Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ABEV in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ABEV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABEV in Gekko
Ambev (ABEV) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$2.94−0.04 (−1.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAmbev trades at $2.94, down 1.3% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $2.98 and 200-day average of $2.94. The GekkoIndex reads 62.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Against Gekko Fair Value of $4.13, price stands 28.8% below that mark. Over the past year the stock has returned 24.6%, though the three-month return is -5.8% and the six-month return is 5%.
Recent filings show two institutional moves in opposite directions. Tidal Investments LLC cut its stake by 15.9% in the second quarter, selling 488,057 shares while retaining 2.58 million shares valued at $8.09 million. Engineers Gate Manager LP increased its position by 712.8% in the same quarter, bringing its holding to $5.77 million, even as analyst sentiment is described as cautious with an average "Reduce" rating and a target near the current price.
Ambev's next earnings date falls on 29 October 2026, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. At the last report, EPS of $0.28 beat the $0.05 estimate, part of a streak of 5 beats in 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.6% historically. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 0 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $3.34. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -4.6% across 5 years, with 0 of those years positive, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $2.94200-day averageGekko Fair Value $4.13
Key stats
- Market cap
- $45.43B
- P/E ratio
- 14.9
- Forward P/E
- 13.2
- EPS, TTM
- $0.20
- Revenue, TTM
- $88.27B
- Profit margin
- 18.4%
- Dividend yield
- 5.33%
- Beta
- 0.25
- Volume
- 26.25M avg 26.49M
- 1-year return
- +24.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.5%
- 50-day average
- $2.98
- 200-day average
- $2.94
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 15.42B
Ambev swing-trade checklist
Ambev scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $2.94 sits between the 50-day ($2.98) and 200-day ($2.94) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.3, Accumulation
Reading 62.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
28.8% below
Price is 28.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 39 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.6% over 5 years, rising in 0 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ambev stock chart and price history
Ambev closed at $2.94 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.10 to $3.45.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +4.6%
- 3 months
- −5.8%
- 6 months
- +5.0%
- 1 year
- +24.6%
The full ABEV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ABEV in Gekko
Follow Ambev through every session
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About Ambev
Ambev produces and sells a broad line of drinks, along with some food items, throughout the Americas. Beer forms a large part of its business, with labels ranging from Skol, Brahma and Antarctica to global names such as Corona, Stella Artois, Budweiser and Michelob Ultra. Alongside beer, it offers non-alcoholic choices like bottled water, juices, iced tea, energy drinks and sodas under brands including Guaraná Antarctica, Gatorade, Pepsi and Lipton Iced Tea.
Its business is split into four regional units covering Brazil, Central America together with the Caribbean, the rest of South America, and Canada. Getting goods to market relies on a combination of Ambev's own delivery operations and outside distribution partners. Interbrew International B.V. holds a controlling interest in the company, making Ambev part of that larger corporate structure.
Ambev's origins go back to 1885, and its main offices sit in São Paulo, Brazil. Its stock trades under the ticker ABEV.
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Website
- ambev.com.br
Ambev GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ambev’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.8 points over five sessions.
62.3Accumulation
Up 5.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 25 | +1.2% | +2.3% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 236 | +0.4% | +0.2% | ||
| Neutral | 298 | −0.1% | +1.6% | ||
| Distribution | 56 | +1.0% | +0.5% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average ABEV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ABEV price, zone by zone.Track ABEV in Gekko
Is Ambev stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ambev trades 28.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $4.13, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ambev shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$4.13
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
28.8% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ABEV in Gekko
Ambev insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ambev, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ABEV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ABEV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABEV in Gekko
Ambev earnings: next date and track record
Ambev reports on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
39 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.05
- Revenue estimate
- $4.25B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 12, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ambev's 2025 Q4 and full-year earnings call highlighted resilience amid a challenging operating environment. Management emphasized that they delivered normalized EBITDA growth and a 50 bps expansion in consolidated normalized EBITDA margin to 33.4%, supported by net revenue per hectoliter growth of 7.5%, productivity initiatives, and disciplined SG&A. Volumes were pressured in 2025 due to unseasonable weather (La Niña) that hit out-of-home occasions, although December Brazil beer volumes recovered into growth. Cash COGS per hectoliter increased 6.1% in Brazil (first quartile of prior guidance). Below-EBITDA headwinds included nearly BRL 4 billion in net financial expenses driven by FX losses and sourcing USD in Bolivia; the effective tax rate was 17.7% (one-offs). Management framed 2025 as a stress test that strengthened the company culturally and operationally and pointed to positive 2026 tailwinds (Carnival, holidays, FIFA World Cup). They reiterated strategic focus on three pillars (portfolio strength, digital ecosystem/BEES, and resource allocation), ambition for continued margin expansion, and disciplined capital allocation with ongoing dividend discussions.
- Guidance
- Brazil Beer cash COGS per hectoliter guidance for 2026: increase of 4.5% to 7.5% (midpoint broadly in line with 2025). Management reiterated ambition for continued margin expansion over time but did not provide explicit revenue, EPS, or EBITDA numeric guidance for 2026. No firm dividends/timing guidance was provided; management said quarterly cash-return decisions will be discussed each quarter.
- Risks flagged
- Key risks mentioned include weather-related volume weakness (La Niña), commodity cost pressure (notably aluminum), foreign exchange volatility and FX losses (including costs sourcing USD in Bolivia), macroeconomic conditions affecting demand, and potential emerging risks such as GLP-1 drug adoption (no material impact observed yet but will be monitored).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | $0.28 est $0.05 | $5.23B est $4.62B | +2.0% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.04 est $0.04 | $3.91B est $4.77B | +6.0% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.18 est $0.03 | $3.70B est $4.16B | −5.2% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.04 est $0.04 | $3.85B est $3.81B | +1.6% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.05 est $0.05 | $4.36B est $3.82B | +11.6% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.04 est $0.04 | $3.82B est $3.96B | −5.3% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | $0.03 est $0.03 | — | +0.5% |
| May 8, 2024 | $0.05 est $0.04 | — | −4.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ambev stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ambev is $3.34, +13.6% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$3.34consensus 12-month target, +13.6% from the last close
Now $2.94Avg $3.34
Low $2.85High $3.50
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | UBS | $2.85 | −3.1% |
| Aug 3 | Bernstein | — | — |
| Jul 30 | Barclays | $3.50 | +19.0% |
| Jul 28 | Barclays | $3.50 | +19.0% |
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ambev seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ambev averaged −4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 0 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.9% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.7% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.6% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ABEV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.
Ambev market cap and key statistics
Ambev’s market cap is $45.43B, with a P/E ratio of 14.9 and revenue of $88.27B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $45.43B
- P/E ratio
- 14.9
- Forward P/E
- 13.2
- EPS, TTM
- $0.20
- Gekko Fair Value
- $4.13
Trading
- Volume
- 26.25M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 26.49M
- 52-week high
- $3.45
- 52-week low
- $2.10
- Shares outstanding
- 15.42B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $88.27B
- Profit margin
- 18.4%
- Return on equity
- 18.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +24.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.25
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.5%
- Dividend yield
- 5.33%
Ambev stock news this week
2 headlines about Ambev from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Ambev S.A. $ABEV Shares Sold by Tidal Investments LLCMarketBeat, Sep 13
- Engineers Gate Manager LP Has $5.77 Million Position in Ambev S.A. $ABEVMarketBeat, Sep 12
Ambev stock FAQ
What is Ambev’s market cap?
Ambev’s market cap is $45.43B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $2.94, with 15.42B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.9.
What is the Ambev stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ambev is $3.34, +13.6% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ambev stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ambev is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $2.94 is 28.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $4.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ambev report earnings next?
Ambev is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.05 per share on revenue of $4.25B. Ambev beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.
What is Ambev’s 52-week high and low?
Ambev’s 52-week high is $3.45 and its 52-week low is $2.10; it closed at $2.94 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.6% over the past year.
Is Ambev stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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