NYSE: HAYW

Hayward (HAYW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.52+0.17 (+1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Hayward's stock touched a fresh 52-week low of $12.02 this week, with coverage pointing to weak sentiment across time horizons even as the company confirmed its third quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call for 28 October. Stifel maintained its Buy rating on the name, and Hayward separately named Jared Arrowood as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer. CEO Kevin Holleran sold $620,045 in common stock on 5 October while concurrently acquiring the same number of shares through an options exercise, a transaction that occurred near the stock's 52-week low.

Shares closed at $11.52, up 1.5% on the day but sitting below both the 50-day average of $13.68 and the 200-day average of $14.77, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The one-month return stands at -12.1% and the one-year return at -24.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 72, placing the stock in the Buying zone, and price sits 19.4% below the Gekko Fair Value of $14.30.

Earnings are scheduled for 28 October, 15 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's EPS of $0.13 matched estimates and produced a -5% reaction, with an average absolute reaction of 6.3% across the last eight quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged +3.6% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus includes 3 buy and 4 hold ratings among 7 firms, with a consensus target of $17.50.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Hayward price vs fair value

$14.30$11.52Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.30

Hayward quick facts

Market cap
$2.44B
P/E ratio
15.7
Forward P/E
13
EPS, TTM
$0.73
Revenue, TTM
$1.17B
Profit margin
13.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.18
Volume
2.78M avg 4.06M
1-year return
−24.5%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$13.68
200-day average
$14.77
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
212.1M
52-week range
$11.24$17.73

Hayward swing-trade checklist

Hayward scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.52 is below the 50-day ($13.68) and 200-day ($14.77) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72, Buying

    Reading 72 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.4% below

    Price is 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Hayward stock chart and price history

Hayward closed at $11.52 on Oct 12, 2026, −24.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.24 to $17.73.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Hayward share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.52

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.1%
3 months
−27.5%
6 months
−21.5%
1 year
−24.5%
The full HAYW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HAYW in Gekko

Follow Hayward through every session

Put HAYW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Hayward

Hayward makes equipment that keeps swimming pools running, from pumps and filters to heaters, cleaning robots, lighting, and the automation that links these parts together. It builds this gear for both homeowners and businesses that operate pools, and it has become known for pairing traditional hardware with newer IoT-based controls that let owners manage their pools remotely.

Rather than selling straight to the public, Hayward moves its products through specialty distributors, retailers, and group purchasing organizations. This network carries its goods to customers across North America and Europe, as well as other regions abroad, covering both household buyers and commercial accounts.

The company got its start in 1925 and now operates out of Charlotte, North Carolina. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker HAYW.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Recreational products
Website
hayward.com

Hayward GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Hayward’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72, in the Buying zone, up 4 points over five sessions.

010072Buying

Up 4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)60−0.2%+0.7%+6.1%+7.4%
Accumulation189+0.6%+1.1%+1.1%+1.4%
Neutral395+0.1%0.0%−0.5%+0.1%
Distribution37−2.1%−3.3%−1.6%−4.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average HAYW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HAYW price, zone by zone.Track HAYW in Gekko

Is Hayward stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Hayward trades 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Hayward shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.30

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

19.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$14$11Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HAYW in Gekko

Hayward insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hayward, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HAYW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HAYW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HAYW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HAYW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HAYW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HAYW in Gekko

Buybacks

Hayward has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$58.47M
As a share of market cap
2.39%
Trailing four quarters
$68.29M

From company filings.

Hayward earnings: next date and track record

Hayward reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.6%Jul ’24+12.2%Oct ’24+2.4%Feb ’25+5.3%May ’25+2.8%Jul ’25+12.3%Oct ’25+0.7%Feb ’26−5.0%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Hayward Holdings reported Q1 2026 net sales of $255 million, up 12% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA growing 15% and adjusted diluted EPS increasing 30% to $0.13. Gross margin expanded 50 basis points to 46.5% and adjusted EBITDA margin rose 60 basis points to 22.1%. North America and Europe/Rest of World grew 12% and 9% respectively. Net leverage improved from 2.8x to 2.4x year-over-year despite Q1 being seasonally weak for cash flow.
Guidance
Management raised full year 2026 guidance, now expecting net sales growth of approximately 5% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of approximately 9% to 13%, reflecting confidence in outlook following strong Q1 outperformance.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$0.13
est $0.13
+1.6%$255.2M
est $239.1M
+6.7%−5.0%
Feb 25, 2026$0.29
est $0.28
+3.6%$349.4M
est $331.7M
+5.3%+0.7%
Oct 29, 2025$0.14
est $0.12
+15.8%$237.2M
est $231.5M
+2.5%+12.3%
Jul 30, 2025$0.24
est $0.22
+8.0%$299.6M
est $232.0M
+29.1%+2.8%
May 1, 2025$0.10
est $0.09
+17.4%$228.8M
est $298.3M
−23.3%+5.3%
Feb 26, 2025$0.27
est $0.24
+14.5%$327.1M
est $225.4M
+45.1%+2.4%
Oct 29, 2024$0.11
est $0.10
+10.0%$227.6M
est $300.8M
−24.3%+12.2%
Jul 30, 2024$0.21
est $0.20
+5.0%$284.4M
est $282.6M
+0.6%+9.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Hayward stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hayward is $17.50, +51.9% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$17.50consensus 12-month target, +51.9% from the last close
Low $14High $19
Buy3
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Goldman SachsHold, reiterated$14+21.5%
Oct 6Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained——
Sep 15Wolfe ResearchHold, initiated——
Sep 1William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 31Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
+6.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Hayward seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Hayward averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+12.4%2021+4.5%2022−18.8%2023+11.2%2024+7.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.4%4 of 5

For scale, HAYW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Hayward market cap and key statistics

Hayward’s market cap is $2.44B, with a P/E ratio of 15.7 and revenue of $1.17B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.44B
P/E ratio
15.7
Forward P/E
13
EPS, TTM
$0.73
Gekko Fair Value
$14.30

Trading

Volume
2.78M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.06M
52-week high
$17.73
52-week low
$11.24
Shares outstanding
212.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.17B
Profit margin
13.8%
Return on equity
10.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.18
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%

Hayward peers

Hayward’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ASAmer Sports+0.8%Neutral16.2% below
HASHasbro+1.6%Neutral5.4% below
MATMattel−1.1%Distribution31.5% below
GOLFAcushnet+2.2%Accumulation4.3% above
THOThor Industries+0.7%Buying31.4% below
PIIPolaris−0.2%Accumulation21.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Hayward stock FAQ

What is Hayward’s market cap?

Hayward’s market cap is $2.44B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.52, with 212.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.7.

What is the Hayward stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hayward is $17.50, +51.9% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Hayward stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Hayward is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.52 is 19.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Hayward report earnings next?

Hayward is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.15 per share on revenue of $251.8M. Hayward beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Hayward’s 52-week high and low?

Hayward’s 52-week high is $17.73 and its 52-week low is $11.24; it closed at $11.52 on Oct 12, 2026, −24.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $28.65 on Nov 18, 2021.

Is Hayward stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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