NYSE: SGI

Somnigroup International (SGI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$62.28−1.67 (−2.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Somnigroup (SGI) draws attention this week on continued emphasis on its growth strategy, with reporting highlighting a vertically integrated business model built around product innovation, consumer marketing, omnichannel capabilities and operational efficiencies. Separately, brokerages reiterated a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from ten firms, with eight recommending a buy and two a hold, and an average 12-month price target cited at $95.00. SGI has also drawn comparison against peer M/I Homes across institutional ownership, earnings and analyst recommendations.

The stock closed at $62.28, down 2.6%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $66.26 and 200-day average of $77.05, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Trailing returns show a 20.3% decline over three months and 24.1% over the past year, with the 52-week range spanning $60.39 to $98.56. The GekkoIndex reads 63.4, placing SGI in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 9.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $68.61.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 5 November, 37 days out and beyond a typical holding window. Smart-money activity in the past 90 days shows one insider purchase and one Congressional buy with no sales. Seasonality over five years shows a -3.7% average return across the next 20 trading days from this point, rising in only 1 of those years, a factor worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 6.5%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Somnigroup International price vs fair value

$68.61$62.28Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $62.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $68.61

Somnigroup International quick facts

Market cap
$13.10B
P/E ratio
24.9
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
$2.50
Revenue, TTM
$7.62B
Profit margin
7%
Dividend yield
1.02%
Beta
1.19
Volume
3.08M avg 3.49M
1-year return
−24.1%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$66.26
200-day average
$77.05
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
210.4M
52-week range
$60.39$98.56

Somnigroup International swing-trade checklist

Somnigroup International scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $62.28 is below the 50-day ($66.26) and 200-day ($77.05) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.4, Accumulation

    Reading 63.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    9.2% below

    Price is 9.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.7% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Somnigroup International stock chart and price history

Somnigroup International closed at $62.28 on Sep 28, 2026, −24.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.39 to $98.56.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Somnigroup International share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep62.28

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.3%
3 months
−20.3%
6 months
−11.6%
1 year
−24.1%
The full SGI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SGI in Gekko

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About Somnigroup International

Somnigroup International, doing business as Somni, focuses on developing technology built around sleep and general wellness. The company creates products meant to improve the quality of a person's rest, drawing on methods that have been scientifically tested rather than untested claims. It pairs this research foundation with smart, connected technology and the use of data to track and refine sleep patterns, aiming to support wellness beyond just the hours spent asleep.

The way Somni operates centers on merging these three elements together: validated scientific approaches, intelligent device technology, and ongoing data analysis. This combination shapes how its products are engineered, with each piece meant to work alongside the others to optimize sleep outcomes and contribute to a person's overall sense of well-being. The available information does not specify a customer base or a particular organizational structure beyond this integrated approach to product development.

No detail is given regarding where Somnigroup International is headquartered or when it was established. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SGI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Home furnishings
Website
somnigroup.com

Somnigroup International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Somnigroup International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.5 points over five sessions.

010063.4Accumulation

Down 0.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+1.8%+5.3%+10.0%+7.4%
Accumulation (current zone)179+0.7%+0.4%+0.8%+0.7%
Neutral371+0.1%+0.2%+0.9%+3.0%
Distribution72−0.6%−0.3%−1.7%+1.9%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average SGI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SGI price, zone by zone.Track SGI in Gekko

Is Somnigroup International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Somnigroup International trades 9.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Somnigroup International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$68.61

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

9.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SGI in Gekko

Somnigroup International insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Somnigroup International worth $1.89M, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.89Min 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27THOMPSON SCOTT L
director, officer: CEO & PRESIDENT
Purchase30,000$1.89M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
April McClain Delaney
House, MD, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Aug 4
traded Jul 30

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Somnigroup International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$26.20M
As a share of market cap
0.20%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold SGI.

2added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Somnigroup International earnings: next date and track record

Somnigroup International reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.1%Nov ’24−5.2%Feb ’25−0.1%May ’25+1.8%Aug ’25+14.6%Nov ’25−6.2%Feb ’26−11.8%May ’26−6.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Somnigroup (SGI) reported record Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.58, up 9% YoY, on net sales of $1.8B and adjusted EBITDA of $297M, outperforming a market down mid-to-high single digits. Mattress Firm beat the broader US market; Kingsdown expansion to ~800 stores is underway. International operations gained share across key markets. New Stearns & Foster product launch targets higher ASPs and premium repositioning.
Guidance
Management provided a 2026 earnings outlook to be detailed by CFO Bhaskar Rao. A proposed Leggett & Platt combination was flagged as a strategic update. Stearns & Foster relaunch and Kingsdown expansion expected to drive ASP improvement over the next six months.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.58
est $0.58
0.0%$1.82B
est $1.88B
−3.0%−6.2%
May 7, 2026$0.59
est $0.57
+3.5%$1.80B
est $1.83B
−1.6%−11.8%
Feb 17, 2026$0.72
est $0.72
0.0%$1.87B
est $1.93B
−3.2%−6.2%
Nov 6, 2025$0.95
est $0.86
+10.7%$2.12B
est $2.06B
+3.0%+14.6%
Aug 7, 2025$0.53
est $0.51
+3.9%$1.88B
est $2.04B
−7.7%+1.8%
May 8, 2025$0.49
est $0.47
+4.3%$1.60B
est $1.99B
−19.4%−0.1%
Feb 20, 2025$0.60
est $0.56
+7.1%$1.21B
est $1.18B
+2.2%−5.2%
Nov 7, 2024$0.82
est $0.81
+1.2%$1.30B
est $1.29B
+0.9%+9.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Somnigroup International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Somnigroup International is $93.44, +50.0% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$93.44consensus 12-month target, +50.0% from the last close
Low $80High $102
Buy10
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14StephensBuy, upgraded$80+28.5%
Sep 11Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$100+60.6%
Sep 8Raymond JamesBuy, reiterated$90+44.5%
Sep 8Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 3Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$100+60.6%
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Somnigroup International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Somnigroup International averaged −3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.2%2021+9.9%2022−12.3%2023−9.5%2024−0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.7%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%2 of 5

For scale, SGI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Somnigroup International market cap and key statistics

Somnigroup International’s market cap is $13.10B, with a P/E ratio of 24.9 and revenue of $7.62B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.10B
P/E ratio
24.9
Forward P/E
25.8
EPS, TTM
$2.50
Gekko Fair Value
$68.61

Trading

Volume
3.08M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.49M
52-week high
$98.56
52-week low
$60.39
Shares outstanding
210.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.62B
Profit margin
7%
Return on equity
17.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+10.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
1.02%

Somnigroup International stock news this week

4 headlines about Somnigroup International from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Somnigroup International peers

Somnigroup International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ARHSArhaus+2.1%Neutral2.8% above
LEGLeggett & Platt−1.4%Buying31.5% below
LZBLa-Z-Boy+0.6%Accumulation23.2% below
MBCMasterBrand−1.6%Accumulation43.8% below
HELEHelen of Troy+2.1%Neutral1.0% below
ETDEthan Allen Interiors−0.4%Accumulation3.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Somnigroup International stock FAQ

What is Somnigroup International’s market cap?

Somnigroup International’s market cap is $13.10B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $62.28, with 210.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.9.

What is the Somnigroup International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Somnigroup International is $93.44, +50.0% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Somnigroup International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Somnigroup International is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $62.28 is 9.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Somnigroup International report earnings next?

Somnigroup International is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $2.43B. Somnigroup International beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.

What is Somnigroup International’s 52-week high and low?

Somnigroup International’s 52-week high is $98.56 and its 52-week low is $60.39; it closed at $62.28 on Sep 28, 2026, −24.1% over the past year.

Is Somnigroup International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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