NASDAQ: DFTX

Definium Therapeutics (DFTX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$38.41+2.24 (+6.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Definium Therapeutics moves this week on positive Phase III results for DT120, showing statistically significant improvements in generalized anxiety disorder and major depressive disorder after a single treatment. The company also announced new employee inducement grants, and several officers filed to sell shares tied to restricted stock vesting, though the clinical data remains the more central development. Analyst commentary during the week pointed to price target forecasts ranging between $66 and $91.

DFTX closed at $38.41, up 6.2%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $41.60 and 200-day average of $26.90, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 60.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $49.11. Over the past year the stock has returned 293.1%, though the most recent month shows a decline of 12.3%.

Earnings are scheduled for 5 November, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold, with the last report showing an actual EPS of -1.44 against an estimate of -0.54 and a 3.9% reaction. In the last 30 days there have been 2 unusual options signals, with call premium of $428,865 against put premium of $258,000. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -6.1% from this point, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage stands at 15 firms, all rated buy, with a consensus target of $71.65.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Definium Therapeutics price vs fair value

$49.11$38.41Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $38.41200-day averageGekko Fair Value $49.11

Definium Therapeutics quick facts

Market cap
$5.10B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$3.43
Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.24
Volume
2.99M avg 2.38M
1-year return
+293.1%
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±13.2%
50-day average
$41.60
200-day average
$26.90
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
134.4M
52-week range
$9.62$49.70

Definium Therapeutics swing-trade checklist

Definium Therapeutics scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $38.41 sits between the 50-day ($41.60) and 200-day ($26.90) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.8, Accumulation

    Reading 60.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    21.8% below

    Price is 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −6.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Definium Therapeutics stock chart and price history

Definium Therapeutics closed at $38.41 on Sep 28, 2026, +293.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.62 to $49.70.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Definium Therapeutics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$20$30$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep38.41

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.3%
3 months
−17.5%
6 months
+114.8%
1 year
+293.1%
The full DFTX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DFTX in Gekko

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About Definium Therapeutics

Definium Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on treatments for brain health and neurological conditions. Its work centers on experimental drug candidates rather than approved products, with the aim of addressing disorders that affect cognition and behavior. The company is best known for its pipeline of compounds still under clinical investigation rather than any commercialized therapy.

Among its lead programs is MM120, now in Phase 3 trials for generalized anxiety disorder and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. It is also advancing MM402, an R-enantiomer of MDMA, through Phase 1 testing aimed at the core symptoms of autism spectrum disorder. These programs suggest a business built around drug development milestones rather than steady product sales, with progress tied to clinical trial outcomes.

Definium Therapeutics is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker DFTX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Pharmaceuticals: major
Website
definiumtx.com

Definium Therapeutics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Definium Therapeutics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.7 points over five sessions.

010060.8Accumulation

Down 1.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+1.6%+6.0%+12.1%+38.8%
Accumulation (current zone)157+1.8%+2.6%+6.4%+16.1%
Neutral392+2.3%+4.9%+9.7%+25.0%
Distribution64+4.9%+8.8%+17.6%+26.4%
Selling190.0%+3.3%+6.1%+6.1%

Average DFTX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DFTX price, zone by zone.Track DFTX in Gekko

Is Definium Therapeutics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Definium Therapeutics trades 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $49.11, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Definium Therapeutics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$49.11

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

21.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DFTX in Gekko

Definium Therapeutics insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Definium Therapeutics, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DFTX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DFTX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DFTX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DFTX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DFTX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DFTX in Gekko

Buybacks

Definium Therapeutics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2022
$407K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 62% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 15, $275K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds DFTX.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Definium Therapeutics earnings: next date and track record

Definium Therapeutics reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+25.8%Nov ’24+7.1%Mar ’25−6.7%May ’25−6.5%Jul ’25+1.5%Nov ’25−1.0%Feb ’26−5.8%May ’26+3.9%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$1.44
est −$0.54
−166.2%——+3.9%
May 7, 2026−$0.71
est −$0.48
−48.9%——−5.8%
Feb 26, 2026−$0.45
est −$0.45
0.0%——−1.0%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.78
est −$0.52
−50.0%——+1.5%
Jul 31, 2025−$0.50
est −$0.38
−31.6%——−6.5%
May 8, 2025−$0.35
est −$0.36
+2.8%——−6.7%
Mar 6, 2025−$0.41
est −$0.31
−32.3%——+7.1%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.18
est −$0.28
+35.7%——+25.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Definium Therapeutics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Definium Therapeutics is $71.65, +86.5% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$71.65consensus 12-month target, +86.5% from the last close
Low $53High $91
Buy15
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 19LifeSci CapitalBuy, maintained$78+103.1%
Sep 15Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$79+105.7%
Sep 15Maxim GroupBuy, maintained$55+43.2%
Sep 15Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$67+74.4%
Sep 15JonesTradingBuy, reiterated$90+134.3%
+6.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Definium Therapeutics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Definium Therapeutics averaged −6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.8%2021−15.7%2022−21.1%2023+16.9%2024+6.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.9%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−7.3%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−6.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.7%1 of 5

For scale, DFTX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.2%.

Definium Therapeutics market cap and key statistics

Definium Therapeutics’s market cap is $5.10B and revenue of $0 over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.10B
EPS, TTM
−$3.43
Gekko Fair Value
$49.11

Trading

Volume
2.99M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.38M
52-week high
$49.70
52-week low
$9.62
Shares outstanding
134.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-64.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.24
Typical daily move
±5.6%
Typical 20-day move
±13.2%

Definium Therapeutics peers

Definium Therapeutics’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LLYEli Lilly+0.4%Neutral17.9% above
JNJJohnson & Johnson+0.7%Neutral0.5% above
ABBVAbbVie+0.7%Neutral23.3% above
MRKMerck+0.7%Neutral4.2% below
AZNAstraZeneca+0.3%Neutral39.9% below
PFEPfizer+0.4%Neutral4.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Definium Therapeutics stock FAQ

What is Definium Therapeutics’s market cap?

Definium Therapeutics’s market cap is $5.10B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $38.41, with 134.4M shares outstanding.

What is the Definium Therapeutics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Definium Therapeutics is $71.65, +86.5% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Definium Therapeutics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Definium Therapeutics is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $38.41 is 21.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $49.11. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Definium Therapeutics report earnings next?

Definium Therapeutics is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.54 per share. Definium Therapeutics beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.3% on average across the report.

What is Definium Therapeutics’s 52-week high and low?

Definium Therapeutics’s 52-week high is $49.70 and its 52-week low is $9.62; it closed at $38.41 on Sep 28, 2026, +293.1% over the past year.

Is Definium Therapeutics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Definium Therapeutics?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Definium Therapeutics over the last 30 days, with $429K of flagged premium in calls and $258K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 15, 2026 with $275K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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