NYSE: GEF.B

Greif (GEF.B) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$106.08−1.96 (−1.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's coverage of Greif (GEF.B) centers on cost optimization, pricing power, and mix shift as drivers for future earnings and capital returns, alongside a separate piece using AI-driven models to flag weak near-term sentiment against longer-term strength, with support and resistance levels and several trading strategy frameworks discussed.

GEF.B closed at $106.08, down 1.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $108.50 and 200-day average of $91.37. The GekkoIndex reads 59.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 1.8 over five days. Price stands 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $87.2, while the consensus analyst target of $93 implies -12.3% versus the current level. The stock's one-year return stands at 74.2%, with three-month returns of 22% and six-month returns of 16.8%.

The next earnings report falls on 9 December 2026, 57 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 5% gain across 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. The 52-week range spans $57.63 to $114.64, and typical 20-day price movement runs around 5.3%, context worth noting alongside the fair value gap heading into the earnings date.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Greif price vs fair value

$106.08$87.20Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $106.08200-day averageGekko Fair Value $87.20

Greif quick facts

Market cap
$3.98B
P/E ratio
32.5
Forward P/E
7.4
EPS, TTM
$3.32
Revenue, TTM
$4.30B
Profit margin
24.7%
Dividend yield
3.80%
Beta
0.79
Volume
83,793 avg 92,006
1-year return
+74.2%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$108.50
200-day average
$91.37
Next earnings
Dec 9
Shares outstanding
21.36M
52-week range
$57.63$114.64

Greif swing-trade checklist

Greif scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $106.08 sits between the 50-day ($108.50) and 200-day ($91.37) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.6, Neutral

    Reading 59.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    21.7% above

    Price is 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 58 days

    Next report Dec 9, 2026, 58 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Greif stock chart and price history

Greif closed at $106.08 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $57.63 to $114.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Greif share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct106.08

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.9%
3 months
+22.0%
6 months
+16.8%
1 year
+74.2%
The full GEF.B chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GEF.B in Gekko

Follow Greif through every session

Put GEF.B on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Greif

Greif makes and sells industrial packaging and related services, covering items such as metal, fiber and plastic drums, bulk containers, closures, protective transit packaging and water bottles, along with services like container reconditioning, filling, logistics and storage. Customers come from chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, oil and gas, coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals and mineral processing, while flexible bulk containers and related services go to agricultural, construction and food businesses. The company is also known for its paper-based packaging products.

The business runs through three segments. Global Industrial Packaging covers the containers and services described above. Paper Packaging & Services produces containerboard, corrugated sheets and boxes, coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and processed recycled fiber, supplying packaging, automotive, food and construction material customers whose corrugated boxes carry goods from appliances and machinery to groceries, auto parts and furniture. Land Management handles timber harvesting, reforestation and sales of timberland and special-purpose land, overseeing roughly 175,000 acres of forest, mostly in the southeastern United States, as of late October 2021.

Greif traces back to 1877 and operated as Greif Bros. Corporation before taking its present name in 2001. It is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GEF.B.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Containers/Packaging
Website
greif.com

Greif GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Greif’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.6, in the Neutral zone, up 1.8 points over five sessions.

010059.6Neutral

Up 1.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying12+1.3%+1.5%+8.5%+33.2%
Accumulation19+0.4%+0.9%+6.1%+28.3%
Neutral (current zone)39+1.7%+5.7%+10.6%+22.2%
Distribution26+1.5%+1.2%+5.2%+18.2%
Selling10+1.1%+0.7%−0.9%+4.4%

Average GEF.B share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GEF.B price, zone by zone.Track GEF.B in Gekko

Is Greif stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Greif trades 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $87.20, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Greif shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$87.20

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

21.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$87$108Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GEF.B in Gekko

Greif insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Greif, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GEF.B in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GEF.B insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GEF.B in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GEF.B were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GEF.B, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GEF.B in Gekko

Greif earnings: next date and track record

Greif reports on Dec 9, 2026 (58 days away).

Greif stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Greif is $93.00, −12.3% from the last close.

$93.00consensus 12-month target, −12.3% from the last close
+10.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Greif seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Greif averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.8%2021+17.9%2022−1.7%2023+5.7%2024+1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.6%5 of 5

For scale, GEF.B’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Greif market cap and key statistics

Greif’s market cap is $3.98B, with a P/E ratio of 32.5 and revenue of $4.30B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.98B
P/E ratio
32.5
Forward P/E
7.4
EPS, TTM
$3.32
Gekko Fair Value
$87.20

Trading

Volume
83,793
Avg volume, 20 days
92,006
52-week high
$114.64
52-week low
$57.63
Shares outstanding
21.36M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.30B
Profit margin
24.7%
Return on equity
7.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+43.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.79
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
3.80%

Greif stock news this week

2 headlines about Greif from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Greif peers

Greif’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SWSmurfit WestRock+0.2%Accumulation17.0% below
PKGPackaging Corporation of America−1.1%Accumulation4.3% above
AMCRAmcor+0.1%Accumulation39.0% below
BALLBall+1.2%Neutral11.8% above
CCKCrown+0.2%Accumulation40.7% below
OCOwens Corning−0.9%Buying13.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Greif stock FAQ

What is Greif’s market cap?

Greif’s market cap is $3.98B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $106.08, with 21.36M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.5.

What is the Greif stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Greif is $93.00, −12.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Greif stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Greif is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $106.08 is 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $87.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Greif report earnings next?

Greif is expected to report on Dec 9, 2026 (58 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.14 per share on revenue of $1.09B.

What is Greif’s 52-week high and low?

Greif’s 52-week high is $114.64 and its 52-week low is $57.63; it closed at $106.08 on Oct 12, 2026, +74.2% over the past year.

Is Greif stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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