XPeng (XPEV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$9.95−0.17 (−1.7%)

Gekko Brief

XPeng closed at $9.95 on 28 September 2026, -1.7% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($11.55) and 200-day ($15.73) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $9.94 to $28.24. The GekkoIndex reads 68.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.9 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $14.42, so the price is 31% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 16 November 2026, 48 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 2 times, with an average move of 3.5% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -7.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

9 firms rate the stock: 6 buy, 2 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $19.09. A typical daily move is about 3.1%, and a typical 20-day move about 12.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, seasonality).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

XPeng price vs fair value

$14.42$9.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $9.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.42

XPeng quick facts

Market cap
$9.45B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
69.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.48
Revenue, TTM
$75.41B
Profit margin
-4.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.10
Volume
5.36M avg 6.49M
1-year return
−55.3%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±12.2%
50-day average
$11.55
200-day average
$15.73
Next earnings
Nov 16 before open
Shares outstanding
783.6M
52-week range
$9.94$28.24

XPeng swing-trade checklist

XPeng scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $9.95 is below the 50-day ($11.55) and 200-day ($15.73) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.8, Accumulation

    Reading 68.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.0% below

    Price is 31% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 48 days

    Next report Nov 16, 2026, 48 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −7.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

XPeng stock chart and price history

XPeng closed at $9.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −55.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.94 to $28.24.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
XPeng share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep9.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.2%
3 months
−22.3%
6 months
−41.2%
1 year
−55.3%
The full XPEV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open XPEV in Gekko

Follow XPeng through every session

Put XPEV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About XPeng

XPeng designs, builds, and sells electric cars equipped with connected, smart technology, taking each vehicle from initial concept through to the point of sale. Its lineup spans several body styles and purposes, including the G3 and G3i sport utility vehicles, the performance-focused P7 sedan, and the P5, which is built with families in mind.

Beyond selling vehicles, XPeng surrounds its cars with a wider set of services for owners. These include help with financing a purchase through contracts, leasing, or loan referrals, along with upkeep such as maintenance and super charging. It also offers extras like insurance agency work, ride-hailing, technical support, and music subscriptions, rounding out the ownership experience with more than just the car itself.

XPeng was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China. Its shares trade under the ticker XPEV.

Sector
Consumer durables
Website
xpeng.com

XPeng GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

XPeng’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.9 points over five sessions.

010068.8Accumulation

Up 3.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying13+0.7%+1.9%−0.1%−14.1%
Accumulation (current zone)88−1.3%−3.0%−7.2%−18.9%
Neutral28−6.1%−10.4%−14.9%−23.6%
Distribution0Not available
Selling0Not available

Average XPEV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XPEV price, zone by zone.Track XPEV in Gekko

Is XPeng stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

XPeng trades 31.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what XPeng shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.42

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

31.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XPEV in Gekko

XPeng insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for XPeng, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for XPEV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every XPEV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XPEV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in XPEV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for XPEV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XPEV in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold XPEV.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

XPeng earnings: next date and track record

XPeng reports on Nov 16, 2026, before the open (48 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.8%Nov ’24−3.1%Mar ’25+4.1%May ’25+2.4%Aug ’25−9.6%Nov ’25−1.5%Mar ’260.0%May ’26−4.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 24, 2026 AI summary

What they said
XPeng announced first-round financing for its Robotics business, raising over $900M at a $6.2B post-money valuation, led by IDG Capital with Tencent and Alibaba as strategic investors, setting a private financing record in China's humanoid robotics industry. CEO He Xiaopeng has taken on dual role leading both XPeng and the Robotics division. Funds will support mass production of humanoid robot IRON, which features 76 degrees of freedom and fully in-house technology stack.
Guidance
XPeng plans to accelerate mass production and commercialization of humanoid robot IRON using the $900M raised. Management targets becoming the world's most valuable humanoid robot company while continuing autonomous driving leadership globally.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 24, 2026−$0.21
est −$0.06
−252.3%$2.91B
est $3.02B
−3.7%−4.8%
May 28, 2026−$0.27
est $0.05
−652.1%$1.89B
est $1.87B
+1.0%0.0%
Mar 20, 2026$0.52
est $0.08
+541.2%$3.18B
est $3.07B
+3.6%−1.5%
Nov 17, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.01
−656.6%$2.86B
est $3.10B
−7.5%−9.6%
Aug 19, 2025−$0.07
est −$0.11
+33.6%$2.55B
est $2.49B
+2.2%+2.4%
May 21, 2025−$0.45
est −$0.27
−66.7%$2.17B
est $2.08B
+4.4%+4.1%
Mar 18, 2025−$1.47
est −$1.45
−1.6%$2.21B
est $2.21B
−0.3%−3.1%
Nov 19, 2024−$1.62
est −$0.24
−575.0%$1.44B
est $1.43B
+0.7%−2.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

XPeng stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for XPeng is $19.09, +91.9% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$19.09consensus 12-month target, +91.9% from the last close
Low $12High $28
Buy6
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 9UBSHold, reiterated$12+20.6%
Aug 25DBSBuy, maintained$28+181.4%
Aug 25CMB International SecuritiesBuy, maintained$16+60.8%
Aug 25J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$24+141.2%
Aug 25BarclaysSell, reiterated$14+40.7%
−7.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−7.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

XPeng seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, XPeng averaged −7.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+32.9%2021−39.2%2022−19.9%2023−0.4%2024−0.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−12.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−7.9%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%3 of 5

For scale, XPEV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.2%.

XPeng market cap and key statistics

XPeng’s market cap is $9.45B and revenue of $75.41B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.45B
Forward P/E
69.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.48
Gekko Fair Value
$14.42

Trading

Volume
5.36M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.49M
52-week high
$28.24
52-week low
$9.94
Shares outstanding
783.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$75.41B
Profit margin
-4.1%
Return on equity
-10.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−10.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.10
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±12.2%

XPeng stock news this week

Coverage of XPeng this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 6 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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XPeng stock FAQ

What is XPeng’s market cap?

XPeng’s market cap is $9.45B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.95, with 783.6M shares outstanding.

What is the XPeng stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for XPeng is $19.09, +91.9% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is XPeng stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate XPeng is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.95 is 31.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does XPeng report earnings next?

XPeng is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026, before the market opens (48 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.11 per share on revenue of $3.48B. XPeng beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.

What is XPeng’s 52-week high and low?

XPeng’s 52-week high is $28.24 and its 52-week low is $9.94; it closed at $9.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −55.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $56.45 on Dec 1, 2021.

Is XPeng stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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