NYSE: TK

Teekay (TK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$15.56+0.29 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Teekay touched a fresh 52-week high this week, trading as high as $15.25 before easing, with coverage pointing to a roughly 95% one-year return, a 13.5% dividend yield and a P/E ratio of 7.14, alongside commentary suggesting the stock is undervalued. Separately, the company has confirmed its Q3 2026 earnings date for 29 October, with analysts projecting earnings of $0.09 per share on revenues of $688.05 million for the quarter.

TK closed at $15.56, up 1.9% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $13.42 and 200-day average of $12.03, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 45.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while the price remains 15% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.30.

Earnings on 29 October fall inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with the last report showing adjusted net income of $194 million, or $5.56 per share, and a 0.3% reaction on the day. Historically the stock has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.1%. Seasonality over this calendar stretch has averaged a 12% move across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Teekay price vs fair value

$18.30$15.56Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $15.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.30

Teekay quick facts

Market cap
$1.35B
P/E ratio
7.1
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$2.16
Revenue, TTM
$1.15B
Profit margin
15.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.24
Volume
474,336 avg 583,402
1-year return
+92.3%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$13.42
200-day average
$12.03
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
87.69M
52-week range
$7.80$15.90

Teekay swing-trade checklist

Teekay scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $15.56 is above the 50-day ($13.42) and 200-day ($12.03) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.9, Neutral

    Reading 45.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.0% below

    Price is 15% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +12.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Teekay stock chart and price history

Teekay closed at $15.56 on Oct 12, 2026, +92.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.80 to $15.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Teekay share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$10$12$14NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct15.56

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.2%
3 months
+42.2%
6 months
+24.9%
1 year
+92.3%
The full TK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TK in Gekko

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About Teekay

Teekay moves crude oil and other cargo across the world's oceans. Beyond basic transport, it handles ship-to-ship transfers for oil, gas, and dry bulk cargoes, lightering work, maintenance and operational support for vessels, and services tied to offshore production. The company is recognized for this broad mix of marine logistics and support work rather than shipping alone.

Its fleet, numbering around 55 vessels as of March 2022, serves customers who depend on moving goods by sea. These include energy and utility firms, major oil trading houses, large industrial consumers of oil, petroleum product manufacturers, and government bodies, alongside other organizations that rely on seaborne supply chains.

Teekay traces its founding to 1973 and runs its operations from Hamilton, Bermuda. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker TK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Marine shipping
Website
teekay.com

Teekay GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Teekay’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.9, in the Neutral zone, up 0.1 points over five sessions.

010045.9Neutral

Up 0.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+2.8%+4.7%+9.0%+12.2%
Accumulation230−0.1%+0.4%+1.8%+13.0%
Neutral (current zone)343+0.8%+1.4%+3.2%+2.0%
Distribution72+0.8%+0.5%−3.1%−5.1%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average TK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TK price, zone by zone.Track TK in Gekko

Is Teekay stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Teekay trades 15.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Teekay shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$18.30

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

15.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 30.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$18$15Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TK in Gekko

Teekay insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Teekay, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TK in Gekko

Buybacks

Teekay has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$59.58M
As a share of market cap
4.40%

From company filings.

Teekay earnings: next date and track record

Teekay reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 4 reports.

3 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+10.9%Oct ’24−4.7%Feb ’25−2.2%May ’25−7.2%Jul ’25−0.3%Oct ’25+5.3%Feb ’26−1.8%May ’26+0.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Teekay Tankers reported record Q2 2026 adjusted net income of $194M ($5.56/share), up 50% quarter-over-quarter. Spot rates hit all-time highs at $109,200/day for Suezmax and $74,100/day for Aframax LR2. Free cash flow reached ~$200M, pushing cash to $1.2B with zero debt. Fleet renewal continued with two Korean Suezmax newbuildings acquired for $190M and older vessels sold at significant gains.
Guidance
Q3 2026 Suezmax rates booked at $104,800/day and Aframax LR2 at $59,900/day with 44% spot days covered. A VLCC sale of $84.5M will generate ~$23M gain in Q3. Regular quarterly dividend of $0.25/share declared.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.79—$379.1M
est $664.9M
−43.0%+0.3%
May 13, 2026$0.55—$285.8M
est $285.8M
0.0%−1.8%
Feb 18, 2026$0.40
est $0.00
—$257.7M
est $257.7M
0.0%+5.3%
Oct 29, 2025$0.34
est $0.00
———−0.3%
Jul 30, 2025−$0.50
est $0.00
—$231.7M—−7.2%
May 7, 2025$0.91
est $0.00
—$231.6M—−2.2%
Feb 19, 2025$0.19—$256.6M—−4.7%
Oct 30, 2024$0.21—$272.6M—+10.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Teekay stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Teekay is $5.00, −67.9% from the last close.

$5.00consensus 12-month target, −67.9% from the last close
+3.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+12.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Teekay seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Teekay averaged +12.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.5%2021+34.9%2022+11.1%2023−11.2%2024+22.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+12.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.4%3 of 5

For scale, TK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

Teekay market cap and key statistics

Teekay’s market cap is $1.35B, with a P/E ratio of 7.1 and revenue of $1.15B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.35B
P/E ratio
7.1
Forward P/E
9.6
EPS, TTM
$2.16
Gekko Fair Value
$18.30

Trading

Volume
474,336
Avg volume, 20 days
583,402
52-week high
$15.90
52-week low
$7.80
Shares outstanding
87.69M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.15B
Profit margin
15.8%
Return on equity
27.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+242.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.24
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Teekay stock news this week

Coverage of Teekay this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Teekay peers

Teekay’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FROFrontline+1.6%Distribution23.3% above
KEXKirby−0.8%Neutral30.2% below
MATXMatson+0.3%Neutral9.6% above
INSWInternational Seaways+0.9%Distribution4.1% below
CMBTCMB.TECH+1.0%Neutral9.0% above
HAFNHafnia−0.8%Distribution29.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Teekay stock FAQ

What is Teekay’s market cap?

Teekay’s market cap is $1.35B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.56, with 87.69M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.1.

What is the Teekay stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Teekay is $5.00, −67.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Teekay stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Teekay is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.56 is 15.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Teekay report earnings next?

Teekay is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.09 per share on revenue of $688.0M. Teekay beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 4 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

What is Teekay’s 52-week high and low?

Teekay’s 52-week high is $15.90 and its 52-week low is $7.80; it closed at $15.56 on Oct 12, 2026, +92.3% over the past year.

Is Teekay stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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