Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NIO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NIO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NIO in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNIO shares moved this week on news of a strategic alliance with Zhejiang Geely Holding Group focused on battery swapping and EV charging. Geely is taking a 30% stake in NIO Power, valuing the unit at approximately RMB16 billion ($2.38 billion), while NIO China retains majority control at 63.6% ownership; NIO will also take a 10% stake in Geely's Haohan Energy. The deal involves cross-investments and technology sharing aimed at expanding charging networks and shared EV standards, arriving as broader concerns about the Chinese EV industry persist and the stock has traded near a 52-week low.
NIO closed at $3.59, below both its 50-day average of $4.26 and its 200-day average of $5.09, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock is down 17.7% over one month, 27.5% over three months, and 51.9% over the past year, against a 52-week range of $3.55 to $8.02. The GekkoIndex reads 68, placing NIO in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 29.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.06.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 24 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 1 September showed EPS of $0.01 against a $0.07 loss estimate, with an 8.7% reaction. In the last 30 days, one unusual options signal was recorded, with call premium of $277,538 and no put premium. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -12.7%, positive in 1 of those years. Analyst consensus across 11 firms includes 6 buy, 4 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $6.31.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
NIO price vs fair value
Close $3.59200-day averageGekko Fair Value $5.06
NIO quick facts
- Market cap
- $8.91B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 64.9
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.27
- Revenue, TTM
- $114.1B
- Profit margin
- -4.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.92
- Volume
- 23.79M avg 39.01M
- 1-year return
- −51.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±12.1%
- 50-day average
- $4.26
- 200-day average
- $5.09
- Next earnings
- Nov 24 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 2.36B
NIO swing-trade checklist
NIO scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $3.59 is below the 50-day ($4.26) and 200-day ($5.09) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68, Accumulation
Reading 68 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
29.1% below
Price is 29.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 56 days
Next report Nov 24, 2026, 56 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−12.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −12.7% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
NIO stock chart and price history
NIO closed at $3.59 on Sep 28, 2026, −51.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.55 to $8.02.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −17.7%
- 3 months
- −27.5%
- 6 months
- −32.4%
- 1 year
- −51.9%
The full NIO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NIO in Gekko
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About NIO
NIO designs, builds and sells intelligent electric vehicles, including electric SUVs seating five or six passengers and smart electric sedans. It is widely recognized for pairing these vehicles with a broad network of charging and power services rather than selling cars alone.
Around its vehicles, NIO runs a support ecosystem covering home charging, battery swapping stations, public chargers, and mobile charging vans, along with an app that tracks charging network availability and a valet-style charging service. Customers can also access repairs and maintenance through NIO's own service centers or approved partners, insurance arranged with outside insurers, roadside help, loaner cars, data plans, and financing or leasing options, often bundled together with energy packages. On the internal side, NIO handles its own vehicle engineering and manufactures core components such as e-powertrains and battery packs, while also running its sales and after-sales operations and a certified program for inspecting, buying and reselling used vehicles.
The company is based in Shanghai, China, and traces back to 2014, when it was founded as NextEV Inc. before adopting the NIO name in July 2017. Its shares trade under the ticker NIO.
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Website
- nio.com
NIO GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
NIO’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.2 points over five sessions.
68Accumulation
Down 0.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 42 | −0.8% | +10.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 275 | +0.7% | +2.2% | ||
| Neutral | 272 | −0.2% | −2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 35 | +0.4% | +7.5% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NIO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NIO price, zone by zone.Track NIO in Gekko
Is NIO stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
NIO trades 29.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.06, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what NIO shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$5.06
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
29.1% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NIO in Gekko
NIO insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NIO, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NIO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NIO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NIO in Gekko
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 3, $278K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold NIO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
NIO earnings: next date and track record
NIO reports on Nov 24, 2026, before the open (56 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 24, 2026
Expected before the open, 56 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.03
- Revenue estimate
- $4.94B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 1, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- NIO delivered 107,658 EVs in Q2 2026, up 49.4% YoY, across NIO (60,945 units), ONVO (29,124 units), and FIREFLY (17,589 units) brands. Gross margin reached 18.4% with vehicle gross margin at 18.5%, despite rising raw material and chip costs. The company achieved non-GAAP operating profit, positive free cash flow, and grew cash reserves to RMB 56.7 billion. Smart driving adoption surged with urban NOP mileage up 92.8% for NIO users post-update.
- Guidance
- Q3 2026 total deliveries are expected between 108,000 and 111,000 units. July and August deliveries of approximately 35,934 and 35,836 vehicles respectively suggest continued sequential stability.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | $0.01 est −$0.07 | $4.73B est $4.79B | −8.7% |
| May 21, 2026 | −$0.20 est −$0.79 | $3.70B est $3.69B | −7.0% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | $0.29 est −$0.09 | $4.95B est $4.77B | +10.7% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | −$0.21 est −$0.22 | $3.06B est $3.11B | −5.0% |
| Sep 2, 2025 | −$1.85 est −$2.25 | $2.65B est $2.74B | −0.9% |
| Jun 3, 2025 | −$0.45 est −$0.22 | $1.65B est $1.73B | +6.5% |
| Mar 21, 2025 | −$3.17 est −$2.12 | $2.70B est $2.77B | −7.0% |
| Nov 20, 2024 | −$2.14 est −$1.92 | $2.66B est $2.72B | +1.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
NIO stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NIO is $6.31, +75.8% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$6.31consensus 12-month target, +75.8% from the last close
Now $3.59Avg $6.31
Low $4High $8.80
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Morgan Stanley | $8.80 | +145.1% |
| Sep 7 | UBS | $8.50 | +136.8% |
| Sep 4 | Goldman Sachs | $6.10 | +69.9% |
| Sep 2 | J.P. Morgan | $4.50 | +25.3% |
| Sep 2 | DBS | $5 | +39.3% |
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−12.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
NIO seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, NIO averaged −12.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.2% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −10.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −12.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −14.0% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, NIO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.1%.
NIO market cap and key statistics
NIO’s market cap is $8.91B and revenue of $114.1B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $8.91B
- Forward P/E
- 64.9
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.27
- Gekko Fair Value
- $5.06
Trading
- Volume
- 23.79M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 39.01M
- 52-week high
- $8.02
- 52-week low
- $3.55
- Shares outstanding
- 2.36B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $114.1B
- Profit margin
- -4.2%
- Return on equity
- -45.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.92
- Typical daily move
- ±2.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±12.1%
NIO stock news this week
Coverage of NIO this week reads positive: 8 positive, 5 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- NIO brings Geely unit into battery swapping arm NIO PowerYahoo Finance, Sep 28
- Can NIO's Geely Alliance Drive Battery-Swapping Adoption?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Why Is Nio Stock Trading Higher Today? - NIO (NYSE:NIO)Benzinga, Sep 28
- Investors Heavily Search NIO Inc. (NIO): Here is What You Need to KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Nio Advances 3% as Geely Takes 30% Stake in Battery Swapping Unit; XPeng and Tesla Pull Back24/7 Wall Street, Sep 28
- NIO, Geely form charging and battery swap alliance through cross-investmentsGasgoo, Sep 28
NIO stock FAQ
What is NIO’s market cap?
NIO’s market cap is $8.91B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $3.59, with 2.36B shares outstanding.
What is the NIO stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NIO is $6.31, +75.8% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is NIO stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate NIO is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $3.59 is 29.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $5.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does NIO report earnings next?
NIO is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, before the market opens (56 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.03 per share on revenue of $4.94B. NIO beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.9% on average across the report.
What is NIO’s 52-week high and low?
NIO’s 52-week high is $8.02 and its 52-week low is $3.55; it closed at $3.59 on Sep 28, 2026, −51.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $44.27 on Nov 8, 2021.
Is NIO stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in NIO?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in NIO over the last 30 days, with $278K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 3, 2026 with $278K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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