NYSE: EL

Estee Lauder Companies (EL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$112.04+6.65 (+6.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Estée Lauder used its Capital Markets Experience event in Shanghai to lay out a "next chapter" growth plan through fiscal 2030, targeting mid-single-digit organic sales growth and double-digit adjusted EPS growth annually, alongside a path to 18.5% margin by 2030. This follows fiscal first-quarter results reported on 2 November, in which net earnings rose to $233 million from $47 million a year earlier, EPS of $0.72 beat the $0.51 estimate, and the company raised its fiscal 2027 organic sales outlook to a range of 4% to 5.5%, with organic fragrance sales up 20% in the quarter. The stock's reaction to the print itself was negative, down 3.5%, even as commentary pointed to improving China momentum and expanded use of artificial intelligence and regionalized operations.

EL closed at $112.04, up 6.3%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $100.59 and 200-day average of $91.45, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 46.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 1.8 over five sessions. Price stands 17.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $95.41.

The next earnings date is 3 February 2027, 90 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congressional activity shows 1 buy and 0 sells, with no billionaire holders recorded. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 12.1% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage spans 22 firms, with 12 buy and 10 hold ratings and a consensus target of $110.32, implying -1.5% versus current price.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Estee Lauder Companies price vs fair value

$112.04$95.41Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $112.04200-day averageGekko Fair Value $95.41

Estee Lauder Companies quick facts

Market cap
$40.60B
P/E ratio
218.3
Forward P/E
33.2
EPS, TTM
$0.48
Revenue, TTM
$15.05B
Profit margin
1.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.23
Volume
4.62M avg 3.71M
1-year return
+20.2%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
50-day average
$100.59
200-day average
$91.45
Next earnings
Feb 3 before open
Shares outstanding
247.8M
52-week range
$66.22$121.64

Estee Lauder Companies swing-trade checklist

Estee Lauder Companies scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $112.04 is above the 50-day ($100.59) and 200-day ($91.45) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.6, Neutral

    Reading 46.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    17.4% above

    Price is 17.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 90 days

    Next report Feb 3, 2027, 90 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +12.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Estee Lauder Companies stock chart and price history

Estee Lauder Companies closed at $112.04 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $66.22 to $121.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Estee Lauder Companies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90$100$120DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct112.04

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+20.0%
3 months
+31.1%
6 months
+29.3%
1 year
+20.2%
The full EL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EL in Gekko

Follow Estee Lauder Companies through every session

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About Estee Lauder Companies

Estee Lauder Companies develops and sells premium beauty and personal care products around the world. Its lineup spans skin care items like moisturizers, cleansers, serums, and sun protection, along with makeup such as lipsticks, foundations, and eyeshadows, plus fragrances including eau de parfum sprays and scented candles, and hair care products from shampoos to styling treatments. The company is known for a wide stable of brands, including Clinique, M·A·C, Aveda, La Mer, Jo Malone London, and The Ordinary.

Alongside its owned brands, the company produces goods under license for fashion names such as Tommy Hilfiger and Michael Kors, and it rounds out its offerings with related products and services. Its goods reach shoppers through department stores, specialty and multi-brand retailers, perfumeries and pharmacies, salons and spas, standalone boutiques, its own and partner websites, major online marketplaces, and travel-linked outlets like airport shops and duty-free counters.

Founded in 1946, Estee Lauder Companies is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker EL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Household/Personal care
Website
elcompanies.com

Estee Lauder Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Estee Lauder Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.6, in the Neutral zone, down 1.8 points over five sessions.

010046.6Neutral

Down 1.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying60−0.3%+1.4%+4.6%+6.5%
Accumulation229+0.3%−0.3%−1.3%−2.6%
Neutral (current zone)3760.0%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
Distribution31+0.5%−0.7%−0.4%−6.8%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average EL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EL price, zone by zone.Track EL in Gekko

Is Estee Lauder Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Estee Lauder Companies trades 17.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $95.41, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Estee Lauder Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$95.41

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

17.4% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.6% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$95$105Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EL in Gekko

Estee Lauder Companies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Estee Lauder Companies, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Jonathan Jackson
House, IL, purchase
Purchase$50,001 - $100,000Oct 20
traded Sep 28

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Estee Lauder Companies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$76.00M
As a share of market cap
0.19%
Trailing four quarters
$146.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold EL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Estee Lauder Companies earnings: next date and track record

Estee Lauder Companies reports on Feb 3, 2027, before the open (90 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−20.3%Feb ’25−1.0%May ’25−2.4%Aug ’25−0.7%Oct ’25−16.8%Feb ’26+6.0%May ’26+14.1%Aug ’26−3.5%Nov ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Nov 2, 2026$0.72
est $0.51
+42.0%$3.72B
est $3.65B
+1.7%−3.5%
Aug 19, 2026$0.39
est $0.32
+21.9%$3.63B
est $3.55B
+2.3%+14.1%
May 1, 2026$0.91
est $0.65
+40.0%$3.71B
est $3.69B
+0.6%+6.0%
Feb 5, 2026$0.89
est $0.83
+7.2%$4.23B
est $4.23B
+0.1%−16.8%
Oct 30, 2025$0.32
est $0.18
+77.8%$3.48B
est $3.38B
+2.9%−0.7%
Aug 20, 2025$0.09
est $0.08
+8.7%$3.41B
est $3.39B
+0.4%−2.4%
May 1, 2025$0.65
est $0.31
+109.7%$3.55B
est $3.52B
+1.0%−1.0%
Feb 4, 2025$0.62
est $0.32
+93.8%$4.00B
est $3.98B
+0.7%−20.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Estee Lauder Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Estee Lauder Companies is $110.32, −1.5% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$110.32consensus 12-month target, −1.5% from the last close
Low $92High $129
Buy12
Hold10
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$118+5.3%
Nov 3Wells FargoHold, reiterated$110−1.8%
Nov 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$126+12.5%
Nov 3J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$120+7.1%
Nov 3UBSHold, maintained$1120.0%
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+12.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Estee Lauder Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Estee Lauder Companies averaged +12.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.3%2021+9.9%2022+17.3%2023+16.6%2024+9.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+12.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+14.8%5 of 5

For scale, EL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.9%.

Estee Lauder Companies market cap and key statistics

Estee Lauder Companies’s market cap is $40.60B, with a P/E ratio of 218.3 and revenue of $15.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.60B
P/E ratio
218.3
Forward P/E
33.2
EPS, TTM
$0.48
Gekko Fair Value
$95.41

Trading

Volume
4.62M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.71M
52-week high
$121.64
52-week low
$66.22
Shares outstanding
247.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.05B
Profit margin
1.2%
Return on equity
4.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−45.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.23
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Estee Lauder Companies peers

Estee Lauder Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGProcter & Gamble+1.6%Neutral11.0% below
CLColgate-Palmolive+1.8%Neutral11.8% below
KVUEKenvue−3.4%Neutral15.5% below
KMBKimberly-Clark+2.8%Neutral10.8% below
CHDChurch & Dwight+0.9%Neutral4.6% above
CLXClorox+4.3%Distribution37.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Household/Personal care

Estee Lauder Companies stock FAQ

What is Estee Lauder Companies’s market cap?

Estee Lauder Companies’s market cap is $40.60B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $112.04, with 247.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 218.3.

What is the Estee Lauder Companies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Estee Lauder Companies is $110.32, −1.5% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Estee Lauder Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Estee Lauder Companies is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $112.04 is 17.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $95.41. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Estee Lauder Companies report earnings next?

Estee Lauder Companies is expected to report on Feb 3, 2027, before the market opens (90 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $4.49B. Estee Lauder Companies beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is Estee Lauder Companies’s 52-week high and low?

Estee Lauder Companies’s 52-week high is $121.64 and its 52-week low is $66.22; it closed at $112.04 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $374.20 on Jan 3, 2022.

Is Estee Lauder Companies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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