Vista Energy (VIST) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$66.91−0.52 (−0.8%)

Gekko Brief

Vista Energy closed at $66.91 on 28 September 2026, -0.8% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($69.99) and 200-day ($64.52) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $33.45 to $81.44. The GekkoIndex reads 63.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.2 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $69.30, so the price is 3.4% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 28 October 2026, 29 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 2 times, with an average move of 4.3% across the report. Over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +23% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

2 firms rate the stock: 2 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $93.87. A typical daily move is about 4.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 8.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (smart money).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Vista Energy price vs fair value

$69.30$66.91Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $66.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.30

Vista Energy quick facts

Market cap
$6.98B
P/E ratio
9
Forward P/E
6.3
EPS, TTM
$7.60
Revenue, TTM
$3.53B
Profit margin
23.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.46
Volume
687,054 avg 1.20M
1-year return
+80.7%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
50-day average
$69.99
200-day average
$64.52
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
110.6M
52-week range
$33.45$81.44

Vista Energy swing-trade checklist

Vista Energy scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $66.91 sits between the 50-day ($69.99) and 200-day ($64.52) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.8, Accumulation

    Reading 63.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +23.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +23% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Vista Energy stock chart and price history

Vista Energy closed at $66.91 on Sep 28, 2026, +80.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.45 to $81.44.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Vista Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep66.91

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.2%
3 months
+4.2%
6 months
−9.8%
1 year
+80.7%
The full VIST chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VIST in Gekko

Follow Vista Energy through every session

Put VIST on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Vista Energy

Vista Energy explores for and produces oil and natural gas across Latin America, working through a group of subsidiaries rather than as a single operating unit. It holds a sizable position of roughly 183,100 acres in the Vaca Muerta area, alongside other producing assets located in Argentina and Mexico. As of the end of 2021, the company reported proved reserves of about 181.6 million barrels of oil equivalent.

The company carries out its upstream activities through its subsidiary structure, drawing its output from producing fields in both Argentina and Mexico in addition to its Vaca Muerta acreage. It was originally incorporated under the name Vista Oil & Gas, S.A.B. de C.V., before changing its name to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. in April 2022.

Vista Energy is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico, and was established in 2017. Its shares trade under the ticker VIST.

Sector
Energy minerals
Website
vistaenergy.com

Vista Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Vista Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.2 points over five sessions.

010063.8Accumulation

Up 5.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+4.7%+8.3%+6.9%+20.6%
Accumulation (current zone)185+1.2%+1.7%+3.8%+9.5%
Neutral387+0.1%+0.6%+1.8%+2.4%
Distribution230.0%+0.2%−1.2%+5.1%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average VIST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VIST price, zone by zone.Track VIST in Gekko

Is Vista Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Vista Energy trades 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.30, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Vista Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.30

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

3.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VIST in Gekko

Vista Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Vista Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VIST in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VIST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VIST in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VIST were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VIST, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VIST in Gekko

Buybacks

Vista Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$161K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 18, $1.03M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold VIST.

1added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Vista Energy earnings: next date and track record

Vista Energy reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.4%Oct ’24−5.5%Feb ’25+4.4%Apr ’25−2.6%Jul ’25+13.5%Oct ’25−2.0%Feb ’26+1.6%Apr ’26−2.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Vista reported Q2 2026 total revenues of $1.15 billion, up 89% year-over-year, driven by production growth and higher oil prices. Total production reached 156,000 BOE/day (+32% YoY), with oil at 135,000 bbl/day (+33% YoY). Adjusted EBITDA surged 99% YoY to $805 million. The Equinor/Vaca Muerta acquisition closed, adding ~21,000 BOE/day run-rate. Net debt stood at 1.41x EBITDA (1.25x pro forma), with EPS of $3.00.
Guidance
The Equinor acquisition run-rate of ~21,000 BOE/day will fully impact Q3 2026. May-June production averaged 161,600 BOE/day, signaling stronger near-term output. Management highlighted strong balance sheet and positioning to capture upside from higher oil prices.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 16, 2026$2.38
est $3.15
−24.4%$1.10B
est $1.19B
−6.9%−2.3%
Apr 29, 2026$0.89
est $1.42
−37.3%$670.6M
est $707.6M
−5.2%+1.6%
Feb 25, 2026$0.80
est $1.12
−28.7%$719.0M
est $668.1M
+7.6%−2.0%
Oct 22, 2025$1.48
est $1.24
+19.4%$706.1M
est $654.6M
+7.9%+13.5%
Jul 10, 2025$0.55
est $2.15
−74.4%$593.0M
est $598.4M
−0.9%−2.6%
Apr 23, 2025$0.79
est $0.82
−3.7%$420.8M
est $447.3M
−5.9%+4.4%
Feb 26, 2025$0.96
est $0.97
−0.8%$470.8M
est $457.9M
+2.8%−5.5%
Oct 23, 2024$1.66
est $1.31
+26.7%$462.4M
est $497.9M
−7.1%+2.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Vista Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Vista Energy is $93.87, +40.3% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$93.87consensus 12-month target, +40.3% from the last close
Low $94High $107
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 8Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$107+59.9%
Sep 1J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$94+40.5%
Jul 16Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
+3.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+23.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Vista Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Vista Energy averaged +23.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+28.6%2021+40.9%2022−3.8%2023+17.9%2024+34.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+10.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+14.0%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+14.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+23.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+18.3%4 of 5

For scale, VIST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.

Vista Energy market cap and key statistics

Vista Energy’s market cap is $6.98B, with a P/E ratio of 9 and revenue of $3.53B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.98B
P/E ratio
9
Forward P/E
6.3
EPS, TTM
$7.60
Gekko Fair Value
$69.30

Trading

Volume
687,054
Avg volume, 20 days
1.20M
52-week high
$81.44
52-week low
$33.45
Shares outstanding
110.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.53B
Profit margin
23.6%
Return on equity
29.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+29.8%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.46
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%

Vista Energy stock news this week

Coverage of Vista Energy this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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Vista Energy stock FAQ

What is Vista Energy’s market cap?

Vista Energy’s market cap is $6.98B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $66.91, with 110.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.

What is the Vista Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Vista Energy is $93.87, +40.3% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Vista Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Vista Energy is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $66.91 is 3.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Vista Energy report earnings next?

Vista Energy is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.70 per share on revenue of $1.09B. Vista Energy beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is Vista Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Vista Energy’s 52-week high is $81.44 and its 52-week low is $33.45; it closed at $66.91 on Sep 28, 2026, +80.7% over the past year.

Is Vista Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Vista Energy?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Vista Energy over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $1.03M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 18, 2026 with $1.03M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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