NYSE: ALLE

Allegion (ALLE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$155.38+0.91 (+0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Allegion's week centers on continued reaction to its Q2 2026 results and analyst commentary. Revenue rose 12.7% year over year to approximately $1.1515 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.40, and coverage notes the stock trades 16.56% below its 52-week high despite the strong print. Evercore ISI reiterated an Outperform rating and a $180 price target, citing expected second-half organic growth of approximately 5% to 6%, while Argus lowered its target to $169.00. Separately, Allegion's removal from the FTSE All-World Index drew attention as a technical event with potential implications for passive fund flows, distinct from the company's underlying business in electronic and mobile access solutions.

Shares closed at $155.38, up 0.6%, sitting between the 50-day average of $157.33 and the 200-day average of $150.44. The GekkoIndex reads 57.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a five-point change of -5.8. The stock trades 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $181.32, with a 52-week range spanning $125.00 to $183.11.

Allegion's next earnings report is scheduled for 22 October 2026, before the open, 23 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Its last report produced a 9.6% reaction, within an average absolute move of 7.1% across recent quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0.1% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus across 6 firms includes 2 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $174.64.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Allegion price vs fair value

$181.32$155.38Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $155.38200-day averageGekko Fair Value $181.32

Allegion quick facts

Market cap
$13.21B
P/E ratio
20.3
Forward P/E
15.9
EPS, TTM
$7.63
Revenue, TTM
$4.29B
Profit margin
15.4%
Dividend yield
1.39%
Beta
0.84
Volume
1.00M avg 1.38M
1-year return
−10.2%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
50-day average
$157.33
200-day average
$150.44
Next earnings
Oct 22 before open
Shares outstanding
85.04M
52-week range
$125.00$183.11

Allegion swing-trade checklist

Allegion scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $155.38 sits between the 50-day ($157.33) and 200-day ($150.44) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.6, Neutral

    Reading 57.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.3% below

    Price is 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.1% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Allegion stock chart and price history

Allegion closed at $155.38 on Sep 28, 2026, −10.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $125.00 to $183.11.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Allegion share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$140$160$180NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep155.38

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.7%
3 months
+11.3%
6 months
+7.5%
1 year
−10.2%
The full ALLE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALLE in Gekko

Follow Allegion through every session

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About Allegion

Allegion designs and supplies security equipment and related services for buildings around the world. Its catalog spans door controls and exit devices, doors and glass systems with related hardware, electronic access control and workforce tracking tools, and mechanical locks and key systems. The company also supports these products with inspection, maintenance and repair work, software for managing access and workforce needs, and installation services, giving it a presence across both physical hardware and the systems that run it.

The business is split into two segments, Allegion Americas and Allegion International, and reaches customers through specialty distributors, wholesalers, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets such as home improvement and specialty showroom stores. Its buyers include operators of commercial, institutional and residential properties, spanning education, healthcare, government, hospitality, retail, office and multi-family housing markets. Products reach these end users under several brand names, including CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage, SimonsVoss and Von Duprin.

Allegion was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ALLE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Tools & hardware
Website
allegion.com

Allegion GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Allegion’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.6, in the Neutral zone, down 5.8 points over five sessions.

010057.6Neutral

Down 5.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying250.0%+0.6%+0.6%−3.9%
Accumulation247+0.1%−0.2%+0.2%+4.0%
Neutral (current zone)352+0.5%+1.1%+1.5%+1.5%
Distribution47−0.8%−0.9%−0.6%+1.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average ALLE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALLE price, zone by zone.Track ALLE in Gekko

Is Allegion stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Allegion trades 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $181.32, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Allegion shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$181.32

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

14.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALLE in Gekko

Allegion insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Allegion, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALLE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALLE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALLE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALLE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALLE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALLE in Gekko

Buybacks

Allegion has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$500.0M, Apr 15, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$40.60M
As a share of market cap
0.31%
Trailing four quarters
$82.97M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ALLE.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Allegion earnings: next date and track record

Allegion reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.5%Oct ’24−5.1%Feb ’25+7.9%Apr ’25+7.1%Jul ’25−4.7%Oct ’25−9.4%Feb ’26−7.4%Apr ’26+9.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Allegion reported solid Q2 2026 results driven by strong organic growth in the Americas, particularly in nonresidential and electronics within residential. Revenue was approximately $1.2 billion, up 12.7% YoY, with organic revenue up 6.9%. Adjusted operating margin rose to 24.2%, and adjusted EPS was $2.40, up 17.6% YoY. Management raised full-year guidance: reported revenue to 7.5%-8.5%, organic revenue to 3.5%-4.5%, and adjusted EPS to $8.85-$9.00. International performance was mixed — ERP-related production issues improved sequentially but demand weakened in Europe (notably Germany), prompting restructuring actions that are expected to yield about $10 million annually in savings by Q4 run-rate. Americas margins expanded, pricing actions taken to address inflation and tariffs, and confidence in continued growth in non-residential spec activity (supporting 12-18 month project pipeline). Capital allocation, electronics growth, and data center opportunities were highlighted. Cash flow YTD was $260.8 million, down 5.3% YoY. Management expressed cautious optimism, raising guidance while noting macro weakness in parts of Europe and prudent assumptions in outlook. Q&A was constructive with management providing clear, confident responses while acknowledging uncertainty in Europe and the need for prudent assumptions on residential momentum.
Guidance
Raised reported revenue outlook to 7.5%-8.5% for full year 2026; raised organic revenue growth outlook to 3.5%-4.5%; raised adjusted EPS outlook to $8.85-$9.00. Americas organic assumption raised to higher end of mid-single digits. International expected to be low single-digit organic decline. Expect high single-digit to low double-digit EPS growth for 2026 vs prior year. Outlook excludes potential IEEPA refunds and future capital deployment; assumes 85.9 million shares.
Risks flagged
Weaker demand in several European markets, notably Germany; ERP implementation headwinds experienced in Q1 (improving); macroeconomic softness in Europe reducing near-term international revenue; exposure to tariffs and input cost inflation (e.g., steel/232 tariffs) though pricing and productivity actions are being used to manage inflation; potential uncertainty/timing of IEEPA refunds; cyclical recoveries may be lumpy and spec-to-revenue conversion can be unpredictable.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$2.40
est $2.23
+7.6%$1.15B
est $1.12B
+2.9%+9.6%
Apr 28, 2026$1.80
est $1.88
−4.3%$1.03B
est $1.03B
+0.7%−7.4%
Feb 17, 2026$1.94
est $2.01
−3.5%$1.03B
est $1.04B
−0.4%−9.4%
Oct 23, 2025$2.30
est $2.21
+4.1%$1.07B
est $1.04B
+3.1%−4.7%
Jul 24, 2025$2.04
est $1.99
+2.5%$1.02B
est $1.00B
+2.0%+7.1%
Apr 24, 2025$1.86
est $1.67
+11.4%$941.9M
est $920.9M
+2.3%+7.9%
Feb 18, 2025$1.86
est $1.75
+6.3%$945.6M
est $921.2M
+2.7%−5.1%
Oct 24, 2024$2.16
est $1.98
+9.1%$967.1M
est $939.0M
+3.0%−5.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Allegion stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Allegion is $174.64, +12.4% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$174.64consensus 12-month target, +12.4% from the last close
Low $160High $182
Buy2
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$180+15.8%
Aug 21J.P. MorganHold, maintained$170+9.4%
Aug 10Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$160+3.0%
Jul 28J.P. MorganHold, maintained$170+9.4%
Jul 24Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$164+5.5%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Allegion seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Allegion averaged +0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.8%2021+15.9%2022−6.5%2023−2.3%2024−2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.1%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.1%2 of 5

For scale, ALLE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.

Allegion market cap and key statistics

Allegion’s market cap is $13.21B, with a P/E ratio of 20.3 and revenue of $4.29B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.21B
P/E ratio
20.3
Forward P/E
15.9
EPS, TTM
$7.63
Gekko Fair Value
$181.32

Trading

Volume
1.00M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.38M
52-week high
$183.11
52-week low
$125.00
Shares outstanding
85.04M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.29B
Profit margin
15.4%
Return on equity
33.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+16.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.84
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
Dividend yield
1.39%

Allegion stock news this week

Coverage of Allegion this week reads negative: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 5 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Allegion peers

Allegion’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SNASnap-On+0.6%Buying3.0% below
SWKStanley Black & Decker−1.4%Accumulation12.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Allegion stock FAQ

What is Allegion’s market cap?

Allegion’s market cap is $13.21B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $155.38, with 85.04M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.3.

What is the Allegion stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Allegion is $174.64, +12.4% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Allegion stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Allegion is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $155.38 is 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $181.32. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Allegion report earnings next?

Allegion is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.49 per share on revenue of $1.14B. Allegion beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.

What is Allegion’s 52-week high and low?

Allegion’s 52-week high is $183.11 and its 52-week low is $125.00; it closed at $155.38 on Sep 28, 2026, −10.2% over the past year.

Is Allegion stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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