NYSE: BALL

Ball (BALL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$57.13+0.30 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

Ball closed at $57.13 on 28 September 2026, +0.5% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($62.22) and 200-day ($59.92) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $44.83 to $68.29. The GekkoIndex reads 72, in the Buying zone, up 3.9 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $53.12, so the price is 7.5% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 3 November 2026, 35 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 6 times, with an average move of 6.3% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -1.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

10 firms rate the stock: 9 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $72.57. A typical daily move is about 2.2%, and a typical 20-day move about 5.3%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (fair value, seasonality).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Ball price vs fair value

$57.13$53.12Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $57.13200-day averageGekko Fair Value $53.12

Ball quick facts

Market cap
$15.21B
P/E ratio
16.9
Forward P/E
13.2
EPS, TTM
$3.36
Revenue, TTM
$14.33B
Profit margin
6.6%
Dividend yield
1.36%
Beta
0.95
Volume
2.01M avg 2.04M
1-year return
+17.9%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$62.22
200-day average
$59.92
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
264.7M
52-week range
$44.83$68.29

Ball swing-trade checklist

Ball scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $57.13 sits between the 50-day ($62.22) and 200-day ($59.92) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72, Buying

    Reading 72 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    7.5% above

    Price is 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ball stock chart and price history

Ball closed at $57.13 on Sep 28, 2026, +17.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $44.83 to $68.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ball share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$55$60$65NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep57.13

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.8%
3 months
−7.9%
6 months
−3.6%
1 year
+17.9%
The full BALL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BALL in Gekko

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About Ball

Ball makes aluminum packaging used across beverages, personal care and household products, with a presence that extends from the United States and Brazil into other international markets. It is widely recognized for producing aluminum beverage cans supplied to makers of soft drinks, beer and energy drinks, alongside items such as aerosol containers, reclosable bottles, cups and slugs.

The company organizes its work into four segments: beverage packaging for North and Central America, for Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and for South America, plus a separate aerospace unit. The aerospace side builds spacecraft, sensors, instruments and radio frequency systems for civil, commercial and national security customers, and its output ranges from defense hardware and tactical antenna and video systems to satellites, remote sensing tools, ground control equipment and launch integration support. It also produces specialized components like star trackers, cryogenic sensor-cooling systems and fast-steering mirrors for government agencies and their prime contractors.

Ball was established in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BALL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Containers/Packaging
Website
ball.com

Ball GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ball’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72, in the Buying zone, up 3.9 points over five sessions.

010072Buying

Up 3.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)59+0.8%+1.3%+1.8%−0.3%
Accumulation2130.0%+0.1%+0.1%+2.0%
Neutral3500.0%−0.1%0.0%+0.3%
Distribution46+0.8%+1.9%+4.1%+1.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average BALL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BALL price, zone by zone.Track BALL in Gekko

Is Ball stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ball trades 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $53.12, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ball shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$53.12

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

7.5% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BALL in Gekko

Ball insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ball, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BALL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BALL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BALL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BALL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BALL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BALL in Gekko

Buybacks

Ball has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$114.0M
As a share of market cap
0.75%
Trailing four quarters
$414.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BALL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ball earnings: next date and track record

Ball reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.5%Aug ’24−8.1%Oct ’24−8.1%Feb ’25−2.3%May ’25−8.8%Aug ’25+3.8%Nov ’25+14.3%Feb ’26−3.2%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ball Corporation reported a solid start to 2026 with global shipped beverage volumes up ~1% year-over-year and strong operational execution driving improved profit per can and operating leverage. Management highlighted disciplined capacity management, a well-contracted portfolio, and an EVA-driven capital allocation framework. Segment reporting was adjusted (reclassification of financing-related items and movement of India/Myanmar plants into EMEA) to improve transparency. Volume strength was reported in April (enterprise mid-single digits; South America April +20%), and management said they remain sold out for 2026, >90% contracted for 2027 and ~50% contracted for the remainder of the decade. EMEA performance showed notable profit improvement; North America remains capacity constrained and will see Millersburg ramp costs (~$35 million) later in the year. Management reiterated the can’s favorable demand dynamics, described pass-through mechanisms for aluminum, freight and energy, and emphasized operational levers (Ball business system, standardization, cost discipline) to offset transitory cost pressures.
Guidance
Volume and contract-related guidance: Expect to finish 2026 at the top end of the company's long-term volume algorithm (enterprise 2%–3% growth; North America toward the bottom end of that range due to capacity constraints; EMEA above its 3%–5% commitment; South America expected to achieve 4%–6% long-term growth). Contracting status: sold out for 2026, >90% sold for 2027, ~50% sold out through the rest of the decade. Cost/timing guidance: ~$35 million of Millersburg ramp-up costs expected later in the year (heavily in Q3, some in Q4).
Risks flagged
Risks noted included commodity cost volatility (especially aluminum), energy cost inflation, geopolitical tensions (Middle East) impacting commodity markets, supply chain disruptions in high-growth markets (e.g., India imports/shortages), regional demand variability (Q1 weakness in South America), and the potential impact of tariffs. Also, near-term ramp and domestication costs (e.g., Millersburg) will temporarily affect operating leverage.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$0.94
est $0.84
+11.3%$3.60B
est $3.34B
+7.8%−3.2%
Feb 3, 2026$0.91
est $0.91
−0.3%$3.35B
est $3.11B
+7.5%+14.3%
Nov 4, 2025$1.02
est $1.03
−1.0%$3.37B
est $3.32B
+1.6%+3.8%
Aug 5, 2025$0.90
est $0.87
+3.4%$3.34B
est $3.21B
+4.1%−8.8%
May 6, 2025$0.76
est $0.70
+8.9%$3.10B
est $2.90B
+7.0%−2.3%
Feb 4, 2025$0.84
est $0.81
+3.7%$2.88B
est $2.97B
−3.0%−8.1%
Oct 31, 2024$0.91
est $0.86
+5.8%$3.08B
est $3.13B
−1.6%−8.1%
Aug 1, 2024$0.74
est $0.70
+5.7%$2.98B
est $3.10B
−3.9%+1.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ball stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ball is $72.57, +27.0% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$72.57consensus 12-month target, +27.0% from the last close
Low $65High $78
Buy9
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18J.P. MorganBuy, upgraded$65+13.8%
Sep 14JefferiesBuy, maintained$74+29.5%
Aug 31Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$78+36.5%
Aug 6CitiBuy, maintained$75+31.3%
Aug 5RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$77+34.8%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ball seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Ball averaged −1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.7%2021+2.2%2022−4.5%2023−3.6%2024+0.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.1%3 of 5

For scale, BALL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Ball market cap and key statistics

Ball’s market cap is $15.21B, with a P/E ratio of 16.9 and revenue of $14.33B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$15.21B
P/E ratio
16.9
Forward P/E
13.2
EPS, TTM
$3.36
Gekko Fair Value
$53.12

Trading

Volume
2.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.04M
52-week high
$68.29
52-week low
$44.83
Shares outstanding
264.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.33B
Profit margin
6.6%
Return on equity
17.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.36%

Ball peers

Ball’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SWSmurfit WestRock−1.3%Neutral8.9% above
PKGPackaging Corporation of America−0.1%Accumulation8.2% above
AMCRAmcor+1.3%Accumulation37.2% below
CCKCrown+0.1%Accumulation41.4% below
OCOwens Corning+0.9%Accumulation7.7% below
ATRAptarGroup+1.3%Accumulation16.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ball stock FAQ

What is Ball’s market cap?

Ball’s market cap is $15.21B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $57.13, with 264.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.9.

What is the Ball stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ball is $72.57, +27.0% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ball stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ball is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $57.13 is 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $53.12. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ball report earnings next?

Ball is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.05 per share on revenue of $3.77B. Ball beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Ball’s 52-week high and low?

Ball’s 52-week high is $68.29 and its 52-week low is $44.83; it closed at $57.13 on Sep 28, 2026, +17.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $97.99 on Feb 1, 2022.

Is Ball stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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