NYSE: JNJ

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$276.32+10.15 (+3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's news centers on Johnson & Johnson's DePuy Synthes orthopedics unit, as Smith+Nephew confirmed that merger talks between the two companies have ended, reportedly over disagreements on leadership of the combined group. The discussions had reportedly valued J&J's orthopaedics unit at up to $22 billion. Separately, J&J disclosed new real-world data for its Impella heart pump showing reduced mortality rates in high-risk coronary procedures, supporting the ongoing PROTECT IV trial and the company's MedTech expansion narrative. Commentary also circulated questioning whether JNJ shares look expensive on current price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios relative to forecasted 2026 and 2027 profits.

JNJ closed at $276.32, up 3.8%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $265.53 and 200-day average of $247.77, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's one-month return is 8.5% and its one-year return is 48.4%, with shares trading near the 52-week high of $282.02. The GekkoIndex reads 49.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 1.7 over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $281.21, putting price 1.7% below that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 26 January 2027, 82 days out and beyond a typical holding window. In the last 90 days, Congress recorded 3 buys and 0 sells. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows a 2.5% average 20-day return over 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years. The prior earnings reaction, on 13 October 2026, moved shares -3.7% despite an EPS beat of $2.59 versus $2.52 estimated.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Johnson & Johnson price vs fair value

$281.21$276.32Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $276.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $281.21

Johnson & Johnson quick facts

Market cap
$665.2B
P/E ratio
41.1
Forward P/E
23
EPS, TTM
$6.59
Revenue, TTM
$99.33B
Profit margin
16.2%
Dividend yield
1.93%
Beta
0.20
Volume
9.54M avg 7.65M
1-year return
+48.4%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
50-day average
$265.53
200-day average
$247.77
Next earnings
Jan 26 before open
Shares outstanding
2.41B
52-week range
$185.12$282.02

Johnson & Johnson swing-trade checklist

Johnson & Johnson scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $276.32 is above the 50-day ($265.53) and 200-day ($247.77) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.8, Neutral

    Reading 49.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.7% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.7% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 82 days

    Next report Jan 26, 2027, 82 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Johnson & Johnson stock chart and price history

Johnson & Johnson closed at $276.32 on Nov 4, 2026, +48.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $185.12 to $282.02.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Johnson & Johnson share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$175$200$225$250DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct276.32

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.5%
3 months
+7.5%
6 months
+23.0%
1 year
+48.4%
The full JNJ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open JNJ in Gekko

Follow Johnson & Johnson through every session

Put JNJ on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson operates as a holding company centered on healthcare, covering the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of related products. It is best known for its broad reach across medical fields rather than a single product line, spanning treatments and devices used in patient care.

The business is structured into two segments. Innovative Medicine covers areas such as immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolic conditions, and pulmonary hypertension. MedTech supplies products for interventional solutions, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision, forming a separate line of offerings within the company.

Johnson & Johnson traces its founding back to 1887, established by Robert Wood Johnson I, James Wood Johnson, and Edward Mead Johnson Sr. It is headquartered in New Brunswick, New Jersey, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker JNJ.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Pharmaceuticals: major
Website
jnj.com

Johnson & Johnson GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Johnson & Johnson’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.8, in the Neutral zone, down 1.7 points over five sessions.

010049.8Neutral

Down 1.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+2.8%
Accumulation173+0.5%+0.9%+1.5%+4.7%
Neutral (current zone)402+0.3%+0.8%+1.7%+4.4%
Distribution83+0.8%+1.3%+2.1%+4.8%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average JNJ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the JNJ price, zone by zone.Track JNJ in Gekko

Is Johnson & Johnson stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Johnson & Johnson trades 1.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $281.21, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Johnson & Johnson shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$281.21

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

1.7% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$281$266Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open JNJ in Gekko

Johnson & Johnson insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Johnson & Johnson, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for JNJ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every JNJ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open JNJ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25
Lloyd Doggett
House, TX, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 6
traded Sep 8
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Johnson & Johnson has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026
$1.71B
As a share of market cap
0.26%
Trailing four quarters
$7.88B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold JNJ.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Johnson & Johnson earnings: next date and track record

Johnson & Johnson reports on Jan 26, 2027, before the open (82 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.0%Jan ’25−0.3%Apr ’25+5.0%Jul ’25+0.1%Oct ’25+0.1%Jan ’26+0.3%Apr ’26−1.5%Jul ’26−3.7%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
JNJ reported Q3 2026 operational sales growth of 6%, with quarterly sales exceeding $25 billion, tracking toward a historic first $100 billion annual revenue milestone. Innovative Medicine grew 7.9% operationally with 8 double-digit growing brands. Oncology surged 17%, driven by multiple myeloma dominance, RYBREVANT +64%, and INLEXZO capturing ~33% new patient share in bladder cancer. Tremfya achieved 68% growth, becoming the #1 IL-23 inhibitor across multiple indications.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed 2026 full-year guidance, projecting revenue to exceed $100 billion for the first time in company history. JNJ targets double-digit growth by decade-end and oncology sales exceeding $50 billion by 2030.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 13, 2026$2.59
est $2.52
+2.8%$25.40B
est $25.38B
+0.1%−3.7%
Jul 15, 2026$2.90
est $2.84
+2.1%$25.31B
est $25.06B
+1.0%−1.5%
Apr 14, 2026$2.70
est $2.68
+0.7%$24.06B
est $23.61B
+1.9%+0.3%
Jan 21, 2026$2.46
est $2.46
0.0%$24.56B
est $24.15B
+1.7%+0.1%
Oct 14, 2025$2.80
est $2.76
+1.4%$23.99B
est $23.76B
+1.0%+0.1%
Jul 16, 2025$2.77
est $2.68
+3.4%$23.74B
est $22.85B
+3.9%+5.0%
Apr 15, 2025$2.77
est $2.58
+7.4%$21.89B
est $21.56B
+1.6%−0.3%
Jan 22, 2025$2.04
est $1.99
+2.5%$22.52B
est $22.43B
+0.4%−1.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Johnson & Johnson stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Johnson & Johnson is $279.41, +1.1% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$279.41consensus 12-month target, +1.1% from the last close
Low $110High $320
Buy11
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$280+1.3%
Oct 27Leerink PartnersBuy, reiterated$272−1.6%
Oct 26ScotiabankBuy, maintained$305+10.4%
Oct 26Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$280+1.3%
Oct 25UBSBuy, maintained$320+15.8%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Johnson & Johnson seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Johnson & Johnson averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.2%2021+4.3%2022+4.5%2023−3.7%2024+9.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.6%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.5%4 of 5

For scale, JNJ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.

Johnson & Johnson market cap and key statistics

Johnson & Johnson’s market cap is $665.2B, with a P/E ratio of 41.1 and revenue of $99.33B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$665.2B
P/E ratio
41.1
Forward P/E
23
EPS, TTM
$6.59
Gekko Fair Value
$281.21

Trading

Volume
9.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.65M
52-week high
$282.02
52-week low
$185.12
Shares outstanding
2.41B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$99.33B
Profit margin
16.2%
Return on equity
20%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−95.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.20
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.4%
Dividend yield
1.93%

Johnson & Johnson stock news this week

Coverage of Johnson & Johnson this week reads positive: 9 positive, 4 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Johnson & Johnson peers

Johnson & Johnson’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LLYEli Lilly−1.5%Distribution27.7% above
ABBVAbbVie+0.3%Neutral26.5% above
MRKMerck+1.2%Neutral8.6% below
AZNAstraZeneca+0.3%Distribution34.1% below
PFEPfizer+0.1%Neutral4.1% below
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals+2.5%Neutral16.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Pharmaceuticals: major

Johnson & Johnson stock FAQ

What is Johnson & Johnson’s market cap?

Johnson & Johnson’s market cap is $665.2B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $276.32, with 2.41B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 41.1.

What is the Johnson & Johnson stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Johnson & Johnson is $279.41, +1.1% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Johnson & Johnson stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Johnson & Johnson is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $276.32 is 1.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $281.21. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Johnson & Johnson report earnings next?

Johnson & Johnson is expected to report on Jan 26, 2027, before the market opens (82 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.91 per share on revenue of $26.41B. Johnson & Johnson beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.5% on average across the report.

What is Johnson & Johnson’s 52-week high and low?

Johnson & Johnson’s 52-week high is $282.02 and its 52-week low is $185.12; it closed at $276.32 on Nov 4, 2026, +48.4% over the past year.

Is Johnson & Johnson stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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