NASDAQ: KRT

Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$54.49−0.09 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Karat Packaging shares touched an all-time high of $55.38 this week, extending a move that reflects strong quarterly results including revenue up 9.9% year-on-year and online sales growth, along with a "GREAT" financial health score and a 3.44% dividend yield following four consecutive years of increases. At the same time, Bank of America maintained a Sell rating and set a $33.00 price target, well below the broader consensus, while short interest rose 35.88% as of 30 September 2026 to 7.06% of the public float. Coverage also noted a consensus "Hold" rating with an average target of $47.00 from six brokerages.

KRT last closed at $54.49, down 0.2%, trading above both its 50-day average of $49.42 and 200-day average of $33.62, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 47.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, and price sits 2.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.13.

KRT next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report produced an 11.2% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.8% return over the past 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the proximity to the upcoming earnings date.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Karat Packaging price vs fair value

$56.13$54.49Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $54.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $56.13

Karat Packaging quick facts

Market cap
$1.09B
P/E ratio
21.5
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
$2.50
Revenue, TTM
$493.4M
Profit margin
10.2%
Dividend yield
3.37%
Beta
0.76
Volume
238,082 avg 201,696
1-year return
+127.6%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.9%
50-day average
$49.42
200-day average
$33.62
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
19.93M
52-week range
$20.61$56.06

Karat Packaging swing-trade checklist

Karat Packaging scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $54.49 is above the 50-day ($49.42) and 200-day ($33.62) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    47.1, Neutral

    Reading 47.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.9% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.9% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Karat Packaging stock chart and price history

Karat Packaging closed at $54.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +127.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.61 to $56.06.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Karat Packaging share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct54.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+16.1%
3 months
+53.7%
6 months
+84.7%
1 year
+127.6%
The full KRT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KRT in Gekko

Follow Karat Packaging through every session

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About Karat Packaging

Karat Packaging makes and distributes disposable products used mainly in restaurants and foodservice settings. Its catalog spans food and carry-out containers, bags, tableware, cups and lids, cutlery, straws, beverage-related parts, equipment, and gloves, produced from conventional plastic, paper, and compostable or biopolymer materials. A portion of this range is sold under the Karat Earth name, reflecting its more sustainable material options.

The company sells to a mix of customers, including wholesale distributors at both national and regional levels, larger restaurant chains, retail stores, and buyers who order directly online. Beyond manufacturing and distribution, it also supports clients with services such as developing new products, graphic design, custom printing, and logistics, giving it a role that extends past simply supplying goods.

Karat Packaging was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Chino, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker KRT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Process industries
Industry
Containers/Packaging
Website
karatpackaging.com

Karat Packaging GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Karat Packaging’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47.1, in the Neutral zone, up 2 points over five sessions.

010047.1Neutral

Up 2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+4.5%+6.5%+9.6%+9.4%
Accumulation209−0.1%+0.3%+1.3%+5.6%
Neutral (current zone)358+0.8%+1.2%+2.3%+5.0%
Distribution77+1.2%+3.6%+5.6%+12.7%
Selling10+1.9%+5.3%+15.0%+16.6%

Average KRT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KRT price, zone by zone.Track KRT in Gekko

Is Karat Packaging stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Karat Packaging trades 2.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.13, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Karat Packaging shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$56.13

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

2.9% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$56$55Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KRT in Gekko

Karat Packaging insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Karat Packaging, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KRT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KRT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KRT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KRT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KRT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KRT in Gekko

Buybacks

Karat Packaging has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$3.00M
As a share of market cap
0.28%

From company filings.

Karat Packaging earnings: next date and track record

Karat Packaging reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.1%Nov ’24−4.1%Mar ’25+12.7%May ’25−7.0%Aug ’25−11.3%Nov ’25+18.0%Mar ’26−5.4%May ’26+11.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
KRT reported record quarterly net sales of $136.3 million, up 9.9% year-over-year, driven by $13.1 million in volume growth. Online sales surged 23.6% YoY. Gross margin reached 56.6%, boosted by $25.8 million in IEEPA tariff refunds (189 bps benefit). Eco-friendly products grew to 33.8% of sales. Four new chain accounts were added, and a new 47,000 sq ft Orlando distribution center is planned for Q3 2026.
Guidance
Management is opening a new Orlando distribution center expected operational in Q3 2026 to support Southeast customers and e-commerce growth. No specific revenue or EPS targets were disclosed in this excerpt, though management expressed continued focus on sustainable profitability and long-term growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.45
est $0.50
+190.0%$136.3M
est $135.5M
+0.6%+11.2%
May 7, 2026$0.34
est $0.32
+6.3%$116.9M
est $113.0M
+3.5%−5.4%
Mar 12, 2026$0.34
est $0.28
+23.3%$115.6M
est $113.9M
+1.5%+18.0%
Nov 6, 2025$0.37
est $0.39
−5.1%$124.5M
est $113.9M
+9.3%−11.3%
Aug 7, 2025$0.57
est $0.60
−5.0%$124.0M
est $124.0M
0.0%−7.0%
May 8, 2025$0.33
est $0.31
+6.5%$103.6M
est $121.3M
−14.6%+12.7%
Mar 13, 2025$0.29
est $0.43
−32.6%$101.6M
est $102.3M
−0.6%−4.1%
Nov 7, 2024$0.47
est $0.51
−7.8%$112.8M
est $102.3M
+10.3%−0.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Karat Packaging stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Karat Packaging is $46.50, −14.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$46.50consensus 12-month target, −14.7% from the last close
Low $33High $60
Buy2
Hold0
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$33−39.4%
Sep 14Lake StreetBuy, reiterated$60+10.1%
Aug 7Lake StreetBuy, reiterated$50−8.2%
Aug 7William BlairBuy, maintained——
Jul 14Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$34−37.6%
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Karat Packaging seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Karat Packaging averaged +5.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+17.9%2021−4.4%2022+3.0%2023+13.3%2024−2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.7%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.7%2 of 5

For scale, KRT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.9%.

Karat Packaging market cap and key statistics

Karat Packaging’s market cap is $1.09B, with a P/E ratio of 21.5 and revenue of $493.4M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.09B
P/E ratio
21.5
EPS, TTM
$2.50
Gekko Fair Value
$56.13

Trading

Volume
238,082
Avg volume, 20 days
201,696
52-week high
$56.06
52-week low
$20.61
Shares outstanding
19.93M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$493.4M
Profit margin
10.2%
Return on equity
30.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+170.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.76
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±6.9%
Dividend yield
3.37%

Karat Packaging peers

Karat Packaging’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SWSmurfit WestRock+0.2%Accumulation17.0% below
PKGPackaging Corporation of America−1.1%Accumulation4.3% above
AMCRAmcor+0.1%Accumulation39.0% below
BALLBall+1.2%Neutral11.8% above
CCKCrown+0.2%Accumulation40.7% below
OCOwens Corning−0.9%Buying13.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Karat Packaging stock FAQ

What is Karat Packaging’s market cap?

Karat Packaging’s market cap is $1.09B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $54.49, with 19.93M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.5.

What is the Karat Packaging stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Karat Packaging is $46.50, −14.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Karat Packaging stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Karat Packaging is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $54.49 is 2.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $56.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Karat Packaging report earnings next?

Karat Packaging is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.41 per share on revenue of $140.3M. Karat Packaging beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.

What is Karat Packaging’s 52-week high and low?

Karat Packaging’s 52-week high is $56.06 and its 52-week low is $20.61; it closed at $54.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +127.6% over the past year.

Is Karat Packaging stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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