NYSE: EL

Estee Lauder Companies (EL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (The). Consumer non-durables sector, household/personal care industry. Market cap $33.79B.

$93.43−0.43 (−0.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Estee Lauder (EL) closes at $93.43, down 0.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $91.16 and 200-day average of $92.53. The GekkoIndex reads 61.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $97.51, putting price 4.2% below that level. Over the past month the stock is down 4.7%, though it holds gains of 10.2% over three months and 9.1% over six months.

This week's news centers on a new partnership with Profound, aimed at expanding EL's visibility across AI-native discovery platforms for its global brand portfolio. Separately, a federal judge declined Walmart's request to dismiss or narrow a trademark lawsuit brought by Estée Lauder over allegedly counterfeit cosmetics and fragrances sold on Walmart.com, allowing the case to move forward. Also noted this week, Director Paul Fribourg sold 58,000 shares on 14 September at an average price of $98.17, a transaction totaling $5,693,860.00.

Looking ahead, EL's next earnings report is set for 2 November 2026, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. In the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells in the stock. Analyst coverage spans 21 firms, with 10 rated buy and 11 hold, and a consensus target of $107.04 implying 14.6% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.5% return over the past 5 years, positive in 3 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $93.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $97.51

Key stats

Market cap
$33.79B
P/E ratio
191.6
Forward P/E
28.8
EPS, TTM
$0.49
Revenue, TTM
$15.05B
Profit margin
1.2%
Dividend yield
1.46%
Beta
1.27
Volume
6.10M avg 3.17M
1-year return
+6.0%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
50-day average
$91.16
200-day average
$92.53
Next earnings
Nov 2 before open
Shares outstanding
247.3M
52-week range
$66.22$121.64

Estee Lauder Companies swing-trade checklist

Estee Lauder Companies scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $93.43 sits between the 50-day ($91.16) and 200-day ($92.53) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.7, Accumulation

    Reading 61.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Estee Lauder Companies stock chart and price history

Estee Lauder Companies closed at $93.43 on Sep 18, 2026, +6.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $66.22 to $121.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.7%
3 months
+10.2%
6 months
+9.1%
1 year
+6.0%
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About Estee Lauder Companies

Estee Lauder Companies develops and sells premium beauty and personal care products around the world. Its lineup spans skin care items like moisturizers, cleansers, serums, and sun protection, along with makeup such as lipsticks, foundations, and eyeshadows, plus fragrances including eau de parfum sprays and scented candles, and hair care products from shampoos to styling treatments. The company is known for a wide stable of brands, including Clinique, M·A·C, Aveda, La Mer, Jo Malone London, and The Ordinary.

Alongside its owned brands, the company produces goods under license for fashion names such as Tommy Hilfiger and Michael Kors, and it rounds out its offerings with related products and services. Its goods reach shoppers through department stores, specialty and multi-brand retailers, perfumeries and pharmacies, salons and spas, standalone boutiques, its own and partner websites, major online marketplaces, and travel-linked outlets like airport shops and duty-free counters.

Founded in 1946, Estee Lauder Companies is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker EL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Household/Personal care
Website
elcompanies.com

Estee Lauder Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Estee Lauder Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.8 points over five sessions.

010061.7Accumulation

Up 3.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying60−0.3%+1.4%+4.6%+6.5%
Accumulation (current zone)221+0.2%−0.7%−1.7%−3.3%
Neutral3490.0%+0.4%+0.1%−1.3%
Distribution31+0.5%−0.6%+1.7%−8.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average EL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EL price, zone by zone.Track EL in Gekko

Is Estee Lauder Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Estee Lauder Companies trades 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $97.51, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Estee Lauder Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$97.51

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

4.2% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EL in Gekko

Estee Lauder Companies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Estee Lauder Companies, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
John Boozman
Senate, AR, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 17
traded Jul 2

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Estee Lauder Companies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$76.00M
As a share of market cap
0.22%
Trailing four quarters
$146.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold EL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Estee Lauder Companies earnings: next date and track record

Estee Lauder Companies reports on Nov 2, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−23.6%Oct ’24−20.3%Feb ’25−1.0%May ’25−2.4%Aug ’25−0.7%Oct ’25−16.8%Feb ’26+6.0%May ’26+14.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Estée Lauder reported fiscal 2026 organic sales growth of 3% (reported sales +5%), with gross margin expanding 150bps, operating margin expanding 320bps, and diluted EPS growing 66%, significantly exceeding initial guidance. Jo Malone London and TOM FORD joined the billion-dollar brand club. Skin care grew 4% organically, with strength across price tiers. The PRGP restructuring benefits were achieved faster than anticipated, enabling a shift toward growth acceleration.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in accelerating growth going forward, with PRGP approvals complete and focus now on deploying the One ELC operating model. Forest Essentials acquisition announced to enhance portfolio. No transformational M&A planned; focus remains on minority and single-brand deals.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 19, 2026$0.39
est $0.32
+21.9%$3.63B
est $3.55B
+2.3%+14.1%
May 1, 2026$0.91
est $0.65
+40.0%$3.71B
est $3.69B
+0.6%+6.0%
Feb 5, 2026$0.89
est $0.83
+7.2%$4.23B
est $4.23B
+0.1%−16.8%
Oct 30, 2025$0.32
est $0.18
+77.8%$3.48B
est $3.38B
+2.9%−0.7%
Aug 20, 2025$0.09
est $0.08
+8.7%$3.41B
est $3.39B
+0.4%−2.4%
May 1, 2025$0.65
est $0.31
+109.7%$3.55B
est $3.52B
+1.0%−1.0%
Feb 4, 2025$0.62
est $0.32
+93.8%$4.00B
est $3.98B
+0.7%−20.3%
Oct 31, 2024$0.14
est $0.10
+40.0%−23.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Estee Lauder Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Estee Lauder Companies is $107.04, +14.6% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$107.04consensus 12-month target, +14.6% from the last close
Low $90High $125
Buy10
Hold11
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11Deutsche Bank Buy, maintained$117+25.2%
Sep 10BarclaysHold, maintained$97+3.8%
Aug 30CICCBuy, upgraded$122+30.6%
Aug 28Telsey AdvisoryHold, reiterated$108+15.6%
Aug 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$120+28.4%
−1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Estee Lauder Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Estee Lauder Companies averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.5%2021−11.9%2022−6.1%2023+4.0%2024+14.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.7%2 of 5

For scale, EL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.

Estee Lauder Companies market cap and key statistics

Estee Lauder Companies’s market cap is $33.79B, with a P/E ratio of 191.6 and revenue of $15.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$33.79B
P/E ratio
191.6
Forward P/E
28.8
EPS, TTM
$0.49
Gekko Fair Value
$97.51

Trading

Volume
6.10M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.17M
52-week high
$121.64
52-week low
$66.22
Shares outstanding
247.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.05B
Profit margin
1.2%
Return on equity
4.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−45.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.27
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
Dividend yield
1.46%

Estee Lauder Companies peers

Estee Lauder Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGProcter & Gamble0.0%Neutral15.8% below
CLColgate-Palmolive+0.4%Accumulation3.3% below
KVUEKenvue+0.1%Accumulation22.7% below
KMBKimberly-Clark+0.1%Buying19.5% below
CHDChurch & Dwight+0.8%Accumulation7.1% below
CLXClorox−1.1%Buying45.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Estee Lauder Companies stock FAQ

What is Estee Lauder Companies’s market cap?

Estee Lauder Companies’s market cap is $33.79B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $93.43, with 247.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 191.6.

What is the Estee Lauder Companies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Estee Lauder Companies is $107.04, +14.6% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Estee Lauder Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Estee Lauder Companies is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $93.43 is 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $97.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Estee Lauder Companies report earnings next?

Estee Lauder Companies is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $3.64B. Estee Lauder Companies beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.6% on average across the report.

What is Estee Lauder Companies’s 52-week high and low?

Estee Lauder Companies’s 52-week high is $121.64 and its 52-week low is $66.22; it closed at $93.43 on Sep 18, 2026, +6.0% over the past year.

Is Estee Lauder Companies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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