NASDAQ: VKTX

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$28.34−0.17 (−0.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Viking Therapeutics' obesity franchise, with the company initiating an exploratory oral maintenance dosing study for VK2735 in obese adults, alongside its fully enrolled VANQUISH-1 and VANQUISH-2 Phase 3 trials. Analyst commentary has been active, with Oppenheimer discussing a path to $120 and Canaccord Genuity maintaining a Buy rating with a $114 price target, implying 316% upside, against a consensus target of $95 cited in that report. Coverage also notes scrutiny of valuation following increased R&D spending and a new stock offering, alongside a price-to-book ratio of 8.1x mentioned in one summary.

VKTX closed at $28.34, down 0.6%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $32.73 and 200-day average of $32.96, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock has fallen 11.4% over one month, 25.4% over three months, and sits 19% lower over the past year, within a 52-week range of $25.77 to $43.15. The GekkoIndex reads 62.9, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 39.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.04.

Earnings are scheduled for 28 October, 15 days out, falling inside a typical 20-day holding window, with past reactions averaging 5.1% and 2 beats across 8 quarters. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal over the past 30 days, with call premium of $2,627,536 against put premium of $107,648. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 13.1% from this point, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst sentiment remains heavily tilted toward Buy ratings, 16 of 17 firms, with a consensus target of $94.71.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Viking Therapeutics price vs fair value

$47.04$28.34Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $28.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $47.04

Viking Therapeutics quick facts

Market cap
$3.31B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$4.67
Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.65
Volume
2.82M avg 9.21M
1-year return
−19.0%
Typical daily move
±8.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.7%
50-day average
$32.73
200-day average
$32.96
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
127.2M
52-week range
$25.77$43.15

Viking Therapeutics swing-trade checklist

Viking Therapeutics scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $28.34 is below the 50-day ($32.73) and 200-day ($32.96) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.9, Accumulation

    Reading 62.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    39.8% below

    Price is 39.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +13.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +13.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Viking Therapeutics stock chart and price history

Viking Therapeutics closed at $28.34 on Oct 12, 2026, −19.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $25.77 to $43.15.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Viking Therapeutics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct28.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.4%
3 months
−25.4%
6 months
−19.1%
1 year
−19.0%
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Follow Viking Therapeutics through every session

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About Viking Therapeutics

Viking Therapeutics works on experimental drugs for diseases tied to metabolism and the endocrine system, and has not yet brought a product to market. Its furthest-along candidate, VK2809, is a pill designed to act selectively on a thyroid hormone receptor and is being tested in mid-stage trials for patients with biopsy-confirmed non-alcoholic steatohepatitis as well as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Beyond that lead program, the company runs a broader pipeline of oral compounds. VK5211 is a non-steroidal agent aimed at the androgen receptor, under study for people recovering from hip fracture surgery performed on a non-elective basis. VK0612 targets type 2 diabetes and is approaching mid-stage testing, while VK0214 is a second thyroid receptor beta compound being developed for X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy. Each program remains in the clinical trial stage rather than commercial sale.

Viking Therapeutics was established in 2012 and is based in San Diego, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker VKTX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Pharmaceuticals: major
Website
vikingtherapeutics.com

Viking Therapeutics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Viking Therapeutics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions.

010062.9Accumulation

Up 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying34+5.7%+4.2%−1.6%−0.8%
Accumulation (current zone)2640.0%−0.2%+0.1%+0.8%
Neutral336+0.1%+0.7%+4.0%+0.5%
Distribution44+8.5%+19.0%+32.9%+40.4%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average VKTX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VKTX price, zone by zone.Track VKTX in Gekko

Is Viking Therapeutics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Viking Therapeutics trades 39.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.04, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Viking Therapeutics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$47.04

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

39.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VKTX in Gekko

Viking Therapeutics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Viking Therapeutics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VKTX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VKTX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VKTX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VKTX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VKTX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VKTX in Gekko

Buybacks

Viking Therapeutics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2023
$37K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 96% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 25, $2.74M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold VKTX.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Viking Therapeutics earnings: next date and track record

Viking Therapeutics reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+18.0%Oct ’24−2.8%Feb ’25+0.7%Apr ’25+4.4%Jul ’25+2.9%Oct ’25+6.1%Feb ’26−3.7%Apr ’26−2.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Viking Therapeutics' Q2 2026 earnings call focused on clinical and pipeline progress within its obesity franchise, operational updates and financial results. Management reported that the VANQUISH Phase III program for VK2735 (GLP-1/GIP dual agonist) is fully enrolled and proceeding on track for both subcutaneous and an oral tablet development program, with the oral Phase III program expected to initiate in Q4 2026. The company is also running a novel maintenance dosing study exploring weekly, every-other-week and monthly regimens and expects topline results later this quarter. Viking initiated a Phase I single ascending dose (SAD) for its amylin (DACRA/3019) program and plans multiple-path development including potential combination with VK2735. Financials showed materially higher R&D and G&A spend driven by clinical activity; net loss widened to $128.1M for the quarter and cash use is heavy this year but management expects tapering and reaffirms cash runway into 2028. Management emphasized hiring in clinical, regulatory, quality and commercial functions and described operational readiness for upcoming trials.
Guidance
- Oral Phase III program initiation expected in Q4 2026. - Topline results from the maintenance dosing study expected later this quarter (Q3 2026). - Phase I MAD results for DACRA/3019 expected in 2027 timeframe (post-SAD). - Management reiterated prior guidance that cash on hand is expected to fund operations into 2028.
Risks flagged
- Elevated cash burn and increased R&D spend leading to large quarterly net losses (net loss $128.1M for Q2 2026). - Clinical and tolerability uncertainty: maintenance dosing tolerability, higher-dose tolerability, and uncertainty on cross-trial read-throughs. - Manufacturing and supply considerations for oral tablet and expansion of CordenPharma relationship. - Competitive and real-world factors (use of off-trial GLP-1s/compounded products and competitive landscape). - Typical clinical development risks (timeline slippage, safety signals in later studies).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026−$1.10
est −$1.21
+9.1%——−2.2%
Apr 29, 2026−$1.37
est −$0.92
−48.8%——−3.7%
Feb 11, 2026−$1.38
est −$0.90
−53.3%—
est $1.92M
—+6.1%
Oct 22, 2025−$0.81
est −$0.70
−15.7%——+2.9%
Jul 23, 2025−$0.58
est −$0.44
−31.8%——+4.4%
Apr 23, 2025−$0.41
est −$0.34
−20.6%——+0.7%
Feb 5, 2025−$0.32
est −$0.27
−18.5%——−2.8%
Oct 23, 2024−$0.22
est −$0.25
+12.0%——+18.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Viking Therapeutics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Viking Therapeutics is $94.71, +234.2% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$94.71consensus 12-month target, +234.2% from the last close
Low $38High $125
Buy16
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7Canaccord GenuityBuy, maintained$114+302.3%
Oct 7Truist FinancialBuy, maintained$85+199.9%
Oct 6H.C. WainwrightBuy, reiterated$102+259.9%
Oct 6Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$95+235.2%
Oct 6Maxim GroupBuy, reiterated$70+147.0%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+13.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±8.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Viking Therapeutics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Viking Therapeutics averaged +13.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.5%2021+50.2%2022−9.0%2023+10.2%2024+9.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+6.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+12.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+13.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.6%2 of 5

For scale, VKTX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.7%.

Viking Therapeutics market cap and key statistics

Viking Therapeutics’s market cap is $3.31B and revenue of $0 over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.31B
EPS, TTM
−$4.67
Gekko Fair Value
$47.04

Trading

Volume
2.82M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.21M
52-week high
$43.15
52-week low
$25.77
Shares outstanding
127.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-88.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.65
Typical daily move
±8.5%
Typical 20-day move
±12.7%

Viking Therapeutics peers

Viking Therapeutics’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LLYEli Lilly+0.1%Neutral14.7% above
JNJJohnson & Johnson+0.8%Neutral3.2% below
ABBVAbbVie+1.3%Distribution28.2% above
MRKMerck−0.2%Neutral8.0% below
AZNAstraZeneca−0.7%Accumulation41.7% below
PFEPfizer−0.1%Neutral8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Viking Therapeutics stock FAQ

What is Viking Therapeutics’s market cap?

Viking Therapeutics’s market cap is $3.31B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.34, with 127.2M shares outstanding.

What is the Viking Therapeutics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Viking Therapeutics is $94.71, +234.2% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Viking Therapeutics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Viking Therapeutics is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $28.34 is 39.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.04. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Viking Therapeutics report earnings next?

Viking Therapeutics is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$1.07 per share. Viking Therapeutics beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is Viking Therapeutics’s 52-week high and low?

Viking Therapeutics’s 52-week high is $43.15 and its 52-week low is $25.77; it closed at $28.34 on Oct 12, 2026, −19.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $99.41 on Feb 28, 2024.

Is Viking Therapeutics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Viking Therapeutics?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Viking Therapeutics over the last 30 days, with $2.63M of flagged premium in calls and $108K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 25, 2026 with $2.74M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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