Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GEF.B in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Oct 12 close
This week's coverage of Greif (GEF.B) centers on cost optimization, pricing power, and mix shift as drivers for future earnings and capital returns, alongside a separate piece using AI-driven models to flag weak near-term sentiment against longer-term strength, with support and resistance levels and several trading strategy frameworks discussed.
GEF.B closed at $106.08, down 1.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $108.50 and 200-day average of $91.37. The GekkoIndex reads 59.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 1.8 over five days. Price stands 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $87.2, while the consensus analyst target of $93 implies -12.3% versus the current level. The stock's one-year return stands at 74.2%, with three-month returns of 22% and six-month returns of 16.8%.
The next earnings report falls on 9 December 2026, 57 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 5% gain across 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. The 52-week range spans $57.63 to $114.64, and typical 20-day price movement runs around 5.3%, context worth noting alongside the fair value gap heading into the earnings date.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Greif scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
Averages disagree
Close $106.08 sits between the 50-day ($108.50) and 200-day ($91.37) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart59.6, Neutral
Reading 59.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex21.7% above
Price is 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair valueNo data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart moneyReports in 58 days
Next report Dec 9, 2026, 58 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+5.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Greif closed at $106.08 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $57.63 to $114.64.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put GEF.B on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Greif makes and sells industrial packaging and related services, covering items such as metal, fiber and plastic drums, bulk containers, closures, protective transit packaging and water bottles, along with services like container reconditioning, filling, logistics and storage. Customers come from chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, oil and gas, coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals and mineral processing, while flexible bulk containers and related services go to agricultural, construction and food businesses. The company is also known for its paper-based packaging products.
The business runs through three segments. Global Industrial Packaging covers the containers and services described above. Paper Packaging & Services produces containerboard, corrugated sheets and boxes, coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and processed recycled fiber, supplying packaging, automotive, food and construction material customers whose corrugated boxes carry goods from appliances and machinery to groceries, auto parts and furniture. Land Management handles timber harvesting, reforestation and sales of timberland and special-purpose land, overseeing roughly 175,000 acres of forest, mostly in the southeastern United States, as of late October 2021.
Greif traces back to 1877 and operated as Greif Bros. Corporation before taking its present name in 2001. It is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GEF.B.
Greif’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.6, in the Neutral zone, up 1.8 points over five sessions.
Up 1.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 12 | +1.3% | +8.5% |
| Accumulation | 19 | +0.4% | +6.1% |
| Neutral (current zone) | 39 | +1.7% | +10.6% |
| Distribution | 26 | +1.5% | +5.2% |
| Selling | 10 | +1.1% | −0.9% |
Average GEF.B share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
Greif trades 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $87.20, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Greif shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$87.20
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
21.7% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.5% above the estimate.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Greif, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GEF.B in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in GEF.B were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Greif reports on Dec 9, 2026 (58 days away).
Dec 9, 2026
58 days away
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Greif is $93.00, −12.3% from the last close.
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Greif averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.6% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, GEF.B’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.
Greif’s market cap is $3.98B, with a P/E ratio of 32.5 and revenue of $4.30B over the last twelve months.
2 headlines about Greif from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
Greif’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SWSmurfit WestRock | Accumulation | 17.0% below |
| PKGPackaging Corporation of America | Accumulation | 4.3% above |
| AMCRAmcor | Accumulation | 39.0% below |
| BALLBall | Neutral | 11.8% above |
| CCKCrown | Accumulation | 40.7% below |
| OCOwens Corning | Buying | 13.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Greif’s market cap is $3.98B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $106.08, with 21.36M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.5.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Greif is $93.00, −12.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Greif is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $106.08 is 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $87.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Greif is expected to report on Dec 9, 2026 (58 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.14 per share on revenue of $1.09B.
Greif’s 52-week high is $114.64 and its 52-week low is $57.63; it closed at $106.08 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.2% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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