NYSE: BEPC

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$27.97−0.50 (−1.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Brookfield Renewable's stock fell 2.60% this week even as the company reported Q2 Funds From Operations up 13% year-over-year to USD 421 million, with shares trading near their 52-week low. A separate piece pointed to the company's exposure to rising demand for green energy ahead of its scheduled third-quarter report in November.

BEPC closed at $27.97, down 1.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $32.29 and 200-day average of $37.51, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -15.2% and its one-year return at -17.7%, with a 52-week range spanning $27.63 to $45.18. The GekkoIndex reads 73.6, placing it in the Buying zone, and the current price sits 19.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $34.92.

The next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, before the open, which lies 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS miss against estimate with a -2.1% reaction, against a backdrop of 6 beats in the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +2.7% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus reflects 0 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $38.86.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Brookfield Renewable price vs fair value

$34.92$27.97Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $27.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $34.92

Brookfield Renewable quick facts

Market cap
$4.13B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
−$21.26
Revenue, TTM
$3.83B
Profit margin
-102.3%
Dividend yield
5.51%
Beta
1.16
Volume
2.01M avg 1.79M
1-year return
−17.7%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.9%
50-day average
$32.29
200-day average
$37.51
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
150.9M
52-week range
$27.63$45.18

Brookfield Renewable swing-trade checklist

Brookfield Renewable scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $27.97 is below the 50-day ($32.29) and 200-day ($37.51) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.6, Buying

    Reading 73.6 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.9% below

    Price is 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Brookfield Renewable stock chart and price history

Brookfield Renewable closed at $27.97 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.63 to $45.18.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Brookfield Renewable share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep27.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−15.2%
3 months
−24.9%
6 months
−28.9%
1 year
−17.7%
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About Brookfield Renewable

Brookfield Renewable operates a wide network of power generation facilities that rely on renewable sources such as flowing water, wind, and sunlight. The company is known for running these sites across multiple continents, converting natural resources into electricity on a large scale, with a combined output capacity of roughly 12,723 megawatts.

Its facilities are concentrated in the United States and Europe, along with operations in Colombia and Brazil. Brookfield Renewable earns its income through the generation and presumably the sale of electricity produced at these hydroelectric, wind, and solar installations, drawing on a mix of technologies spread across different regions.

Brookfield Renewable was founded in 2019 and keeps its main office in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BEPC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
bep.brookfield.com

Brookfield Renewable GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Brookfield Renewable’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.6, in the Buying zone, up 6.2 points over five sessions.

010073.6Buying

Up 6.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)47+0.4%+1.3%+6.3%+3.8%
Accumulation243+0.1%+0.1%−0.4%+4.3%
Neutral3410.0%+0.3%+0.8%+2.8%
Distribution40+1.2%+0.3%+1.9%−5.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average BEPC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BEPC price, zone by zone.Track BEPC in Gekko

Is Brookfield Renewable stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Brookfield Renewable trades 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $34.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Brookfield Renewable shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$34.92

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

19.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BEPC in Gekko

Brookfield Renewable insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Brookfield Renewable, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BEPC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BEPC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BEPC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BEPC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BEPC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BEPC in Gekko

Buybacks

Brookfield Renewable has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
$59.02M
As a share of market cap
1.43%

From company filings.

Brookfield Renewable earnings: next date and track record

Brookfield Renewable reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.0%Aug ’24−1.3%Nov ’24+1.5%Jan ’25−4.6%May ’25−6.1%Aug ’25+1.5%Nov ’25+4.2%Jan ’26−2.1%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 1, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Brookfield Renewable reported a strong start to 2026 with record financial results driven by diversified global operations, active development, and strategic M&A. Management reported FFO of $375 million for Q1 (up 19% YoY; $0.55 per unit), $1.394 billion FFO for the last 12 months (up 13% YoY), deployment/commitment of $2.2 billion into growth ($550 million net to BEP), 1.8 GW of new capacity brought online, 1.7 GW contracted from the advanced development pipeline, and nearly $3 billion of expected proceeds from capital recycling activities. Key strategic items included the announced agreement to acquire Boralex, a focus on scaling asset recycling and capital recycling programs, an 80-GW advanced-stage development pipeline, expanding battery storage and behind-the-meter solutions, and progressing discussions around U.S. nuclear (Westinghouse) long-lead frameworks. The company strengthened liquidity and funding with ~ $4 billion of financings in Q1, ending the quarter with over $4.7 billion of available liquidity and a record C$500 million 30-year bond issuance, extending average corporate-level debt maturity to ~14 years. Management also initiated work on a potential simplification to a single listed corporate entity.
Guidance
Management stated they feel well positioned to exceed their long-term target of ~10% FFO-per-unit growth in the near and near-to-medium term, citing M&A, organic development, and capital recycling as primary drivers. No specific numeric quarterly or annual revenue/earnings guidance beyond this growth outlook and the companys existing targets was provided.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks include weaker hydrology in certain regions (notably U.S. hydro operations), elevated interest rates and earlier oversupply dynamics in some South American markets, permitting/interconnection and local community pushback, supply-chain pressures, the need for alignment among stakeholders for large-scale nuclear buildouts (government, utilities, offtakers, financiers), and uncertainties/time required to complete a corporate simplification exercise. Management also reiterated forward-looking statement risks and regulatory/filed disclosures.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 1, 2026−$0.40
est −$0.33
−21.2%$883.0M
est $1.56B
−43.4%−2.1%
Jan 30, 2026−$0.06
est −$0.14
+57.1%$938.0M
est $1.30B
−28.0%+4.2%
Nov 5, 2025$999.00
est −$0.01
+9,990,100.0%$931.0M
est $2.05B
−54.5%+1.5%
Aug 1, 2025$999.00
est −$0.07
+1,427,242.9%$1.32B
est $2.10B
−37.2%−6.1%
May 2, 2025$999.00
est −$0.12
+832,600.0%$907.0M
est $2.27B
−60.0%−4.6%
Jan 31, 2025−$0.26
est −$0.19
−36.8%$987.0M
est $1.37B
−27.7%+1.5%
Nov 8, 2024−$0.11
est −$0.28
+60.7%——−1.3%
Aug 2, 2024−$0.12
est −$0.27
+55.6%$989.0M
est $1.57B
−36.8%−3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Brookfield Renewable stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Brookfield Renewable is $38.86, +38.9% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$38.86consensus 12-month target, +38.9% from the last close
Low $36High $42
Buy0
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 12Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$42+50.2%
Aug 3J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$36+28.7%
Jul 22BarclaysHold, maintained$39+39.4%
Jul 21J.P. MorganHold, downgraded$38+35.9%
Jul 21Morgan StanleySell, maintained$42+50.2%
+6.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Brookfield Renewable seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Brookfield Renewable averaged +2.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.1%2021−5.9%2022−3.6%2023−0.4%2024+17.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.2%3 of 5

For scale, BEPC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.9%.

Brookfield Renewable market cap and key statistics

Brookfield Renewable’s market cap is $4.13B and revenue of $3.83B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.13B
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
−$21.26
Gekko Fair Value
$34.92

Trading

Volume
2.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.79M
52-week high
$45.18
52-week low
$27.63
Shares outstanding
150.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.83B
Profit margin
-102.3%
Return on equity
-45.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−98.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.16
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.9%
Dividend yield
5.51%

Brookfield Renewable stock news this week

2 headlines about Brookfield Renewable from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Brookfield Renewable peers

Brookfield Renewable’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy−0.7%Buying24.8% below
SOSouthern−0.7%Buying0.3% above
CEGConstellation Energy−0.5%Accumulation0.3% above
DUKDuke Energy−0.1%Buying10.3% above
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.1%Buying7.2% above
DDominion Energy−0.6%Accumulation11.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Brookfield Renewable stock FAQ

What is Brookfield Renewable’s market cap?

Brookfield Renewable’s market cap is $4.13B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $27.97, with 150.9M shares outstanding.

What is the Brookfield Renewable stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Brookfield Renewable is $38.86, +38.9% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Brookfield Renewable stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Brookfield Renewable is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $27.97 is 19.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $34.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Brookfield Renewable report earnings next?

Brookfield Renewable is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.40 per share on revenue of $1.67B. Brookfield Renewable beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is Brookfield Renewable’s 52-week high and low?

Brookfield Renewable’s 52-week high is $45.18 and its 52-week low is $27.63; it closed at $27.97 on Sep 28, 2026, −17.7% over the past year.

Is Brookfield Renewable stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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