Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LI in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's news around Li Auto centers on product expansion, capital management, and analyst positioning. UBS reaffirmed its Buy rating with a price target of HK$67.00 following a report released on September 22, while the broader analyst consensus is described as "Moderate Buy." The company has stepped up its Hong Kong share buybacks under its 2026 repurchase mandate, and its chip subsidiary is reportedly pursuing a first external funding round at a pre-money valuation of approximately $2.2 billion. Separately, the Li i9 launch extends the company's BEV lineup as it pursues fast charging and overseas expansion.
Li shares closed at $11.71, up 1.8%, though the close sits below both the 50-day average of $12.35 and the 200-day average of $15.50, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's 52-week range spans $11.43 to $27.10, and returns have been negative across the past one, three, six, and twelve-month windows. The GekkoIndex reads 60.8, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 42.5% below the Gekko Fair Value of $20.36.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is not due until 25 November, 57 days away, placing it outside a typical holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows an average 20-day return of -2.7% over 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus among 9 firms shows 8 hold ratings and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $15.65.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Li Auto price vs fair value
Close $11.71200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.36
Li Auto quick facts
- Market cap
- $11.83B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 140.9
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.68
- Revenue, TTM
- $104.8B
- Profit margin
- -4.4%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.54
- Volume
- 3.22M avg 2.95M
- 1-year return
- −54.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.9%
- 50-day average
- $12.35
- 200-day average
- $15.50
- Next earnings
- Nov 25
- Shares outstanding
- 804.7M
Li Auto swing-trade checklist
Li Auto scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $11.71 is below the 50-day ($12.35) and 200-day ($15.50) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.8, Accumulation
Reading 60.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
42.5% below
Price is 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 57 days
Next report Nov 25, 2026, 57 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Li Auto stock chart and price history
Li Auto closed at $11.71 on Sep 28, 2026, −54.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.43 to $27.10.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.9%
- 3 months
- −1.5%
- 6 months
- −32.9%
- 1 year
- −54.6%
The full LI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LI in Gekko
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About Li Auto
Li Auto designs, builds and sells high-end intelligent electric vehicles in China, with a lineup centered on multi-purpose vehicles and sport utility vehicles. The company covers the full process itself, from early product development through manufacturing and final sale, placing it within China's growing new energy vehicle market.
Customers reach Li Auto through a combination of online platforms and physical stores, and the company handles both the initial sale and ongoing support after purchase, giving buyers a direct line to the company rather than relying solely on third-party dealers.
The business traces back to 2015, when it was established under the name Leading Ideal Inc., before it was renamed Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and its shares trade under the ticker LI.
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Website
- lixiang.com
Li Auto GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Li Auto’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.3 points over five sessions.
60.8Accumulation
Down 2.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 65 | 0.0% | −5.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 271 | −0.4% | +0.6% | ||
| Neutral | 270 | −0.6% | −3.2% | ||
| Distribution | 19 | −2.3% | −9.4% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average LI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LI price, zone by zone.Track LI in Gekko
Is Li Auto stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Li Auto trades 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.36, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Li Auto shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$20.36
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
42.5% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LI in Gekko
Li Auto insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Li Auto, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LI in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LI.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Li Auto earnings: next date and track record
Li Auto reports on Nov 25, 2026 (57 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 1 report.
Next earnings report
Nov 25, 2026
57 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.11
- Revenue estimate
- $4.05B
1 of 1reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
1 of 1reports followed by a gain
Last earnings call, Aug 28, 2025 AI summary
- What they said
- A comprehensive Li Auto Q2 2025 earnings call with prepared remarks by Xiang Li (CEO) and Tie Li (CFO), followed by multiple analyst questions. The company reported solid revenue and vehicle delivery numbers, with a 13.4% market share in high-end NEV segment and cumulative deliveries surpassing 1.36 million. Despite year-over-year revenue decline due to price/mix and incentives, gross margin remained stable QoQ and vehicle margin improved. Management discussed product roadmap (Li i6, Li MEGA Home, Li ONE/Li L9 SKU simplification), in-house chips development, and VLA autonomous driving stack with world model reinforcement learning; AV and AI initiatives highlighted as competitive differentiators. There were updates on sales system restructuring aimed at improving frontline execution, and overseas expansion plans with phased global strategy including Europe and Middle East. Cash flow was negative mainly due to working capital/payables timing, with expectations for improvement in Q3/Q4. Regulatory environment and safety/compliance considerations were emphasized for assisted driving. The call included a robust emphasis on long-term growth, AI-driven technology, and a cautious but confident tone about monetizing innovation. Forward-looking statements were provided with standard risk disclosures. The overall sentiment was cautiously positive, driven by strong delivery numbers, margin resilience, and progress on strategic initiatives, tempered by near-term margin pressures, sales mix headwinds, and regulatory risk in ADAS/AV developments.
- Guidance
- Gross margin expected around 19% for Q3, with cost controls and improving cash flow anticipated; 2025 product simplification and faster iteration expected to restore competitive positioning; overseas expansion planned (Middle East, Europe) with phased approach. No full-year revenue guidance provided in transcript excerpt.
- Risks flagged
- Macro and regulatory headwinds in ADAS/autonomous driving; higher subsidies and incentives affecting ASP; supply chain and working-capital timing; execution risks from sales-system overhaul and product SKUs; foreign-market awareness and regulatory compliance in overseas expansion.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.10 | $4.22B est $3.68B | +3.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Li Auto stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Li Auto is $15.65, +33.6% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$15.65consensus 12-month target, +33.6% from the last close
Now $11.71Avg $15.65
Low $9High $16
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | J.P. Morgan | $9 | −23.1% |
| Aug 27 | Citi | $14 | +19.6% |
| Aug 27 | CMB International Securities | $12 | +2.5% |
| Aug 27 | Piper Sandler | $13 | +11.0% |
| Aug 27 | Barclays | $14 | +19.6% |
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Li Auto seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Li Auto averaged −2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −5.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −7.0% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, LI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.9%.
Li Auto market cap and key statistics
Li Auto’s market cap is $11.83B and revenue of $104.8B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $11.83B
- Forward P/E
- 140.9
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.68
- Gekko Fair Value
- $20.36
Trading
- Volume
- 3.22M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.95M
- 52-week high
- $27.10
- 52-week low
- $11.43
- Shares outstanding
- 804.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $104.8B
- Profit margin
- -4.4%
- Return on equity
- -6.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −99.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.54
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.9%
Li Auto stock news this week
Coverage of Li Auto this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- UBS Reaffirms Their Buy Rating on Li Auto, Inc. Class A (L87)The Globe and Mail, Sep 25
- Li Auto Inc. (2015.HK) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 23
- A Look at Li Auto Inc (LI) After 5.1% Decline -- GF Value $20.00 vs Price $11.52GuruFocus, Sep 21
- Li Auto Steps Up Hong Kong Share Buybacks Under 2026 Repurchase MandateTipRanks, Sep 21
- Li Auto's i9 Launch: Should Investors Buy, Sell, or Hold LI Stock?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 21
- Li Auto chip unit said to pursue first funding round at $2.2 billion pre-money valuationCnEVPost, Sep 21
Li Auto stock FAQ
What is Li Auto’s market cap?
Li Auto’s market cap is $11.83B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.71, with 804.7M shares outstanding.
What is the Li Auto stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Li Auto is $15.65, +33.6% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Li Auto stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Li Auto is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.71 is 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Li Auto report earnings next?
Li Auto is expected to report on Nov 25, 2026 (57 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.11 per share on revenue of $4.05B.
What is Li Auto’s 52-week high and low?
Li Auto’s 52-week high is $27.10 and its 52-week low is $11.43; it closed at $11.71 on Sep 28, 2026, −54.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $47.33 on Aug 7, 2023.
Is Li Auto stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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