NYSE: UTI

Universal Technical Institute (UTI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$20.86+0.22 (+1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Universal Technical Institute's week centered on its updated fiscal 2026 outlook, which lowered projections on softer high school enrollments while lifting growth limits for Concorde Career Colleges. Q3 results had shown revenue of $219 million, up 7% year-over-year, with new student starts up 11% and UTI division starts up 23%, alongside baseline adjusted EBITDA of $27 million versus SEC-reported adjusted EBITDA of $18 million after $9 million in strategic growth investments. Analyst reaction has been mixed: Argus issued a HOLD rating with a target price of $19.00, even as the stock traded near $20.64, while Truist reiterated a Buy rating with a $38.00 target, citing potential upside despite recent declines.

UTI shares closed at $20.86, up 1.1%, but remain below both the 50-day average of $23.07 and the 200-day average of $32.70, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 60.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.36, a notable gap by that measure.

The next earnings date falls on 18 November 2026, after the close, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart-money activity over the past 90 days includes one open-market insider purchase valued at $225,676. Consensus among 7 firms stands at 6 buy and 1 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $38.83. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 12.1% move, higher in 4 of those years, worth noting alongside the elevated 4.5% typical daily swing.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Universal Technical Institute price vs fair value

$32.36$20.86Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $20.86200-day averageGekko Fair Value $32.36

Universal Technical Institute quick facts

Market cap
$1.15B
P/E ratio
33.3
Forward P/E
27.3
EPS, TTM
$0.61
Revenue, TTM
$883.6M
Profit margin
3.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.19
Volume
952,956 avg 1.77M
1-year return
−31.1%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
50-day average
$23.07
200-day average
$32.70
Next earnings
Nov 18 after close
Shares outstanding
55.10M
52-week range
$18.02$51.34

Universal Technical Institute swing-trade checklist

Universal Technical Institute scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $20.86 is below the 50-day ($23.07) and 200-day ($32.70) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.6, Accumulation

    Reading 60.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.5% below

    Price is 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +12.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Universal Technical Institute stock chart and price history

Universal Technical Institute closed at $20.86 on Oct 12, 2026, −31.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $18.02 to $51.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Universal Technical Institute share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20.86

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.7%
3 months
−55.3%
6 months
−40.9%
1 year
−31.1%
The full UTI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UTI in Gekko

Follow Universal Technical Institute through every session

Put UTI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Universal Technical Institute

Universal Technical Institute trains students for hands-on careers in the transportation and skilled trades fields. Its programs cover areas such as automotive repair, diesel systems, collision work, motorcycles and marine technology, with graduates earning certificates, diplomas or degrees depending on the course of study.

The school operates under several brand names, including Universal Technical Institute itself, along with the Motorcycle Mechanics Institute, Marine Mechanics Institute and NASCAR Technical Institute. Beyond its standard coursework, it offers specialized training tied to particular equipment manufacturers, which students can take as paid electives or which manufacturers and dealers can sponsor for their own staff at campus locations or dedicated training centers. Welding and computer numeric control machining round out its vocational offerings.

The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker UTI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
uti.edu

Universal Technical Institute GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Universal Technical Institute’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.6 points over five sessions.

010060.6Accumulation

Down 6.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30−0.7%−3.4%−4.2%+16.5%
Accumulation (current zone)195+1.0%+0.7%+1.0%+13.9%
Neutral384+0.7%+1.6%+3.3%+4.9%
Distribution58−1.0%0.0%+0.5%−4.2%
Selling15+1.0%+5.2%+5.6%+7.3%

Average UTI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UTI price, zone by zone.Track UTI in Gekko

Is Universal Technical Institute stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Universal Technical Institute trades 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.36, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Universal Technical Institute shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$32.36

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

35.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 43.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$32$21Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UTI in Gekko

Universal Technical Institute insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Universal Technical Institute worth $226K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$226Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 12Robert Thomas Devincenzi
Director
Purchase8,000$226K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UTI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UTI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UTI in Gekko

Buybacks

Universal Technical Institute has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$995K
As a share of market cap
0.09%
Trailing four quarters
$8.93M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds UTI.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Universal Technical Institute earnings: next date and track record

Universal Technical Institute reports on Nov 18, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+18.4%Nov ’24+2.0%Feb ’25+11.4%May ’25−15.1%Aug ’25−19.0%Nov ’25−13.2%Feb ’26−8.1%May ’26−34.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
UTI reported Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $219 million, up 7% year-over-year, with new student starts growing 11% YoY and UTI division starts up 23%. Average full-time active students increased 6%. Baseline adjusted EBITDA was $27 million, while SEC-reported adjusted EBITDA was $18 million due to $9 million in strategic growth investments. Strong momentum in skilled trades and healthcare programs is driving enrollment diversification beyond traditional transportation programs.
Guidance
Management expressed strong confidence in long-term North Star strategy despite near-term challenges. Sustained employer demand across skilled trades, healthcare, and transportation sectors is expected to support continued enrollment and revenue growth. No specific numerical targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.04
est $0.01
+300.0%$218.9M
est $220.4M
−0.7%−34.0%
May 6, 2026$0.01
est $0.16
−93.8%$221.4M
est $221.6M
−0.1%−8.1%
Feb 4, 2026$0.23
est $0.15
+53.3%$220.8M
est $216.9M
+1.8%−13.2%
Nov 19, 2025$0.34
est $0.26
+30.1%$222.4M
est $219.2M
+1.5%−19.0%
Aug 6, 2025$0.19
est $0.12
+58.3%$204.3M
est $219.3M
−6.9%−15.1%
May 7, 2025$0.21
est $0.12
+75.0%$207.4M
est $196.6M
+5.5%+11.4%
Feb 5, 2025$0.40
est $0.18
+122.2%$201.4M
est $197.4M
+2.0%+2.0%
Nov 20, 2024$0.34
est $0.30
+13.3%$196.4M
est $191.2M
+2.7%+18.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Universal Technical Institute stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Universal Technical Institute is $38.83, +86.1% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$38.83consensus 12-month target, +86.1% from the last close
Low $25High $48
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Oct 2Lake StreetBuy, reiterated$37+77.4%
Oct 1BarringtonBuy, reiterated$30+43.8%
Sep 21Texas Capital SecuritiesHold, downgraded$25+19.8%
Sep 10Northland SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$35+67.8%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+12.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Universal Technical Institute seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Universal Technical Institute averaged +12.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.7%2021+27.5%2022+10.8%2023+25.5%2024−5.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.2%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+12.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+20.9%4 of 5

For scale, UTI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.

Universal Technical Institute market cap and key statistics

Universal Technical Institute’s market cap is $1.15B, with a P/E ratio of 33.3 and revenue of $883.6M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.15B
P/E ratio
33.3
Forward P/E
27.3
EPS, TTM
$0.61
Gekko Fair Value
$32.36

Trading

Volume
952,956
Avg volume, 20 days
1.77M
52-week high
$51.34
52-week low
$18.02
Shares outstanding
55.10M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$883.6M
Profit margin
3.9%
Return on equity
10.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−78.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%

Universal Technical Institute stock news this week

Coverage of Universal Technical Institute this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Universal Technical Institute peers

Universal Technical Institute’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+3.1%Distribution25.9% above
CTASCintas+0.9%Neutral14.1% above
PYPLPayPal+0.8%Neutral0.8% below
XYZBlock−0.1%Neutral7.5% above
CPAYCorpay−0.7%Neutral17.5% below
FISVFiserv+1.3%Accumulation39.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Universal Technical Institute stock FAQ

What is Universal Technical Institute’s market cap?

Universal Technical Institute’s market cap is $1.15B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $20.86, with 55.10M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.3.

What is the Universal Technical Institute stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Universal Technical Institute is $38.83, +86.1% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Universal Technical Institute stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Universal Technical Institute is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $20.86 is 35.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Universal Technical Institute report earnings next?

Universal Technical Institute is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.33 per share on revenue of $235.0M. Universal Technical Institute beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.2% on average across the report.

What is Universal Technical Institute’s 52-week high and low?

Universal Technical Institute’s 52-week high is $51.34 and its 52-week low is $18.02; it closed at $20.86 on Oct 12, 2026, −31.1% over the past year.

Is Universal Technical Institute stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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