Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BANF in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BANF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BANF in Gekko
NASDAQ: BANF
BancFirst (BANF) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$107.28+1.10 (+1.0%)
Gekko Brief
Oct 12 closeBancFirst closed at $107.28 on 12 October 2026, +1% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($110.53) and 200-day ($111.61) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $101.48 to $126.14. The GekkoIndex reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $116.19, so the price is 7.7% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 16 October 2026, 4 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 6 times, with an average move of 3.3% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +5.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
2 firms rate the stock: 0 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $124.33. A typical daily move is about 1.9%, and a typical 20-day move about 5.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, earnings risk).
A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.
BancFirst price vs fair value
Close $107.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $116.19
BancFirst quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.60B
- P/E ratio
- 14.3
- Forward P/E
- 19
- EPS, TTM
- $7.41
- Revenue, TTM
- $713.2M
- Profit margin
- 35.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.84%
- Beta
- 0.66
- Volume
- 175,146 avg 154,570
- 1-year return
- −13.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.2%
- 50-day average
- $110.53
- 200-day average
- $111.61
- Next earnings
- Oct 16
- Shares outstanding
- 33.60M
BancFirst swing-trade checklist
BancFirst scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $107.28 is below the 50-day ($110.53) and 200-day ($111.61) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62, Accumulation
Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.7% below
Price is 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 4 days
Reports on Oct 16, 2026, 4 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
BancFirst stock chart and price history
BancFirst closed at $107.28 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $101.48 to $126.14.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.3%
- 3 months
- −6.7%
- 6 months
- −6.3%
- 1 year
- −13.6%
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BancFirst GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
BancFirst’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions.
62Accumulation
Up 0.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 21 | +1.8% | +3.7% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 252 | +0.5% | +2.5% |
| Neutral | 374 | 0.0% | −0.1% |
| Distribution | 22 | −2.2% | −2.6% |
| Selling | 13 | +2.0% | −3.0% |
Average BANF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BANF price, zone by zone.Track BANF in Gekko
Is BancFirst stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
BancFirst trades 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what BancFirst shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$116.19
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026
7.7% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BANF in Gekko
BancFirst insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BancFirst, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BANF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BANF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BANF in Gekko
Buybacks
BancFirst has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2023
- $1.82M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.05%
From company filings.
BancFirst earnings: next date and track record
BancFirst reports on Oct 16, 2026 (4 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 16, 2026
4 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.94
- Revenue estimate
- $187.7M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $1.96 est $1.79 | $187.5M est $178.5M | −0.6% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | $1.85 est $1.76 | $179.0M est $177.2M | +3.3% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | $1.75 est $1.79 | $181.0M est $173.8M | −7.5% |
| Oct 17, 2025 | $1.85 est $1.86 | $175.5M est $175.1M | +0.1% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $1.85 est $1.65 | $169.3M est $174.6M | +5.9% |
| Apr 17, 2025 | $1.67 est $1.58 | $164.8M est $161.7M | +5.2% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $1.68 est $1.64 | $162.9M est $162.4M | −1.7% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | $1.75 est $1.58 | $163.7M est $159.3M | +1.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
BancFirst stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BancFirst is $124.33, +15.9% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$124.33consensus 12-month target, +15.9% from the last close
Now $107.28Avg $124.33
Low $121High $125
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5 | KBW | $121 | +12.8% |
| Jul 28 | D.A. Davidson | $125 | +16.5% |
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
BancFirst seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, BancFirst averaged +5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.9% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, BANF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.
BancFirst market cap and key statistics
BancFirst’s market cap is $3.60B, with a P/E ratio of 14.3 and revenue of $713.2M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.60B
- P/E ratio
- 14.3
- Forward P/E
- 19
- EPS, TTM
- $7.41
- Gekko Fair Value
- $116.19
Trading
- Volume
- 175,146
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 154,570
- 52-week high
- $126.14
- 52-week low
- $101.48
- Shares outstanding
- 33.60M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $713.2M
- Profit margin
- 35.3%
- Return on equity
- 13.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +5.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.66
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.2%
- Dividend yield
- 1.84%
BancFirst stock news this week
1 headline about BancFirst from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- BancFirst Corporation (BANF) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 11
BancFirst peers
BancFirst’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Accumulation | 5.7% below |
| USBU.S. Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.0% below |
| NUNu | Neutral | 0.7% below |
| TFCTruist Financial | Accumulation | 9.6% below |
| FITBFifth Third Bancorp | Accumulation | 11.2% below |
| MTBM&T Bank | Accumulation | 9.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
BancFirst stock FAQ
What is BancFirst’s market cap?
BancFirst’s market cap is $3.60B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $107.28, with 33.60M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.3.
What is the BancFirst stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BancFirst is $124.33, +15.9% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is BancFirst stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate BancFirst is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $107.28 is 7.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does BancFirst report earnings next?
BancFirst is expected to report on Oct 16, 2026 (4 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.94 per share on revenue of $187.7M. BancFirst beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.
What is BancFirst’s 52-week high and low?
BancFirst’s 52-week high is $126.14 and its 52-week low is $101.48; it closed at $107.28 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $138.77 on Sep 5, 2025.
Is BancFirst stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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