NYSE: SWK

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$88.73−2.67 (−2.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Stanley Black & Decker shares closed at $88.73, down 2.9%, as the company announced the sale of its Excel Industries business to Bad Boy Mowers, a transaction not expected to dilute adjusted EPS. The move comes ahead of third-quarter earnings scheduled for 4 November 2026. Other coverage this week included comparisons with peer La-Z-Boy and a Form 4 insider filing.

The stock trades below its 50-day average of $95.24 but above its 200-day average of $83.53, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 64.4, placing SWK in the Accumulation zone, down 5.3 over five days. Price sits 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $79.14. Over the past month the stock is down 10.6%, though it remains up 20.8% over the past year.

Earnings are set for 4 November, 36 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 29 July showed adjusted EPS of $1.57 against a $1.20 estimate, with an average absolute reaction of 4.3% across the last eight quarters. In the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $430,110 and no put premium recorded. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 2.5% decline over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus among 5 firms shows 2 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $100.73.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Stanley Black & Decker price vs fair value

$88.73$79.14Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $88.73200-day averageGekko Fair Value $79.14

Stanley Black & Decker quick facts

Market cap
$13.40B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
14.5
EPS, TTM
$4.02
Revenue, TTM
$15.25B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
3.62%
Beta
1.17
Volume
1.77M avg 1.68M
1-year return
+20.8%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$95.24
200-day average
$83.53
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
151.0M
52-week range
$61.90$104.68

Stanley Black & Decker swing-trade checklist

Stanley Black & Decker scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $88.73 sits between the 50-day ($95.24) and 200-day ($83.53) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.4, Accumulation

    Reading 64.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    12.1% above

    Price is 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.5% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Stanley Black & Decker stock chart and price history

Stanley Black & Decker closed at $88.73 on Sep 28, 2026, +20.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $61.90 to $104.68.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Stanley Black & Decker share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep88.73

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.6%
3 months
−5.3%
6 months
+28.9%
1 year
+20.8%
The full SWK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SWK in Gekko

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About Stanley Black & Decker

Stanley Black & Decker makes and sells tools and related equipment through two main lines of business, Tools & Storage and Industrial. The company is widely recognized for its power tools and hardware, including products sold under the BLACK+DECKER name, along with hand tools, storage units, and lawn and garden equipment used by both everyday consumers and skilled tradespeople.

The Tools & Storage business reaches customers through retailers, distributors, dealers, and a direct sales team, serving professionals, industrial buyers, and household shoppers alike. The Industrial segment focuses on engineered fastening systems for sectors such as automotive, aerospace, construction, electronics, and manufacturing, and it also provides equipment and services for pipeline construction, including pipe handling, welding, coating, and inspection, plus hydraulic tools and heavy equipment attachments, largely for oil and gas pipeline operators. The company additionally sells automatic door systems to commercial businesses, and operates across the United States, Canada, other parts of the Americas, France, the rest of Europe, and Asia.

Originally established in 1843 as The Stanley Works, the company took on its present name in March 2010 and is headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut. Stanley Black & Decker is listed on the NYSE under the ticker SWK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Tools & hardware
Website
stanleyblackanddecker.com

Stanley Black & Decker GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Stanley Black & Decker’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.3 points over five sessions.

010064.4Accumulation

Down 5.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying46−0.3%+0.2%+1.7%+4.8%
Accumulation (current zone)228+0.4%+0.4%+1.3%+5.5%
Neutral365+0.1%+0.4%+0.4%−0.6%
Distribution31−0.6%−2.5%−3.8%−8.6%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average SWK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SWK price, zone by zone.Track SWK in Gekko

Is Stanley Black & Decker stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Stanley Black & Decker trades 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $79.14, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Stanley Black & Decker shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$79.14

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

12.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SWK in Gekko

Stanley Black & Decker insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Stanley Black & Decker, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SWK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SWK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SWK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SWK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SWK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SWK in Gekko

Buybacks

Stanley Black & Decker has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 4, 2026
$252.1M
As a share of market cap
1.88%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $430K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SWK.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Stanley Black & Decker earnings: next date and track record

Stanley Black & Decker reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.8%Oct ’24−0.9%Feb ’25−3.8%Apr ’25−8.3%Jul ’25+4.9%Nov ’25+5.7%Feb ’26−0.2%Apr ’26+1.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Stanley Black & Decker reported Q2 revenue flat year-over-year but up 3% organically, slightly exceeding expectations. Adjusted EPS of $1.57 beat guidance midpoint by $0.37, aided by ~$0.17 from net tariff refunds. Adjusted gross margin expanded 620bps to 33.7%; EBITDA margin rose 320bps to 11.3%. Tools & Outdoor segment grew 3% organically with power tools up 8%. Post-aerospace fasteners sale, SWK paid down $1.7B debt and repurchased $250M in shares.
Guidance
Management updated full-year 2026 EPS and cash flow guidance, incorporating net tariff refund impacts. Full-year sales and margin targets remain on track. Tariff refunds will be redeployed into growth investments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.57
est $1.20
+30.8%$3.96B
est $3.97B
−0.2%+1.4%
Apr 29, 2026$0.80
est $0.59
+35.6%$3.85B
est $3.75B
+2.6%−0.2%
Feb 4, 2026$1.41
est $1.27
+11.0%$3.68B
est $3.78B
−2.5%+5.7%
Nov 4, 2025$1.43
est $1.25
+14.4%$3.76B
est $3.76B
−0.1%+4.9%
Jul 29, 2025$1.08
est $0.46
+134.6%$3.95B
est $3.99B
−1.2%−8.3%
Apr 30, 2025$0.75
est $0.66
+14.5%$3.74B
est $3.69B
+1.5%−3.8%
Feb 5, 2025$1.49
est $1.27
+17.3%$3.72B
est $3.58B
+4.0%−0.9%
Oct 29, 2024$1.22
est $1.05
+16.2%$3.75B
est $3.79B
−1.1%−8.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Stanley Black & Decker stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Stanley Black & Decker is $100.73, +13.5% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$100.73consensus 12-month target, +13.5% from the last close
Low $93High $107
Buy2
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11UBSBuy, reiterated$105+18.3%
Sep 11UBSBuy, maintained$105+18.3%
Sep 11Wells FargoHold, maintained$95+7.1%
Aug 10Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$96+8.2%
Jul 31CitiBuy, maintained$107+20.6%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Stanley Black & Decker seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Stanley Black & Decker averaged −2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.5%2021−3.7%2022−3.3%2023−5.0%2024−4.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.5%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.0%1 of 5

For scale, SWK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Stanley Black & Decker market cap and key statistics

Stanley Black & Decker’s market cap is $13.40B, with a P/E ratio of 22.4 and revenue of $15.25B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.40B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
14.5
EPS, TTM
$4.02
Gekko Fair Value
$79.14

Trading

Volume
1.77M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.68M
52-week high
$104.68
52-week low
$61.90
Shares outstanding
151.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.25B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
6.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+247.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.17
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
Dividend yield
3.62%

Stanley Black & Decker stock news this week

Coverage of Stanley Black & Decker this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 9 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Stanley Black & Decker peers

Stanley Black & Decker’s 2 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SNASnap-On+0.6%Buying3.0% below
ALLEAllegion+1.5%Neutral14.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Stanley Black & Decker stock FAQ

What is Stanley Black & Decker’s market cap?

Stanley Black & Decker’s market cap is $13.40B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $88.73, with 151.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.4.

What is the Stanley Black & Decker stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Stanley Black & Decker is $100.73, +13.5% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Stanley Black & Decker stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Stanley Black & Decker is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $88.73 is 12.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $79.14. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Stanley Black & Decker report earnings next?

Stanley Black & Decker is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.56 per share on revenue of $3.73B. Stanley Black & Decker beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is Stanley Black & Decker’s 52-week high and low?

Stanley Black & Decker’s 52-week high is $104.68 and its 52-week low is $61.90; it closed at $88.73 on Sep 28, 2026, +20.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $199.20 on Nov 12, 2021.

Is Stanley Black & Decker stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Stanley Black & Decker?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Stanley Black & Decker over the last 30 days, with $430K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $430K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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