NYSE: AES

AES (AES) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$14.870.00 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on AES Corporation's second-quarter results, with revenue rising 20 percent to $3.422 billion, exceeding consensus estimates. Diluted EPS came in at $0.60, beating the $0.45 consensus, though a separate normalized figure showed EPS of $0.44, slightly below estimates. Analysts maintain a consensus "Hold" rating with an average 12-month target price of $15.71. Separately, several postings for roles at AES Dominicana, including positions tied to data center infrastructure and renewable energy portfolio management, point to continued activity around large load customers and clean energy assets.

AES closed at $14.87, sitting above both its 50-day average of $14.78 and its 200-day average of $14.67, with the shorter average above the longer one. The stock trades 16% below its 52-week high of $17.65 and has returned 14.1% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 50.3, placing it in the Neutral zone, and the price sits at Gekko Fair Value, with a gap of 0%.

Looking ahead, AES reports earnings on 3 November 2026, 35 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 6.1% historically. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 0.7% return across 5 years, positive in 3 of them, a mild backdrop worth noting alongside the consensus target of $15.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

AES price vs fair value

$14.87$14.87Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $14.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.87

AES quick facts

Market cap
$10.60B
P/E ratio
5.6
Forward P/E
6.6
EPS, TTM
$2.67
Revenue, TTM
$13.05B
Profit margin
14.3%
Dividend yield
4.74%
Beta
0.95
Volume
6.57M avg 7.53M
1-year return
+14.1%
Typical daily move
±0.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$14.78
200-day average
$14.67
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
713.4M
52-week range
$12.97$17.65

AES swing-trade checklist

AES scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.87 is above the 50-day ($14.78) and 200-day ($14.67) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.3, Neutral

    Reading 50.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.0% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AES stock chart and price history

AES closed at $14.87 on Sep 28, 2026, +14.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.97 to $17.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
AES share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep14.87

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.8%
3 months
+1.6%
6 months
+6.2%
1 year
+14.1%
The full AES chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AES in Gekko

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About AES

AES generates and delivers electricity on an international scale, owning and running power plants that supply utilities, large industrial buyers, and other intermediate customers. It also operates as a utility in its own right, handling the production or purchase of power along with its transmission, distribution, and final sale to homes, businesses, industrial sites, and government customers. The company additionally trades in the wholesale electricity market and draws on a wide mix of generation sources, from coal and natural gas to hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass, with renewable operations that also include energy storage and landfill gas.

Its generation capacity runs to roughly 31,459 megawatts, and it does business well beyond the United States, with operations spanning Puerto Rico, several Central and South American countries such as El Salvador, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, along with the Caribbean, Europe, and Asia.

The company traces back to 1981, when it was established as Applied Energy Services, Inc., before adopting the name The AES Corporation in April 2000. It is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker AES.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
aes.com

AES GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AES’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.3, in the Neutral zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.

010050.3Neutral

Down 3.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38−1.9%−3.9%−4.7%−6.4%
Accumulation248+0.5%+1.2%+1.0%+2.1%
Neutral (current zone)360−0.1%−0.2%+0.6%+0.9%
Distribution25+0.8%−1.0%−5.9%−13.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average AES share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AES price, zone by zone.Track AES in Gekko

Is AES stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AES trades level with Gekko Fair Value of $14.87, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AES shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.87

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.0% from fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AES in Gekko

AES insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AES, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AES in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AES insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AES in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AES were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AES, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AES in Gekko

Buybacks

AES has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2016
$79.00M
As a share of market cap
0.74%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AES.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

AES earnings: next date and track record

AES reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.7%Aug ’24−10.4%Oct ’24+7.8%Feb ’25+1.8%May ’25+1.1%Jul ’25+5.6%Nov ’25−17.9%Mar ’26+0.4%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$0.77
est $0.37
+108.1%$3.18B
est $3.11B
+2.4%+0.4%
Mar 2, 2026$0.81
est $0.63
+29.4%$3.10B
est $3.03B
+2.3%−17.9%
Nov 5, 2025$0.75
est $0.73
+2.7%$3.35B
est $3.37B
−0.5%+5.6%
Jul 31, 2025$0.51
est $0.46
+9.7%$2.86B
est $3.37B
−15.2%+1.1%
May 1, 2025$0.27
est $0.34
−20.3%$2.93B
est $3.05B
−4.0%+1.8%
Feb 28, 2025$0.54
est $0.46
+16.6%$2.96B
est $3.07B
−3.5%+7.8%
Oct 31, 2024$0.71
est $0.64
+10.9%$3.29B
est $3.46B
−5.0%−10.4%
Aug 1, 2024$0.38
est $0.37
+2.7%$2.94B
est $3.19B
−7.7%−3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AES stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AES is $15.00, +0.9% from the last close.

$15.00consensus 12-month target, +0.9% from the last close
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±0.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AES seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, AES averaged +0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.3%2021+7.1%2022−8.4%2023−13.5%2024+9.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days0.0%4 of 5

For scale, AES’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

AES market cap and key statistics

AES’s market cap is $10.60B, with a P/E ratio of 5.6 and revenue of $13.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.60B
P/E ratio
5.6
Forward P/E
6.6
EPS, TTM
$2.67
Gekko Fair Value
$14.87

Trading

Volume
6.57M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.53M
52-week high
$17.65
52-week low
$12.97
Shares outstanding
713.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.05B
Profit margin
14.3%
Return on equity
9.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+951.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±0.3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
4.74%

AES stock news this week

Coverage of AES this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

AES peers

AES’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy−0.7%Buying24.8% below
SOSouthern−0.7%Buying0.3% above
CEGConstellation Energy−0.5%Accumulation0.3% above
DUKDuke Energy−0.1%Buying10.3% above
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.1%Buying7.2% above
DDominion Energy−0.6%Accumulation11.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AES stock FAQ

What is AES’s market cap?

AES’s market cap is $10.60B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.87, with 713.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.6.

What is the AES stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AES is $15.00, +0.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AES stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AES is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.87 is level with Gekko Fair Value of $14.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AES report earnings next?

AES is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.53 per share on revenue of $3.45B. AES beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.

What is AES’s 52-week high and low?

AES’s 52-week high is $17.65 and its 52-week low is $12.97; it closed at $14.87 on Sep 28, 2026, +14.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $29.89 on Dec 13, 2022.

Is AES stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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