NYSE: NVGS

Navigator (NVGS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$23.89−0.04 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Navigator Holdings' proposed redomicile, under which Navigator Holdings would merge into a subsidiary of the newly formed Navigator Gas plc, incorporated in England and Wales, with each NVGS common share converting into one ordinary share of the new parent. Separately, BW Group has reduced its stake through open-market sales between September 23 and October 1, with transactions of 100,000 common shares at weighted-average prices ranging from $22.94 to $23.46. Sell-side coverage remains a "Moderate Buy" average rating, with one hold and four buy recommendations noted among five brokerages, while another piece points to rising demand for cleaner fuels like LPG and ammonia as a valuation driver.

Shares closed at $23.89, down 0.2% on the day, sitting above both the 50-day average of $22.61 and the 200-day average of $20.91, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 52.9, placing NVGS in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $35.91, putting the current price 33.5% below that level.

Earnings are due 3 November, 21 days out and before the open, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 5.9% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. The consensus analyst target sits at $25.67, implying 7.5% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Navigator price vs fair value

▲$35.91$23.89Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $23.89200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.91

Navigator quick facts

Market cap
$1.47B
P/E ratio
11.3
Forward P/E
12.9
EPS, TTM
$2.16
Revenue, TTM
$614.5M
Profit margin
22.8%
Dividend yield
1.14%
Beta
0.48
Volume
451,683 avg 518,073
1-year return
+62.1%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$22.61
200-day average
$20.91
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
61.49M
52-week range
$14.08$25.48

Navigator swing-trade checklist

Navigator scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $23.89 is above the 50-day ($22.61) and 200-day ($20.91) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.9, Neutral

    Reading 52.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    33.5% below

    Price is 33.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Navigator stock chart and price history

Navigator closed at $23.89 on Oct 12, 2026, +62.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.08 to $25.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Navigator share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$14$16$18$20$22NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct23.89

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.3%
3 months
+13.3%
6 months
+16.7%
1 year
+62.1%
The full NVGS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NVGS in Gekko

Follow Navigator through every session

Put NVGS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Navigator

Navigator owns and runs a worldwide fleet of ships that carry liquefied gas, moving petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia across both international and regional sea routes. Its customers include energy companies, industrial users, and commodity traders who rely on it to move these cargoes from one point to another. The company is widely recognized for this seaborne gas transport work.

Beyond shipping the cargo itself, Navigator also offers shore-based infrastructure tied to its operations along with consultancy services. Its transport business runs through a fleet of 57 carriers, each built with semi- or full refrigeration to keep gas cargoes stable during transit.

The company traces back to 1997, when it was incorporated, and operated for a time as an Isle of Man public limited company before adopting the Navigator Holdings name in 2006. It is headquartered in London, United Kingdom, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker NVGS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Transportation
Industry
Marine shipping
Website
navigatorgas.com

Navigator GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Navigator’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.9, in the Neutral zone, up 1.2 points over five sessions.

010052.9Neutral

Up 1.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.2%+1.8%+1.7%+10.3%
Accumulation169+0.4%+1.4%+3.7%+5.9%
Neutral (current zone)417+0.6%+0.9%+1.4%+2.9%
Distribution51−1.4%−3.1%−4.0%−1.4%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average NVGS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NVGS price, zone by zone.Track NVGS in Gekko

Is Navigator stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Navigator trades 33.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.91, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Navigator shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.91

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

33.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$36$24Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NVGS in Gekko

Navigator insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Navigator, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVGS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NVGS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVGS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NVGS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NVGS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVGS in Gekko

Buybacks

Navigator has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$6.32M
As a share of market cap
0.43%
Trailing four quarters
$95.47M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold NVGS.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Navigator earnings: next date and track record

Navigator reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.4%Aug ’24−0.6%Nov ’24−0.3%Mar ’25+0.9%May ’25+0.6%Aug ’25+3.2%Nov ’25−12.7%Mar ’26+1.2%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Navigator Gas reported record net income of $36 million ($0.55/share) and EBITDA of $80 million in Q1 2026, with TCE rates near $30,000/day. Morgans Point ethylene terminal hit record throughput of 300,000+ tons, up 57% QoQ. The company completed a $61.2M share buyback, raised capital return policy to 35% of net income, and signed an LOI to sell 8 Unigas pool vessels for ~$183 million.
Guidance
Q2 2026 TCE rates and utilization expected to exceed Q1 levels, with April already setting monthly records. Ethylene export volumes projected to reach new records in Q2. Newbuild financing secured at 150bps margin for first 2 of 6 ordered vessels.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 6, 2026$0.50
est $0.44
+14.5%$140.6M
est $139.4M
+0.9%+1.2%
Mar 11, 2026$0.32
est $0.46
−29.7%$139.5M
est $139.9M
−0.3%−12.7%
Nov 4, 2025$0.36
est $0.40
−10.0%$153.1M
est $138.3M
+10.7%+3.2%
Aug 12, 2025$0.14
est $0.32
−56.2%$129.6M
est $122.3M
+6.0%+0.6%
May 14, 2025$0.36
est $0.30
+20.4%$151.4M
est $134.9M
+12.2%+0.9%
Mar 12, 2025$0.38
est $0.32
+18.8%$144.0M
est $125.8M
+14.5%−0.3%
Nov 6, 2024$0.26
est $0.32
−18.7%$141.8M
est $122.2M
+16.1%−0.6%
Aug 14, 2024$0.32
est $0.33
−3.0%$146.7M
est $134.1M
+9.4%+3.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Navigator stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Navigator is $25.67, +7.5% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$25.67consensus 12-month target, +7.5% from the last close
Low $26High $27
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained$27+13.0%
Aug 5Alliance Global PartnersBuy, maintained$26+8.8%
Jul 27Alliance Global PartnersBuy, maintained$26+8.8%
Jul 15Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained——
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Navigator seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Navigator averaged +5.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.9%2021+13.1%2022−1.3%2023−3.3%2024+18.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.8%3 of 5

For scale, NVGS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

Navigator market cap and key statistics

Navigator’s market cap is $1.47B, with a P/E ratio of 11.3 and revenue of $614.5M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.47B
P/E ratio
11.3
Forward P/E
12.9
EPS, TTM
$2.16
Gekko Fair Value
$35.91

Trading

Volume
451,683
Avg volume, 20 days
518,073
52-week high
$25.48
52-week low
$14.08
Shares outstanding
61.49M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$614.5M
Profit margin
22.8%
Return on equity
11.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+174.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.48
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
1.14%

Navigator peers

Navigator’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FROFrontline+1.6%Distribution23.3% above
KEXKirby−0.8%Neutral30.2% below
MATXMatson+0.3%Neutral9.6% above
INSWInternational Seaways+0.9%Distribution4.1% below
CMBTCMB.TECH+1.0%Neutral9.0% above
HAFNHafnia−0.8%Distribution29.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Navigator stock FAQ

What is Navigator’s market cap?

Navigator’s market cap is $1.47B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $23.89, with 61.49M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.3.

What is the Navigator stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Navigator is $25.67, +7.5% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Navigator stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Navigator is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $23.89 is 33.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Navigator report earnings next?

Navigator is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.40 per share on revenue of $135.5M. Navigator beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.

What is Navigator’s 52-week high and low?

Navigator’s 52-week high is $25.48 and its 52-week low is $14.08; it closed at $23.89 on Oct 12, 2026, +62.1% over the past year.

Is Navigator stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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