Insider buying last 90 days
$78Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4 | Ronna R. Mcdaniel Director | Purchase | $78K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: ARLP
Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$24.90+0.28 (+1.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAlliance Resource Partners has scheduled its third quarter 2026 earnings conference call, with Noble Financial raising its Q3 2026 EPS estimate to $0.98, up from $0.85, and projecting FY2026 earnings of $2.87 per share. This comes after ARLP's Q2 2026 results showed EPS of $0.65 against a $0.62 estimate. Separately, a research piece reiterated a Buy rating with a 12-month target of $28-29, pointing to fully contracted 2026 coal sales and 2027 pricing largely locked in, alongside a 9.8% yield.
ARLP closed at $24.90, up 1.1%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $25.62 and 200-day average of $25.49. The GekkoIndex reads 63.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has declined 4.6 over the past five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $43.34, a gap of -42.5% from the current price.
Earnings are due on 26 October 2026, 14 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report produced a 4.9% reaction, with an average absolute move of 3.4% across prior quarters. Over the last 90 days there has been one open-market insider purchase valued at $78,345, and one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.1% across 5 years, rising in 2 of those instances. One analyst firm maintains a Buy rating with a consensus target of $31.17, implying 25.2% upside.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Alliance Resource Partners price vs fair value
Close $24.90200-day averageGekko Fair Value $43.34
Alliance Resource Partners quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.20B
- P/E ratio
- 12
- Forward P/E
- 9
- EPS, TTM
- $2.05
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.17B
- Profit margin
- 12.2%
- Dividend yield
- 9.76%
- Beta
- 0.31
- Volume
- 242,941 avg 288,124
- 1-year return
- −1.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- 50-day average
- $25.62
- 200-day average
- $25.49
- Next earnings
- Oct 26
- Shares outstanding
- 128.7M
Alliance Resource Partners swing-trade checklist
Alliance Resource Partners scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $24.90 sits between the 50-day ($25.62) and 200-day ($25.49) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.1, Accumulation
Reading 63.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
42.5% below
Price is 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 14 days
Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 14 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Alliance Resource Partners stock chart and price history
Alliance Resource Partners closed at $24.90 on Oct 12, 2026, −1.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $23.00 to $29.45.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.1%
- 3 months
- −0.2%
- 6 months
- −5.7%
- 1 year
- −1.2%
The full ARLP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARLP in Gekko
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About Alliance Resource Partners
Alliance Resource Partners mines and sells coal to power utilities and industrial buyers throughout the United States, producing both thermal and metallurgical grades with varying sulfur and heat properties. It runs seven underground mining complexes spread across six states and also operates a coal loading facility on the Ohio River, buying and reselling coal in addition to its own output. The company is widely associated with its Illinois Basin and Appalachia coal production.
Operationally, the partnership is divided into four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. It holds mineral and royalty interests across roughly 1.5 million gross acres in oil and gas regions including the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins, and it leases land connected to its mining business. Alongside resource extraction, it provides mining technology services such as communication networks, personnel tracking, proximity detection, collision avoidance systems, and analytics software for the mining industry.
Alliance Resource Partners was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ARLP.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Coal
- Website
- arlp.com
Alliance Resource Partners GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Alliance Resource Partners’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions.
63.1Accumulation
Down 4.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 30 | +0.9% | +1.1% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 208 | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| Neutral | 407 | +0.2% | +0.2% |
| Distribution | 27 | −0.3% | +2.9% |
| Selling | 10 | −2.6% | −9.7% |
Average ARLP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARLP price, zone by zone.Track ARLP in Gekko
Is Alliance Resource Partners stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Alliance Resource Partners trades 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.34, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Alliance Resource Partners shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$43.34
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
42.5% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARLP in Gekko
Alliance Resource Partners insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Alliance Resource Partners worth $78K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ARLP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ARLP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARLP in Gekko
Buybacks
Alliance Resource Partners has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2024
- $2.25M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.07%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ARLP.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Alliance Resource Partners earnings: next date and track record
Alliance Resource Partners reports on Oct 26, 2026 (14 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 26, 2026
14 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.85
- Revenue estimate
- $585.8M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ARLP Q2 2026 total revenues reached $551.6 million, with net income up 33.9% year-over-year to $79.6 million ($0.61/unit) and adjusted EBITDA up 14.7% to $185.7 million. Coal sales volumes were 8.6 million tons, with segment adjusted EBITDA expense per ton improving 6.3% to $38.68. Oil & Gas Royalties delivered record quarterly revenue of $46.5 million, up 31.1% year-over-year, driven by 22.7% higher average realized prices per BOE.
- Guidance
- Management updated 2026 guidance following a recently closed Oil & Gas Royalties acquisition. Sequential revenue growth of 6.9% and EBITDA improvement of 19.8% suggest continued operational momentum, though specific full-year targets were not fully captured in the excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | $0.65 est $0.62 | $551.6M est $554.3M | +4.9% |
| Apr 27, 2026 | $0.38 est $0.29 | $516.0M est $518.2M | +6.3% |
| Feb 2, 2026 | $0.75 est $0.61 | $535.5M est $556.4M | +5.0% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $0.70 est $0.67 | $571.4M est $556.8M | +5.5% |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $0.55 est $0.61 | $547.5M est $583.6M | −2.3% |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $0.60 est $0.63 | $540.5M est $574.2M | −0.3% |
| Feb 3, 2025 | $0.24 est $0.67 | $590.1M est $635.6M | −2.5% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | $0.67 est $0.82 | $613.6M est $641.7M | −0.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Alliance Resource Partners stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Alliance Resource Partners is $31.17, +25.2% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$31.17consensus 12-month target, +25.2% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28 | Noble Financial | $33.50 | +34.5% |
| Jul 14 | Noble Financial | $33 | +32.5% |
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Alliance Resource Partners seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Alliance Resource Partners averaged −0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | 0.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −3.8% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, ARLP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.
Alliance Resource Partners market cap and key statistics
Alliance Resource Partners’s market cap is $3.20B, with a P/E ratio of 12 and revenue of $2.17B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.20B
- P/E ratio
- 12
- Forward P/E
- 9
- EPS, TTM
- $2.05
- Gekko Fair Value
- $43.34
Trading
- Volume
- 242,941
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 288,124
- 52-week high
- $29.45
- 52-week low
- $23.00
- Shares outstanding
- 128.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.17B
- Profit margin
- 12.2%
- Return on equity
- 15.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +34.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.31
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- Dividend yield
- 9.76%
Alliance Resource Partners stock news this week
5 headlines about Alliance Resource Partners from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Is Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) Stock Undervalued Right Now?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference CallBusiness Wire, Oct 12
- Noble Financial Has Positive Outlook for ARLP Q3 EarningsMarketBeat, Oct 12
- Understanding Momentum Shifts in (ARLP)Stock Traders Daily, Oct 10
- Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing RoyaltiesSeeking Alpha, Oct 5
Alliance Resource Partners peers
Alliance Resource Partners’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| HCCWarrior Met Coal | Neutral | 11.8% above |
| CNRCore Natural Resources | Neutral | 36.1% below |
| BTUPeabody Energy | Accumulation | 44.9% below |
| AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources | Neutral | 29.9% below |
| NRPNatural Resource Partners LP Limited Partnership | Neutral | 32.6% below |
| HNRGHallador Energy | Accumulation | 26.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Alliance Resource Partners stock FAQ
What is Alliance Resource Partners’s market cap?
Alliance Resource Partners’s market cap is $3.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $24.90, with 128.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.
What is the Alliance Resource Partners stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Alliance Resource Partners is $31.17, +25.2% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Alliance Resource Partners stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Alliance Resource Partners is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $24.90 is 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.34. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Alliance Resource Partners report earnings next?
Alliance Resource Partners is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (14 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.85 per share on revenue of $585.8M. Alliance Resource Partners beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.
What is Alliance Resource Partners’s 52-week high and low?
Alliance Resource Partners’s 52-week high is $29.45 and its 52-week low is $23.00; it closed at $24.90 on Oct 12, 2026, −1.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $30.56 on Jan 23, 2025.
Is Alliance Resource Partners stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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