NASDAQ: MPB

Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$36.01+0.31 (+0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Mid Penn Bancorp draws fresh analyst attention this week as Piper Sandler initiates coverage with an Overweight rating and a $42.00 price target, citing strong earnings growth projections, including a 19% increase in 2027, and return metrics expected to exceed peer levels. The stock also carries a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating and a consensus target price of $39.50 from analysts, following quarterly results that topped estimates and a quarterly dividend increase to $0.23 per share. A Form 13D/A filing on 10 October also surfaced, pointing to a disclosure tied to ownership changes.

Shares close at $36.01, up 0.9%, sitting between the 50-day average of $36.93 and the 200-day average of $34.12, with the 1-year return at 28.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.5, placing MPB in the Accumulation zone. Price remains 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.46.

Earnings are set for 28 October, 15 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed EPS of $0.83 against a $0.84 estimate, with a 7.9% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of 8 recent quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings date.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Mid Penn Bancorp price vs fair value

$38.46$36.01Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $36.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $38.46

Mid Penn Bancorp quick facts

Market cap
$912.7M
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
11.1
EPS, TTM
$2.86
Revenue, TTM
$263.5M
Profit margin
25.9%
Dividend yield
2.49%
Beta
0.48
Volume
89,966 avg 98,212
1-year return
+28.9%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
50-day average
$36.93
200-day average
$34.12
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
25.34M
52-week range
$26.56$39.15

Mid Penn Bancorp swing-trade checklist

Mid Penn Bancorp scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $36.01 sits between the 50-day ($36.93) and 200-day ($34.12) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.5, Accumulation

    Reading 61.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.4% below

    Price is 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Mid Penn Bancorp stock chart and price history

Mid Penn Bancorp closed at $36.01 on Oct 12, 2026, +28.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.56 to $39.15.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Mid Penn Bancorp share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct36.01

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.9%
3 months
+4.8%
6 months
+7.0%
1 year
+28.9%
The full MPB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MPB in Gekko

Follow Mid Penn Bancorp through every session

Put MPB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Mid Penn Bancorp

Mid Penn Bancorp operates as the parent company of Mid Penn Bank, which delivers standard banking services to a mix of customers such as individuals, partnerships, nonprofit groups and corporations. The bank is recognized for its wide selection of deposit products, covering checking and savings accounts, club savings programs, money market accounts, certificates of deposit and retirement savings vehicles, along with digital conveniences like online and phone banking, cash handling tools, ATM access and secure storage boxes.

Its loan offerings span home mortgages, home equity credit lines, both secured and unsecured business and personal loans, revolving credit arrangements, construction funding, farm-related loans, and financing directed toward community projects, charitable organizations and local governments. The bank further extends trust services and wealth planning guidance to its clientele. By the close of 2021, it ran sixty retail branch locations spread throughout nineteen counties within Pennsylvania, indicating a footprint rooted in regional community banking.

Founded in 1868, the company has its main offices in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ exchange under the symbol MPB.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Regional banks
Website
midpennbank.com

Mid Penn Bancorp GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Mid Penn Bancorp’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.8 points over five sessions.

010061.5Accumulation

Up 0.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%−0.9%
Accumulation (current zone)212+0.4%+1.3%+4.9%+7.3%
Neutral403+0.5%+0.8%+0.9%+4.7%
Distribution39−0.7%−0.6%−3.7%+2.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MPB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MPB price, zone by zone.Track MPB in Gekko

Is Mid Penn Bancorp stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Mid Penn Bancorp trades 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.46, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Mid Penn Bancorp shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$38.46

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

6.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$38$36Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MPB in Gekko

Mid Penn Bancorp insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mid Penn Bancorp, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MPB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MPB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MPB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MPB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MPB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MPB in Gekko

Buybacks

Mid Penn Bancorp has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$50.00M, Jul 22, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.71M
As a share of market cap
0.30%

From company filings.

Mid Penn Bancorp earnings: next date and track record

Mid Penn Bancorp reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.5%Apr ’24+4.5%Jul ’24+1.6%Oct ’24+0.7%Jan ’25+8.0%Apr ’25−7.5%Jul ’25+4.6%Oct ’25+7.9%Jan ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 21, 2026$0.83
est $0.84
−1.2%$62.03M
est $61.85M
+0.3%+7.9%
Oct 22, 2025$0.77
est $0.75
+2.7%$60.78M
est $60.15M
+1.1%+4.6%
Jul 23, 2025$0.70
est $0.69
+1.4%$53.73M
est $58.35M
−7.9%−7.5%
Apr 23, 2025$0.72
est $0.65
+10.8%$47.04M
est $47.10M
−0.1%+8.0%
Jan 22, 2025$0.71
est $0.71
0.0%——+0.7%
Oct 23, 2024$0.75
est $0.71
+5.6%$44.78M
est $44.51M
+0.6%+1.6%
Jul 24, 2024$0.68
est $0.60
+13.3%$43.54M
est $41.91M
+3.9%+4.5%
Apr 24, 2024$0.64
est $0.61
+4.9%$41.76M
est $41.22M
+1.3%+1.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Mid Penn Bancorp stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mid Penn Bancorp is $40.67, +12.9% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$40.67consensus 12-month target, +12.9% from the last close
Low $41High $42
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Piper SandlerBuy, initiated$42+16.6%
Jul 27KBWBuy, reiterated$41+13.9%
+4.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Mid Penn Bancorp seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Mid Penn Bancorp averaged +7.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.8%2021+10.8%2022−0.7%2023+10.3%2024+6.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.2%5 of 5

For scale, MPB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.

Mid Penn Bancorp market cap and key statistics

Mid Penn Bancorp’s market cap is $912.7M, with a P/E ratio of 12.7 and revenue of $263.5M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$912.7M
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
11.1
EPS, TTM
$2.86
Gekko Fair Value
$38.46

Trading

Volume
89,966
Avg volume, 20 days
98,212
52-week high
$39.15
52-week low
$26.56
Shares outstanding
25.34M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$263.5M
Profit margin
25.9%
Return on equity
8.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+286.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.48
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
Dividend yield
2.49%

Mid Penn Bancorp stock news this week

Coverage of Mid Penn Bancorp this week reads positive: 9 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Mid Penn Bancorp peers

Mid Penn Bancorp’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce+0.4%Accumulation5.7% below
USBU.S. Bancorp+0.4%Accumulation11.0% below
NUNu−0.6%Neutral0.7% below
TFCTruist Financial+0.9%Accumulation9.6% below
FITBFifth Third Bancorp+0.1%Accumulation11.2% below
MTBM&T Bank+0.9%Accumulation9.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Mid Penn Bancorp stock FAQ

What is Mid Penn Bancorp’s market cap?

Mid Penn Bancorp’s market cap is $912.7M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $36.01, with 25.34M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.7.

What is the Mid Penn Bancorp stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mid Penn Bancorp is $40.67, +12.9% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Mid Penn Bancorp stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Mid Penn Bancorp is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $36.01 is 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Mid Penn Bancorp report earnings next?

Mid Penn Bancorp is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.91 per share on revenue of $77.72M. Mid Penn Bancorp beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Mid Penn Bancorp’s 52-week high and low?

Mid Penn Bancorp’s 52-week high is $39.15 and its 52-week low is $26.56; it closed at $36.01 on Oct 12, 2026, +28.9% over the past year.

Is Mid Penn Bancorp stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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