Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SW in Gekko
NYSE: SW
Smurfit WestRock (SW) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$45.07−1.34 (−2.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySmurfit Westrock this week centers on its agreement to acquire CMPC's Chilean containerboard and corrugated business for $420 million, a deal expected to close in the first half of 2027 pending regulatory approvals. The acquisition includes a recycled containerboard mill, three corrugated plants and a molded tray facility, and is described as strengthening the company's regional footprint and integrating recycled paper operations across South America. Coverage also raises the question of whether recent portfolio actions, including asset rationalization alongside the Chile deal, position the company to cut costs and support longer-term growth.
Shares closed at $45.07, down 2.9%, sitting between the 50-day average of $46.70 and the 200-day average of $43.14, with the one-month return at -7.3% against a six-month gain of 14.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 58.9, placing SW in the Neutral zone. Price sits 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.38.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, before the open, 36 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is noted. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.6% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the pending Chile transaction's regulatory timeline.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Smurfit WestRock price vs fair value
Close $45.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $41.38
Smurfit WestRock quick facts
- Market cap
- $23.64B
- P/E ratio
- 49.5
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.93
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.33B
- Profit margin
- 1.6%
- Dividend yield
- 3.80%
- Beta
- 0.93
- Volume
- 4.87M avg 4.39M
- 1-year return
- +6.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.5%
- 50-day average
- $46.70
- 200-day average
- $43.14
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 524.5M
Smurfit WestRock swing-trade checklist
Smurfit WestRock scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $45.07 sits between the 50-day ($46.70) and 200-day ($43.14) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.9, Neutral
Reading 58.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.9% above
Price is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Smurfit WestRock stock chart and price history
Smurfit WestRock closed at $45.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +6.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.73 to $52.65.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.3%
- 3 months
- −2.4%
- 6 months
- +14.4%
- 1 year
- +6.6%
The full SW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SW in Gekko
Follow Smurfit WestRock through every session
Put SW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track SW in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
Smurfit WestRock GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Smurfit WestRock’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.9, in the Neutral zone, down 0.8 points over five sessions.
58.9Neutral
Down 0.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 40 | +3.1% | +5.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 208 | +0.9% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 358 | −0.4% | −0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 60 | −0.1% | +0.2% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average SW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SW price, zone by zone.Track SW in Gekko
Is Smurfit WestRock stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Smurfit WestRock trades 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.38, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Smurfit WestRock shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$41.38
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
8.9% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SW in Gekko
Smurfit WestRock insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Smurfit WestRock, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SW in Gekko
Buybacks
Smurfit WestRock has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
- $666K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SW.
1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Smurfit WestRock earnings: next date and track record
Smurfit WestRock reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.60
- Revenue estimate
- $8.27B
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Smurfit Westrock reported Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $1,076 million at a 14% margin, impacted by ~$65 million in weather-related costs. North America generated $597 million EBITDA (13.3% margin) but faced $55M weather impact and $74M in downtime costs. The company won 600+ new corrugated customers in Q1. Integration progress is noted alongside a medium-term plan targeting 7% adjusted EBITDA CAGR and 300+ basis points of margin expansion by 2030.
- Guidance
- Management targets 7% adjusted EBITDA CAGR with over 300 basis points of margin expansion through 2030. Q2 shows improved demand with strengthening order books; price increases announced across containerboard and select consumer grades. Customer wins expected to drive growth in the latter part of the year.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.33 est $0.40 | $7.71B est $7.57B | −0.6% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.34 est $0.48 | $7.58B est $7.57B | +12.4% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.58 est $0.68 | $8.00B est $7.63B | −16.4% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.59 | $7.90B est $7.90B | −7.9% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.73 est $0.67 | $7.64B est $7.75B | −1.8% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $0.42 est $0.59 | $7.54B est $7.71B | +1.9% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.73 est $0.74 | $7.67B est $8.11B | +15.2% |
| Jul 30, 2024 | $0.74 est $0.71 | $2.77B est $8.04B | −5.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Smurfit WestRock stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Smurfit WestRock is $56.91, +26.3% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$56.91consensus 12-month target, +26.3% from the last close
Now $45.07Avg $56.91
Low $55High $69
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Truist Financial | — | — |
| Sep 23 | J.P. Morgan | $69 | +53.1% |
| Sep 23 | Wells Fargo | $55 | +22.0% |
| Sep 21 | Truist Financial | $57 | +26.5% |
| Sep 21 | UBS | $57 | +26.5% |
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Smurfit WestRock seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Smurfit WestRock averaged −1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, SW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.
Smurfit WestRock market cap and key statistics
Smurfit WestRock’s market cap is $23.64B, with a P/E ratio of 49.5 and revenue of $31.33B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $23.64B
- P/E ratio
- 49.5
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.93
- Gekko Fair Value
- $41.38
Trading
- Volume
- 4.87M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.39M
- 52-week high
- $52.65
- 52-week low
- $32.73
- Shares outstanding
- 524.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.33B
- Profit margin
- 1.6%
- Return on equity
- 2.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −83.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.93
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.80%
Smurfit WestRock stock news this week
Coverage of Smurfit WestRock this week reads positive: 10 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Corient Private Wealth LP Cuts Stock Holdings in Smurfit Westrock PLC $SWDefense World, Sep 28
- Smurfit Westrock Announces Agreement to Acquire CMPC’s Chilean Containerboard and Corrugated BusinessRed Book Lumber Data, Sep 25
- Smurfit Westrock to buy CMPC’s Chilean packaging assetsYahoo Finance, Sep 25
- Smurfit Westrock to acquire CMPC’s Chilean containerboard and corrugated businessPULPAPERnews.com, Sep 25
- Smurfit Westrock to acquire CMPC’s Chile operations for $420mInvesting.com, Sep 24
- Smurfit Westrock acquires CMPC"s Chilean containerboard business for $420 millionLesprom Network, Sep 24
Smurfit WestRock peers
Smurfit WestRock’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PKGPackaging Corporation of America | Accumulation | 8.2% above |
| AMCRAmcor | Accumulation | 37.2% below |
| BALLBall | Buying | 7.5% above |
| CCKCrown | Accumulation | 41.4% below |
| OCOwens Corning | Accumulation | 7.7% below |
| ATRAptarGroup | Accumulation | 16.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Smurfit WestRock stock FAQ
What is Smurfit WestRock’s market cap?
Smurfit WestRock’s market cap is $23.64B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $45.07, with 524.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 49.5.
What is the Smurfit WestRock stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Smurfit WestRock is $56.91, +26.3% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Smurfit WestRock stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Smurfit WestRock is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $45.07 is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.38. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Smurfit WestRock report earnings next?
Smurfit WestRock is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.60 per share on revenue of $8.27B. Smurfit WestRock beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.7% on average across the report.
What is Smurfit WestRock’s 52-week high and low?
Smurfit WestRock’s 52-week high is $52.65 and its 52-week low is $32.73; it closed at $45.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +6.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $56.99 on Nov 22, 2024.
Is Smurfit WestRock stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Smurfit WestRock the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.