to 1997. It now operates in markets including the United States, China, Canada, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, the Asia Pacific region, Latin America and the Middle East and Africa. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker XPEL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Automotive aftermarket
- Website
- xpel.com
XPEL GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
XPEL’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.4 points over five sessions.
62.8Accumulation
Up 0.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 43 | +0.2% | +8.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 221 | +1.3% | +6.0% | ||
| Neutral | 382 | −0.6% | −3.6% | ||
| Distribution | 33 | +2.0% | +6.9% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average XPEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XPEL price, zone by zone.Track XPEL in Gekko
Is XPEL stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
XPEL trades 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $46.28, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what XPEL shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$46.28
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
4.6% below fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.3% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XPEL in Gekko
XPEL insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for XPEL, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in XPEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for XPEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XPEL in Gekko
Buybacks
XPEL has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $2.94M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.24%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds XPEL.
1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
XPEL earnings: next date and track record
XPEL reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.60
- Revenue estimate
- $138.7M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±14%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- XPEL reported strong 2025 results with Q4 revenue up 13.7% and Q4 EBITDA up 37.6%. The company completed a China distribution acquisition and continued investments in manufacturing and supply chain. Product-level strength included 10% growth in total window film in Q4 and 21.7% for the year, and insulation revenue up ~17% in Q4 and year. Gross margin expanded (Q4 +17.1%, year +13.3%), EBITDA margin finished at ~16%. SG&A rose modestly but showed moderation in H2. Management highlighted short-term headwinds from EV tax-credit-driven demand pull-forward and some seasonal and weather impacts but expressed optimism for 2026 driven by customer pipeline, market-share gains, and improving macro indicators. They are evaluating in-house manufacturing vs M&A/JV options and expect margin benefits over time as decisions are made.
- Guidance
- No explicit numeric revenue/earnings guidance disclosed on the call. Management provided directional guidance: assume a ~21% effective tax rate going forward; expect gross margin headwinds to abate in Q1 with gross margins at or above recent best levels by Q2; corporate SG&A leverage expected as regions are budgeted to drive improved operating margins. Management referenced a Q1 revenue guide (not detailed on the call).
- Risks flagged
- Near-term demand volatility from EV tax-credit expiration and pull-forward effects; tariff uncertainty; seasonality and weather-related sales disruption; potential short-term margin impact from integrating acquired China inventory and supply-chain/manufacturing decisions; possible longer OEM payment terms increasing DSOs; FX effects and one-time legislative items affecting comparability.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.48 est $0.43 | $122.3M est $125.0M | −10.7% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.47 est $0.48 | $125.4M est $125.0M | +3.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.59 est $0.52 | $124.7M est $118.4M | +6.6% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.31 est $0.30 | $103.8M est $118.8M | +1.6% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.32 est $0.43 | — | −2.8% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.54 est $0.51 | $112.9M est $107.0M | +6.2% |
| Aug 8, 2024 | $0.54 est $0.46 | $109.9M est $105.7M | +40.1% |
| May 2, 2024 | $0.29 est $0.31 | $90.10M est $90.10M | −40.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
XPEL stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for XPEL is $61.67, +39.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$61.67consensus 12-month target, +39.7% from the last close
Now $44.15Avg $61.67
Low $60High $65
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7 | Freedom Capital Markets | $60 | +35.9% |
| Aug 6 | Craig-Hallum | $60 | +35.9% |
| Aug 6 | B. Riley Securities | $65 | +47.2% |
+6.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−6.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
XPEL seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, XPEL averaged −6.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −4.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −7.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −6.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −6.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, XPEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.
XPEL market cap and key statistics
XPEL’s market cap is $1.22B, with a P/E ratio of 22.7 and revenue of $508.1M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.22B
- P/E ratio
- 22.7
- EPS, TTM
- $1.98
- Gekko Fair Value
- $46.28
Trading
- Volume
- 111,865
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 181,193
- 52-week high
- $55.91
- 52-week low
- $31.88
- Shares outstanding
- 27.57M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $508.1M
- Profit margin
- 10.8%
- Return on equity
- 19.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +10.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.18
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.3%
XPEL peers
XPEL’s 4 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LKQLKQ | Accumulation | 46.0% below |
| DORMDorman Products | Accumulation | 10.2% below |
| GTGoodyear Tire & Rubber | Accumulation | 47.7% below |
| SMPStandard Motor Products | Accumulation | 0.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
XPEL stock FAQ
What is XPEL’s market cap?
XPEL’s market cap is $1.22B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $44.15, with 27.57M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.7.
What is the XPEL stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for XPEL is $61.67, +39.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is XPEL stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate XPEL is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $44.15 is 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $46.28. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does XPEL report earnings next?
XPEL is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.60 per share on revenue of $138.7M. XPEL beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 14% on average across the report.
What is XPEL’s 52-week high and low?
XPEL’s 52-week high is $55.91 and its 52-week low is $31.88; it closed at $44.15 on Oct 12, 2026, +29.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $87.46 on Jul 11, 2023.
Is XPEL stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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