NYSE: BTU

Peabody Energy (BTU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$25.08−0.05 (−0.2%)
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Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

The only item this week is a comparison piece weighing Peabody Energy against PrimeEnergy across analyst recommendations, risk, dividends, valuation, earnings and institutional ownership, without a clear catalyst beyond that side-by-side framing.

BTU closes at $25.08, down 0.2%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $26.19 and its 200-day average of $28.71, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The one-month return stands at -11.1% and the six-month at -11.9%, while the three-month figure is positive at 4.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 62, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Against Gekko Fair Value of $45.52, the current price sits 44.9% below that mark.

Earnings are scheduled for 29 October 2026, 16 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 29 July showed a loss of $0.74 per share against a $0.31 estimate, with a -7.9% reaction, and the average absolute reaction has run 6.2% across the last eight quarters, three of which beat estimates. Seasonality over this stretch of the calendar has averaged -3.1% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Consensus among 4 firms shows 2 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $31.58.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Peabody Energy price vs fair value

$45.52$25.08Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $25.08200-day averageGekko Fair Value $45.52

Peabody Energy quick facts

Market cap
$3.05B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
−$1.49
Revenue, TTM
$4.01B
Profit margin
-4.6%
Dividend yield
1.18%
Beta
0.32
Volume
1.92M avg 2.38M
1-year return
−21.2%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
50-day average
$26.19
200-day average
$28.71
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
121.9M
52-week range
$20.06$41.14

Peabody Energy swing-trade checklist

Peabody Energy scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $25.08 is below the 50-day ($26.19) and 200-day ($28.71) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62, Accumulation

    Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.9% below

    Price is 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Peabody Energy stock chart and price history

Peabody Energy closed at $25.08 on Oct 12, 2026, −21.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.06 to $41.14.

5Y and weekly in Gekko
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Peabody Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct25.08

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.1%
3 months
+4.3%
6 months
−11.9%
1 year
−21.2%
The full BTU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BTU in Gekko

Follow Peabody Energy through every session

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Peabody Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Peabody Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.2 points over five sessions.

010062Accumulation

Up 1.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+2.5%+0.8%+1.4%−10.7%
Accumulation (current zone)264−0.5%+0.3%−0.1%−1.6%
Neutral3300.0%−0.1%+2.3%+10.2%
Distribution49+3.9%+5.6%+1.2%0.0%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average BTU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BTU price, zone by zone.Track BTU in Gekko

Is Peabody Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Peabody Energy trades 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.52, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Peabody Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$45.52

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

44.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BTU in Gekko

Peabody Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Peabody Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BTU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BTU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BTU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BTU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BTU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BTU in Gekko

Buybacks

Peabody Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$3.30M
As a share of market cap
0.11%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BTU.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Peabody Energy earnings: next date and track record

Peabody Energy reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.2%Oct ’24−11.4%Feb ’25+5.9%May ’25+4.2%Jul ’25+1.6%Oct ’25+5.5%Feb ’26−5.9%May ’26−7.9%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026−$0.74
est −$0.31		−138.7%$1.00B
est $1.02B		−1.6%−7.9%
May 5, 2026−$0.18
est $0.42		−142.7%$973.3M
est $977.4M		−0.4%−5.9%
Feb 5, 2026$0.08
est $0.05		+60.0%$1.02B
est $1.02B		+0.7%+5.5%
Oct 30, 2025−$0.58
est −$0.19		−205.3%$1.01B
est $1.02B		−0.7%+1.6%
Jul 31, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.04		−50.0%$890.1M
est $940.0M		−5.3%+4.2%
May 6, 2025$0.27
est $0.07		+285.7%$937.0M
est $961.7M		−2.6%+5.9%
Feb 6, 2025$0.28
est $0.53		−47.2%$1.12B
est $1.09B		+2.8%−11.4%
Oct 31, 2024$0.74
est $0.59		+25.4%$1.09B
est $1.11B		−2.2%+7.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Peabody Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Peabody Energy is $31.58, +25.9% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$31.58consensus 12-month target, +25.9% from the last close
Low $27.50High $36
Buy2
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25UBSHold, reiterated$27.50+9.6%
Sep 10BMO CapitalBuy, reiterated$34+35.6%
Aug 24UBSHold, maintained$27.50+9.6%
Aug 4UBSHold, maintained$26.50+5.7%
Jul 30Benchmark Co.Buy, maintained$36+43.5%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Peabody Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Peabody Energy averaged −3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−26.6%2021+10.6%2022−13.4%2023+8.6%2024−1.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−9.2%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−12.8%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−11.2%2 of 5

For scale, BTU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.7%.

Peabody Energy market cap and key statistics

Peabody Energy’s market cap is $3.05B and revenue of $4.01B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.05B
Forward P/E
19.1
EPS, TTM
−$1.49
Gekko Fair Value
$45.52

Trading

Volume
1.92M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.38M
52-week high
$41.14
52-week low
$20.06
Shares outstanding
121.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.01B
Profit margin
-4.6%
Return on equity
-4.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−62.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.32
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.7%
Dividend yield
1.18%

Peabody Energy stock news this week

1 headline about Peabody Energy from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Peabody Energy peers

Peabody Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
HCCWarrior Met Coal+0.8%Neutral11.8% above
CNRCore Natural Resources+2.0%Neutral36.1% below
ARLPAlliance Resource Partners+0.9%Accumulation42.5% below
AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources+2.5%Neutral29.9% below
NRPNatural Resource Partners LP Limited Partnership+2.8%Neutral32.6% below
HNRGHallador Energy+6.0%Accumulation26.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

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Reporting earnings this week

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Popular on Gekko

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Peabody Energy stock FAQ

What is Peabody Energy’s market cap?

Peabody Energy’s market cap is $3.05B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $25.08, with 121.9M shares outstanding.

What is the Peabody Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Peabody Energy is $31.58, +25.9% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Peabody Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Peabody Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $25.08 is 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.52. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Peabody Energy report earnings next?

Peabody Energy is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.01 per share on revenue of $1.04B. Peabody Energy beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.2% on average across the report.

What is Peabody Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Peabody Energy’s 52-week high is $41.14 and its 52-week low is $20.06; it closed at $25.08 on Oct 12, 2026, −21.2% over the past year.

Is Peabody Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

Built and overseen by Jared Mann

Founder of Gekko.app. Jared has traded stocks and ETFs for more than 20 years and has a financial industry background.

About GekkoHow Gekko’s data worksReport an error

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