NASDAQ: XENE

Xenon Pharmaceuticals (XENE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$35.81−0.63 (−1.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Xenon Pharmaceuticals fell sharply this week, with shares hitting a 52-week low of $36.06 on 7 October amid a voluntary pause in new patient enrollment for azetukalner (AZK) studies, a move that has drawn law firm investigations from SBS Law and Wolf Popper on behalf of investors. Against this backdrop, the company's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted $1.2 billion in cash extending operations into 2029 and reaffirmed plans to submit the AZK NDA for focal seizures this quarter following a successful pre-NDA FDA meeting. Guggenheim assumed coverage with a Buy rating and a $73.00 price target, and President Ian Mortimer purchased $1.1 million worth of stock, an 88% increase in his holding.

XENE closed at $35.81, down 1.7%, with its price sitting below both the 50-day average of $53.09 and the 200-day average of $52.87. The stock's one-month return stands at -38.9% and its three-month return at -46.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 68.5, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $55.85 stands at -35.9%.

Earnings are scheduled for 2 November, 21 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window and historically producing an average absolute reaction of 6%. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,681,140. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 1.8% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst sentiment across 15 firms shows 14 Buy ratings, 1 Hold, and a consensus target of $73.37.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Xenon Pharmaceuticals price vs fair value

$55.85$35.81Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $35.81200-day averageGekko Fair Value $55.85

Xenon Pharmaceuticals quick facts

Market cap
$3.46B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$4.74
Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.60
Volume
764,310 avg 2.97M
1-year return
−13.3%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$53.09
200-day average
$52.87
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
96.84M
52-week range
$35.06$72.66

Xenon Pharmaceuticals swing-trade checklist

Xenon Pharmaceuticals scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $35.81 sits between the 50-day ($53.09) and 200-day ($52.87) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.5, Accumulation

    Reading 68.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.9% below

    Price is 35.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock chart and price history

Xenon Pharmaceuticals closed at $35.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $35.06 to $72.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Xenon Pharmaceuticals share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct35.81

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−38.9%
3 months
−46.8%
6 months
−38.9%
1 year
−13.3%
The full XENE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open XENE in Gekko

Follow Xenon Pharmaceuticals through every session

Put XENE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track XENE in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Xenon Pharmaceuticals

Xenon Pharmaceuticals works on medicines for people with neurological conditions, developing drug candidates rather than selling approved products. Its pipeline includes several compounds aimed at channels in the nervous system: one targets a form of epilepsy linked to KCNQ2 and has reached Phase III testing, while others acting on potassium, sodium and calcium channels are being studied in Phase II trials for epilepsy and related disorders. The company is known for this focus on channel-targeted therapies for seizure and pain conditions.

Rather than working alone on every program, Xenon pairs its own research with outside partnerships. It has a licensing and development arrangement with Neurocrine Biosciences covering epilepsy treatments, and it works with Flexion Therapeutics on a sodium-channel inhibitor intended for pain following surgery. These collaborations sit alongside the compounds it continues to advance through its own clinical trials.

The company is headquartered in Burnaby, Canada, and traces its founding to 1996. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker XENE.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Pharmaceuticals: major
Website
xenon-pharma.com

Xenon Pharmaceuticals GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.2 points over five sessions.

010068.5Accumulation

Down 2.2 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+1.2%+5.1%+14.2%+1.9%
Accumulation (current zone)252+0.1%+0.1%+1.7%+5.2%
Neutral374−0.1%−0.2%−0.8%+1.4%
Distribution28+1.1%+1.1%−2.1%−7.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average XENE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the XENE price, zone by zone.Track XENE in Gekko

Is Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Xenon Pharmaceuticals trades 35.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.85, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Xenon Pharmaceuticals shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$55.85

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

35.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$56$36Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open XENE in Gekko

Xenon Pharmaceuticals insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Xenon Pharmaceuticals worth $1.68M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.68Min 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Oct 1MORTIMER IAN
director, officer: PRESIDENT & CEO
Purchase30,000$1.12M
Oct 1Kelly Thomas Patrick
officer: Chief Financial Officer
Purchase15,000$560K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in XENE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for XENE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open XENE in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds XENE.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Xenon Pharmaceuticals earnings: next date and track record

Xenon Pharmaceuticals reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.8%Nov ’24−5.3%Feb ’25−15.5%May ’25+7.7%Aug ’25−6.8%Nov ’25−3.0%Feb ’26−3.7%May ’26−1.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Xenon Pharmaceuticals is advancing its NDA submission for Azetukalner (AZK) for focal seizures following a successful pre-NDA meeting with the FDA, targeting submission in Q3 2026. The company is running five additional Phase 3 studies across epilepsy and neuropsychiatric indications including MDD and bipolar depression. Pain pipeline candidates XEN1701, XEN1120, and XEN1720 are progressing through Phase 1 clinical development.
Guidance
NDA submission for AZK focal seizures targeted for Q3 2026. First Phase 3 MDD study results expected in H1 2027. Management expects sufficient cash to fund operations into 2029.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$1.11
est −$1.14
+2.6%—
est $1.67M
—−1.5%
May 7, 2026−$1.17
est −$1.17
0.0%—
est $1.36M
—−3.7%
Feb 26, 2026−$1.31
est −$1.19
−10.1%—
est −$179K
—−3.0%
Nov 3, 2025−$1.15
est −$1.16
+0.9%——−6.8%
Aug 11, 2025−$1.07
est −$1.03
−3.9%——+7.7%
May 12, 2025−$0.83
est −$0.94
+11.7%$7.50M
est $1.91M
+293.4%−15.5%
Feb 27, 2025−$0.84
est −$0.89
+5.6%—
est $313K
—−5.3%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.81
est −$0.82
+0.7%—
est $294K
—−4.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Xenon Pharmaceuticals is $73.37, +104.9% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$73.37consensus 12-month target, +104.9% from the last close
Low $46High $90
Buy14
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5GuggenheimBuy, initiated$73+103.9%
Oct 1RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$70+95.5%
Sep 19J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$82+129.0%
Sep 18William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 18H.C. WainwrightBuy, maintained$74+106.6%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Xenon Pharmaceuticals seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Xenon Pharmaceuticals averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.2%2021+0.8%2022−13.4%2023+13.2%2024−3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.0%1 of 5

For scale, XENE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Xenon Pharmaceuticals market cap and key statistics

Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s market cap is $3.46B and revenue of $0 over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.46B
EPS, TTM
−$4.74
Gekko Fair Value
$55.85

Trading

Volume
764,310
Avg volume, 20 days
2.97M
52-week high
$72.66
52-week low
$35.06
Shares outstanding
96.84M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-43.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.60
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7%

Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock news this week

Coverage of Xenon Pharmaceuticals this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Xenon Pharmaceuticals peers

Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LLYEli Lilly+0.1%Neutral14.7% above
JNJJohnson & Johnson+0.8%Neutral3.2% below
ABBVAbbVie+1.3%Distribution28.2% above
MRKMerck−0.2%Neutral8.0% below
AZNAstraZeneca−0.7%Accumulation41.7% below
PFEPfizer−0.1%Neutral8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock FAQ

What is Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s market cap?

Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s market cap is $3.46B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $35.81, with 96.84M shares outstanding.

What is the Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Xenon Pharmaceuticals is $73.37, +104.9% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Xenon Pharmaceuticals is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $35.81 is 35.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.85. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Xenon Pharmaceuticals report earnings next?

Xenon Pharmaceuticals is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$1.13 per share on revenue of $1.33M. Xenon Pharmaceuticals beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s 52-week high and low?

Xenon Pharmaceuticals’s 52-week high is $72.66 and its 52-week low is $35.06; it closed at $35.81 on Oct 12, 2026, −13.3% over the past year.

Is Xenon Pharmaceuticals stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Xenon Pharmaceuticals the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.