Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MRK in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Merck closed at $150.36 on 4 November 2026, +3.9% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($146.54) and 200-day ($127.28) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $82.01 to $156.92. The GekkoIndex reads 54.4, in the Neutral zone, down 7.1 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $164.44, so the price is 8.6% below it.
The next earnings report is due on 2 February 2027, 89 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 3.8% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 2 Congress purchases and 0 sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +3.1% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
22 firms rate the stock: 15 buy, 7 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $159.91. A typical daily move is about 3.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.3%. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.
A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.
Merck scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $150.36 is above the 50-day ($146.54) and 200-day ($127.28) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart54.4, Neutral
Reading 54.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex8.6% below
Price is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.
See smart moneyReports in 89 days
Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+3.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Merck closed at $150.36 on Nov 4, 2026, +82.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $82.01 to $156.92.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put MRK on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Merck operates through two main businesses, Pharmaceuticals and Animal Health. The Pharmaceutical side develops medicines for people, addressing areas such as cancer, hospital care, immune conditions, neurological disorders, viral infections, heart disease, and diabetes, alongside vaccines given to children, teenagers, and adults. The Animal Health arm researches, makes, and sells veterinary medicines and vaccines, along with tools for identifying, tracking, and monitoring animal health.
Merck's medicines and vaccines reach the market through wholesalers, pharmacies, and hospitals, as well as government bodies and managed care groups such as HMOs and pharmacy benefit managers. Individual doctors and their distributors, veterinarians, and livestock producers also make up part of its customer base. The company works with other firms, including AstraZeneca, Bayer, Eisai, Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, and Gilead Sciences, on developing and bringing to market long-acting HIV treatments.
Merck traces its founding to 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MRK.
Merck’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.4, in the Neutral zone, down 7.1 points over five sessions.
Down 7.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 45 | +0.1% | +1.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 213 | +0.7% | −0.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 379 | −0.1% | +1.1% | ||
| Distribution | 54 | +0.6% | +1.3% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MRK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
Merck trades 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $164.44, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Merck shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$164.44
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
8.6% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.6% below the estimate.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Merck, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MRK in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Elvira Salazar House, FL, purchase | $15,001 - $50,000 | Sep 10 traded Aug 19 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $15,001 - $50,000 | Sep 7 traded Aug 7 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Merck has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold MRK.
Merck reports on Feb 2, 2027, before the open (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Feb 2, 2027
Expected before the open, 89 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | $2.49 est $2.09 | $18.09B est $17.33B | +6.1% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | −$0.13 est −$0.26 | $16.61B est $16.37B | +0.4% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | −$1.28 est −$1.50 | $16.29B est $15.85B | +1.1% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $2.04 est $2.01 | $16.40B est $16.20B | +4.4% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $2.58 est $2.36 | $17.28B est $16.98B | −0.7% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $2.13 est $2.03 | $15.81B est $15.86B | −2.7% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $2.22 est $2.13 | $15.53B est $15.34B | +5.1% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $1.72 est $1.67 | $15.62B est $15.48B | −10.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Merck is $159.91, +6.4% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | DZ BANK AG | $153 | +1.8% |
| Nov 2 | Leerink Partners | $162 | +7.7% |
| Nov 2 | Freedom Capital Markets | $140 | −6.9% |
| Nov 2 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $155 | +3.1% |
| Nov 1 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $155 | +3.1% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Merck averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, MRK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.
Merck’s market cap is $370.9B, with a P/E ratio of 149.9 and revenue of $67.38B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Merck this week reads positive: 8 positive, 5 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
Merck’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LLYEli Lilly | Distribution | 27.7% above |
| JNJJohnson & Johnson | Neutral | 1.7% below |
| ABBVAbbVie | Neutral | 26.5% above |
| AZNAstraZeneca | Distribution | 34.1% below |
| PFEPfizer | Neutral | 4.1% below |
| VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals | Neutral | 16.8% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Merck’s market cap is $370.9B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $150.36, with 2.47B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 149.9.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Merck is $159.91, +6.4% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Merck is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $150.36 is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $164.44. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Merck is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027, before the market opens (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.77 per share on revenue of $16.32B. Merck beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.
Merck’s 52-week high is $156.92 and its 52-week low is $82.01; it closed at $150.36 on Nov 4, 2026, +82.3% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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