NYSE: GSL

Global Ship Lease (GSL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$45.22+0.64 (+1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Global Ship Lease announced a new $1 billion syndicated loan facility at a 1.5% margin over SOFR, an oversubscribed eight-bank deal described as reflecting strong lender appetite for GSL debt. Separately, the company exercised options to build two additional mid-size, ultra-high-reefer, wide-beam containerships for approximately $163 million, delivery expected in the fourth quarter of 2029, which expands the newbuilding orderbook to 17 ships. Both items concern financing terms and fleet renewal rather than current operating results.

GSL closed at $45.22, up 1.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $44.36 and its 200-day average of $40.09, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's 52-week range spans $27.28 to $46.57, and one-year return stands at 59.5%, though the one-month return is -1.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 55.2, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 4 over the last five readings. Price sits 42.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.25.

Earnings are next due on 9 November 2026, 27 days out, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter beat estimates ($2.48 actual versus $2.34 expected) with a -1.5% reaction, and the company has beaten in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 5.6%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +6.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus from 2 firms, both rated buy, carries a target of 51, implying 12.8% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Global Ship Lease price vs fair value

▲$78.25$45.22Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $45.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.25

Global Ship Lease quick facts

Market cap
$1.62B
P/E ratio
4.4
Forward P/E
3.1
EPS, TTM
$10.24
Revenue, TTM
$760.8M
Profit margin
50.4%
Dividend yield
5.59%
Beta
0.95
Volume
339,447 avg 307,693
1-year return
+59.5%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$44.36
200-day average
$40.09
Next earnings
Nov 9
Shares outstanding
36.04M
52-week range
$27.28$46.57

Global Ship Lease swing-trade checklist

Global Ship Lease scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $45.22 is above the 50-day ($44.36) and 200-day ($40.09) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.2, Neutral

    Reading 55.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    42.2% below

    Price is 42.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Global Ship Lease stock chart and price history

Global Ship Lease closed at $45.22 on Oct 12, 2026, +59.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.28 to $46.57.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Global Ship Lease share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct45.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.3%
3 months
+9.7%
6 months
+16.1%
1 year
+59.5%
The full GSL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GSL in Gekko

Follow Global Ship Lease through every session

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About Global Ship Lease

Global Ship Lease buys container vessels and leases them back out to shipping companies under fixed-price charter agreements. The company is known for building up a fleet of mid-sized and smaller containerships that it puts to work carrying cargo for others rather than operating shipping routes itself.

Its business is organized around chartering out this fleet on pre-set terms, with container shipping firms as its customers. As of March 10, 2022, the fleet numbered 65 vessels, together able to carry 342,348 twenty-foot equivalent units of cargo capacity.

Global Ship Lease was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GSL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Marine shipping
Website
globalshiplease.com

Global Ship Lease GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Global Ship Lease’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.2, in the Neutral zone, up 4 points over five sessions.

010055.2Neutral

Up 4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+2.9%+4.5%+9.2%+14.2%
Accumulation166+0.8%+2.0%+3.8%+6.1%
Neutral (current zone)411+0.3%+0.7%+1.5%+7.7%
Distribution69+1.4%+2.7%+5.6%+4.7%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average GSL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GSL price, zone by zone.Track GSL in Gekko

Is Global Ship Lease stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Global Ship Lease trades 42.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Global Ship Lease shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$78.25

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

42.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$78$45Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GSL in Gekko

Global Ship Lease insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Global Ship Lease, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GSL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GSL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GSL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GSL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSL in Gekko

Buybacks

Global Ship Lease has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$4.99M
As a share of market cap
0.31%

From company filings.

Global Ship Lease earnings: next date and track record

Global Ship Lease reports on Nov 9, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.4%Nov ’24+9.2%Mar ’25+2.2%May ’25+6.1%Aug ’25+8.0%Nov ’25−4.1%Mar ’26−8.3%May ’26−1.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Global Ship Lease's Q2 2026 earnings call emphasized a strong financial position, disciplined fleet renewal, and strategic positioning to benefit from geopolitical-driven demand for flexible midsize container ships. Management highlighted the placement of 15 newbuild ultra-high-reefer, eco vessels with multiyear charters that materially derisk the investment (over 75% of contract cost covered by contracted EBITDA early in the ships' lives). The company reported strong cash (cash balance $649M with $140M restricted), continued deleveraging (net debt reduced since 2022), lower borrowing costs, a new $55.5M Bank of America facility, and an upsized annualized dividend of $2.50 per share (~5.7% yield). Management described market dynamics driven by continued geopolitical disruptions (Strait of Hormuz, Red Sea/Gulf of Aden, U.S. tariffs) that have fragmented supply chains and increased demand for GSL's fleet profile. During Q&A, management reiterated their risk-first investment approach, explained the non-uniformity of the newbuild opportunity, and clarified installment payment cadence (backloaded payments; 50–60% on delivery).
Guidance
No formal revenue or earnings guidance was provided. Management disclosed an annualized dividend of $2.50 per share (approx. 5.7% yield) and highlighted $3.2 billion of contracted charter coverage. Management also described expectations that over 75% of the aggregate contract price for the 15 newbuilds will be covered by contracted EBITDA within the early portion of the vessels' economic lives and noted plans to fund ship payments through a mix of cash and financing.
Risks flagged
Geopolitical uncertainty and security risks (Strait of Hormuz, Lower Red Sea, Gulf of Aden); reintroduction of broad-based U.S. tariffs and supply chain fragmentation; potential volatility in recharter rates after initial charter periods; execution/timing risk on newbuild deliveries and installment payments; market/timing risk for secondhand sales; macroeconomic/interest rate and funding risks noted in their 2025 Form 20-F.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.48
est $2.34
+6.0%—
est $186.9M
—−1.5%
May 22, 2026$2.56
est $2.40
+6.7%$198.1M
est $182.9M
+8.3%−8.3%
Mar 4, 2026$2.32
est $2.41
−3.7%$190.9M
est $188.4M
+1.4%−4.1%
Nov 10, 2025$2.62
est $2.27
+15.4%$192.7M
est $188.4M
+2.3%+8.0%
Aug 5, 2025$2.67
est $2.15
+24.2%$191.9M
est $178.0M
+7.8%+6.1%
May 19, 2025$2.65
est $2.27
+16.7%$187.8M
est $175.0M
+7.3%+2.2%
Mar 5, 2025$2.55
est $2.39
+6.7%$181.4M
est $166.5M
+9.0%+9.2%
Nov 11, 2024$2.45
est $2.41
+1.7%$172.5M
est $170.7M
+1.1%−5.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Global Ship Lease stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Global Ship Lease is $51.00, +12.8% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$51.00consensus 12-month target, +12.8% from the last close
Low $50High $52
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6JefferiesBuy, maintained$50+10.6%
Aug 6B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, maintained$52+15.0%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Global Ship Lease seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Global Ship Lease averaged +6.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.7%2021+13.4%2022−5.9%2023−1.3%2024+15.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.6%3 of 5

For scale, GSL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

Global Ship Lease market cap and key statistics

Global Ship Lease’s market cap is $1.62B, with a P/E ratio of 4.4 and revenue of $760.8M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.62B
P/E ratio
4.4
Forward P/E
3.1
EPS, TTM
$10.24
Gekko Fair Value
$78.25

Trading

Volume
339,447
Avg volume, 20 days
307,693
52-week high
$46.57
52-week low
$27.28
Shares outstanding
36.04M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$760.8M
Profit margin
50.4%
Return on equity
21.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−5.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
5.59%

Global Ship Lease stock news this week

2 headlines about Global Ship Lease from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Global Ship Lease peers

Global Ship Lease’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FROFrontline+1.6%Distribution23.3% above
KEXKirby−0.8%Neutral30.2% below
MATXMatson+0.3%Neutral9.6% above
INSWInternational Seaways+0.9%Distribution4.1% below
CMBTCMB.TECH+1.0%Neutral9.0% above
HAFNHafnia−0.8%Distribution29.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Global Ship Lease stock FAQ

What is Global Ship Lease’s market cap?

Global Ship Lease’s market cap is $1.62B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $45.22, with 36.04M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 4.4.

What is the Global Ship Lease stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Global Ship Lease is $51.00, +12.8% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Global Ship Lease stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Global Ship Lease is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $45.22 is 42.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Global Ship Lease report earnings next?

Global Ship Lease is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.46 per share on revenue of $189.0M. Global Ship Lease beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.

What is Global Ship Lease’s 52-week high and low?

Global Ship Lease’s 52-week high is $46.57 and its 52-week low is $27.28; it closed at $45.22 on Oct 12, 2026, +59.5% over the past year.

Is Global Ship Lease stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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