Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GPK in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every GPK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GPK in Gekko
NYSE: GPK
Graphic Packaging (GPK) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$8.24−0.11 (−1.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeGraphic Packaging's stock has drawn renewed attention this week following the appointment of Aditya J. Gandhi as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, a move that coincided with analyst activity around the stock. Wells Fargo maintained its Sell rating with a $10.00 price target, while UBS lowered its target to $9.50 from $12.00, maintaining a Neutral rating and noting its figure sits below the average 12-month target of $11.72. The company's Q2 2026 earnings call transcript also recirculated, with net sales of $2.2 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $247 million at the top of guidance, and adjusted EPS of $0.14, with strength in Food and Health & Beauty segments offsetting weakness in Household and Foodservice.
GPK closed at $8.24, down 1.3%, trading below both its 50-day average of $10.32 and 200-day average of $11.15, with the stock near its 52-week low of $8.15. The GekkoIndex reads 71.9, placing it in the Buying zone, while price sits 36.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.94.
GPK next reports earnings on 3 November 2026, 22 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 4.8% reaction following a beat of $0.14 versus $0.12 expected. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +3.2%, with gains in 4 of those years.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Graphic Packaging price vs fair value
Close $8.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.94
Graphic Packaging quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.44B
- P/E ratio
- 13
- Forward P/E
- 8.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.66
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.64B
- Profit margin
- 2.3%
- Dividend yield
- 5.16%
- Beta
- 0.67
- Volume
- 6.44M avg 7.35M
- 1-year return
- −54.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- 50-day average
- $10.32
- 200-day average
- $11.15
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 296.1M
Graphic Packaging swing-trade checklist
Graphic Packaging scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $8.24 is below the 50-day ($10.32) and 200-day ($11.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.9, Buying
Reading 71.9 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
36.3% below
Price is 36.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 22 days
Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Graphic Packaging stock chart and price history
Graphic Packaging closed at $8.24 on Oct 12, 2026, −54.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.15 to $18.25.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.3%
- 3 months
- −20.2%
- 6 months
- −15.9%
- 1 year
- −54.6%
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About Graphic Packaging
Graphic Packaging makes fiber-based packaging for companies in food, beverage, foodservice and other consumer goods. It is known for turning paperboard into everyday items like folding cartons, cups, lids and food containers, along with barrier packaging that shields contents from moisture, temperature changes, grease, oxygen, light and pests. Its catalog also includes laminated, coated and printed packaging structures built from its own paperboard along with material sourced from outside suppliers.
The business runs through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. It produces paperboard grades such as coated unbleached kraft, coated recycled paperboard and solid bleached sulfate, which it sells to packaging converters and brokers as well as using internally. Customers span consumer packaged goods companies, quick-service restaurants and other foodservice operators. The company additionally designs and builds machinery for packaging bottles, cans and other consumer products, and supports that equipment with installation, maintenance and ongoing monitoring at customer locations. Products reach markets in the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific through sales offices and broker networks.
Graphic Packaging was founded in 2007 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GPK.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Process industries
- Industry
- Containers/Packaging
- Website
- graphicpkg.com
Graphic Packaging GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Graphic Packaging’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.9, in the Buying zone, down 0.9 points over five sessions.
71.9Buying
Down 0.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 69 | +0.7% | −2.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 293 | −0.5% | −2.2% | ||
| Neutral | 310 | −1.1% | −3.1% | ||
| Distribution | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GPK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GPK price, zone by zone.Track GPK in Gekko
Is Graphic Packaging stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Graphic Packaging trades 36.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.94, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Graphic Packaging shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$12.94
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
36.3% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GPK in Gekko
Graphic Packaging insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Graphic Packaging, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in GPK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for GPK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GPK in Gekko
Buybacks
Graphic Packaging has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $4.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.16%
- Trailing four quarters
- $84.00M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GPK.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Graphic Packaging earnings: next date and track record
Graphic Packaging reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
22 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.24
- Revenue estimate
- $2.17B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- GPK reported Q2 2026 net sales of $2.2B, adjusted EBITDA of $247M (top of guidance range), adjusted EPS of $0.14, and adjusted cash flow of $138M (+$55M YoY). EBITDA margins expanded sequentially to 11.3% driven by cost discipline and operational improvements. Strength in Food and Health & Beauty segments offset weakness in Household and Foodservice. Company is conducting a comprehensive market study to refine long-term growth strategy.
- Guidance
- Management indicated adjusted EBITDA landed at the top of guidance range with confidence in navigating inflationary pressures. Additional strategic details, including long-term growth priorities and market study findings, are expected to be shared later in 2026.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.14 est $0.12 | $2.19B est $2.18B | +4.8% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.09 est $0.06 | $2.16B est $2.05B | +17.2% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.29 est $0.39 | $2.10B est $2.03B | −7.3% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.58 est $0.54 | $2.19B est $2.05B | +8.6% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $0.42 est $0.40 | $2.20B est $2.17B | −2.8% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.51 est $0.56 | $2.12B est $2.17B | −13.8% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.59 est $0.63 | $2.10B est $2.17B | −2.8% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.64 est $0.68 | $2.22B est $2.18B | −6.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Graphic Packaging stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Graphic Packaging is $11.72, +42.2% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$11.72consensus 12-month target, +42.2% from the last close
Now $8.24Avg $11.72
Low $9High $13
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | Truist Financial | $9 | +9.2% |
| Oct 8 | Wells Fargo | $10 | +21.4% |
| Oct 7 | Wells Fargo | $10 | +21.4% |
| Oct 5 | Citi | $9 | +9.2% |
| Oct 5 | UBS | $9.50 | +15.3% |
−2.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Graphic Packaging seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Graphic Packaging averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, GPK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.
Graphic Packaging market cap and key statistics
Graphic Packaging’s market cap is $2.44B, with a P/E ratio of 13 and revenue of $8.64B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.44B
- P/E ratio
- 13
- Forward P/E
- 8.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.66
- Gekko Fair Value
- $12.94
Trading
- Volume
- 6.44M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 7.35M
- 52-week high
- $18.25
- 52-week low
- $8.15
- Shares outstanding
- 296.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.64B
- Profit margin
- 2.3%
- Return on equity
- 6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −76.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.67
- Typical daily move
- ±4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- Dividend yield
- 5.16%
Graphic Packaging stock news this week
Coverage of Graphic Packaging this week reads negative: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Why Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK) Is Back In The SpotlightSimply Wall Street, Oct 9
- Wells Fargo keeps Sell rating on Graphic Packaging stockAD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK) Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptFortune, Oct 8
- UBS cuts target for Graphic Packaging Holding Company stockAD HOC NEWS, Oct 7
- UBS Adjusts Price Target on Graphic Packaging to $9.50 From $12, Maintains Neutral Ratingwww.marketscreener.com, Oct 5
Graphic Packaging peers
Graphic Packaging’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SWSmurfit WestRock | Accumulation | 17.0% below |
| PKGPackaging Corporation of America | Accumulation | 4.3% above |
| AMCRAmcor | Accumulation | 39.0% below |
| BALLBall | Neutral | 11.8% above |
| CCKCrown | Accumulation | 40.7% below |
| OCOwens Corning | Buying | 13.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Graphic Packaging stock FAQ
What is Graphic Packaging’s market cap?
Graphic Packaging’s market cap is $2.44B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.24, with 296.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.
What is the Graphic Packaging stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Graphic Packaging is $11.72, +42.2% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Graphic Packaging stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Graphic Packaging is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $8.24 is 36.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.94. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Graphic Packaging report earnings next?
Graphic Packaging is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.24 per share on revenue of $2.17B. Graphic Packaging beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 8% on average across the report.
What is Graphic Packaging’s 52-week high and low?
Graphic Packaging’s 52-week high is $18.25 and its 52-week low is $8.15; it closed at $8.24 on Oct 12, 2026, −54.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $30.70 on Oct 28, 2024.
Is Graphic Packaging stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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