NYSE: BV

BrightView (BV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$10.78+0.11 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news flow for BrightView centers on the fiscal third-quarter earnings miss, where EPS and revenue fell below analyst consensus, prompting one firm to upgrade the stock to Hold from strong sell. Separate commentary notes a strong near-term sentiment but a neutral mid and long-term outlook, with support said to be under test. Broader coverage recaps BrightView's business segments and corporate strategy without new catalysts beyond the earnings reaction.

BV closes at $10.78, up 1% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $11.00 and 200-day average of $12.46, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's 52-week range spans $9.82 to $15.00, and returns over the past three and six months stand at -24.8% and -9% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing BV in the Neutral zone, down 7.9 over five days. Price sits 41.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.42.

BrightView's next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 4 August showed EPS of $0.13 against a $0.26 estimate, with a -21.4% reaction; the call cited organic Land Maintenance revenue growth of 2.3% year-over-year and a contract book up 4% over five quarters. Over the last 90 days, 2 insider purchases totaling $562,400 are on record. Seasonality over five years shows a 1.8% average 20-day return from this point, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus across 7 firms includes 5 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $15.45.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

BrightView price vs fair value

▲$18.42$10.78Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $10.78200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.42

BrightView quick facts

Market cap
$1.00B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
16.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.24
Revenue, TTM
$2.74B
Profit margin
0.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.20
Volume
1.04M avg 951,828
1-year return
−16.6%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
50-day average
$11.00
200-day average
$12.46
Next earnings
Nov 18
Shares outstanding
92.60M
52-week range
$9.82$15.00

BrightView swing-trade checklist

BrightView scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $10.78 is below the 50-day ($11.00) and 200-day ($12.46) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.1, Neutral

    Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.5% below

    Price is 41.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BrightView stock chart and price history

BrightView closed at $10.78 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.82 to $15.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BrightView share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$13$14$15NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct10.78

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.7%
3 months
−24.8%
6 months
−9.0%
1 year
−16.6%
The full BV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BV in Gekko

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About BrightView

BrightView works through a group of subsidiaries to deliver commercial landscaping services to customers across the United States. Its work ranges from routine grounds upkeep like mowing, gardening, mulching and snow clearing to more technical jobs such as irrigation maintenance, water management, tree care and the upkeep of golf courses and other specialized turf. The company has also taken on a role as an official field consultant to professional baseball leagues.

The business runs through two segments. Maintenance Services handles the recurring landscaping work described above for a wide base of clients, including office parks and corporate campuses, residential communities, public parks, hotels, resorts, hospitals, schools, restaurants and retail sites, with roughly 13,000 corporate properties, 8,000 residential communities and 450 schools among its customers. Development Services focuses on landscape design and construction, covering project planning and management, architectural design, irrigation installation, tree relocation and planting, pool and water feature work, and sports field construction for new builds and major renovations.

Founded in 1939, BrightView is headquartered in Blue Bell, Pennsylvania. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
brightview.com

BrightView GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BrightView’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, down 7.9 points over five sessions.

010058.1Neutral

Down 7.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39+0.2%+0.4%−0.1%+11.1%
Accumulation221−0.1%−0.4%−0.1%+1.7%
Neutral (current zone)360+0.5%+0.9%+1.9%+1.2%
Distribution59+0.5%+1.1%+0.7%+10.7%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average BV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BV price, zone by zone.Track BV in Gekko

Is BrightView stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BrightView trades 41.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BrightView shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$18.42

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

41.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 46.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$18$10Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BV in Gekko

BrightView insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in BrightView worth $562K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$562Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 6William L Cornog
Director
Purchase40,000$450K
Aug 6William L Cornog
Director
Purchase10,000$112K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BV in Gekko

Buybacks

BrightView has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$9.60M
As a share of market cap
0.96%
Trailing four quarters
$52.50M

From company filings.

BrightView earnings: next date and track record

BrightView reports on Nov 18, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.0%Nov ’24−6.6%Feb ’25+9.8%May ’25−4.9%Aug ’25−1.3%Nov ’25−8.0%Feb ’26+13.8%May ’26−21.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BrightView's Q3 2026 earnings call emphasized continued progress in the company’s multi-quarter transformation, driven by investments in employees, customer service, operational excellence and the sales organization. Management highlighted a second consecutive quarter of organic Land Maintenance revenue growth (+2.3% year-over-year) and a contract book up 4% over the last five quarters, which they view as a durable driver of predictable, recurring revenue. Total revenue was $718 million (+1.3% year-over-year), and excluding nonroutine items (elevated fuel costs and a self-insurance adjustment), adjusted EBITDA would have been $116 million (16.2% margin), representing modest improvement in EBITDA and margins. Management described two nonroutine hits: heightened fuel costs (partially mitigated through operational efficiencies) and a one-time self-insurance adjustment tied to adverse development of pre-2024 claims. They framed the insurance adjustment as a prudent step to close lingering liabilities. Management reiterated confidence in long-term targets, noted sequential momentum in Land (Q4 Land growth guide of 3%–6%), and said they will provide 2027 guidance in November. They expect improving free cash flow conversion as fleet CapEx normalizes and cited an increase of $100 million in liquidity from amended debt facilities.
Guidance
Q4 2026 Land growth guidance: 3% to 6% (per Slide 23). Management will provide full 2027 revenue, profitability and cash flow guidance in November. Prior free cash flow guidance for the year was $100M to $115M; management expects normalized revenue jump-off point of roughly $365M–$370M (versus $340M–$345M reported) after adjusting for nonroutine items and expects improved free cash flow conversion starting in 2027 as CapEx declines.
Risks flagged
Fuel price volatility and elevated fuel costs (a headwind in the quarter); variability in snow and development revenue (seasonality and timing/backlog choppiness); legacy self-insurance claims (addressed via a one-time adjustment but a historical risk); dependence on customer acceptance for ancillary services (ancillary revenue is volatile); macro uncertainty that could affect customer discretionary spend.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.13
est $0.26
−50.0%$717.6M
est $726.1M
−1.2%−21.4%
May 5, 2026$0.09
est $0.10
−10.0%$702.9M
est $638.8M
+10.0%+13.8%
Feb 3, 2026−$0.01
est $0.01
−200.0%$614.7M
est $589.1M
+4.3%−8.0%
Nov 19, 2025$0.27
est $0.32
−14.9%$702.8M
est $718.6M
−2.2%−1.3%
Aug 6, 2025$0.30
est $0.33
−9.1%$708.3M
est $718.0M
−1.4%−4.9%
May 7, 2025$0.14
est $0.12
+16.7%$662.6M
est $643.3M
+3.0%+9.8%
Feb 5, 2025$0.04
est $0.04
0.0%$599.2M
est $611.6M
−2.0%−6.6%
Nov 13, 2024$0.30
est $0.31
−3.2%$728.7M
est $723.2M
+0.8%−14.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BrightView stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BrightView is $15.45, +43.3% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$15.45consensus 12-month target, +43.3% from the last close
Low $10.80High $16
Buy5
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Craig-HallumBuy, reiterated$15+39.1%
Aug 6OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$16+48.4%
Aug 6Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$12.50+16.0%
Aug 6BTIGBuy, maintained$15+39.1%
Aug 5Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$14+29.9%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BrightView seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, BrightView averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.4%2021+6.0%2022−9.8%2023+13.6%2024−7.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.0%0 of 5

For scale, BV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.

BrightView market cap and key statistics

BrightView’s market cap is $1.00B and revenue of $2.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.00B
Forward P/E
16.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.24
Gekko Fair Value
$18.42

Trading

Volume
1.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
951,828
52-week high
$15.00
52-week low
$9.82
Shares outstanding
92.60M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.74B
Profit margin
0.7%
Return on equity
1.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.20
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%

BrightView stock news this week

Coverage of BrightView this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

BrightView peers

BrightView’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+3.1%Distribution25.9% above
CTASCintas+0.9%Neutral14.1% above
PYPLPayPal+0.8%Neutral0.8% below
XYZBlock−0.1%Neutral7.5% above
CPAYCorpay−0.7%Neutral17.5% below
FISVFiserv+1.3%Accumulation39.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BrightView stock FAQ

What is BrightView’s market cap?

BrightView’s market cap is $1.00B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $10.78, with 92.60M shares outstanding.

What is the BrightView stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BrightView is $15.45, +43.3% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BrightView stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BrightView is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $10.78 is 41.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BrightView report earnings next?

BrightView is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.25 per share on revenue of $723.8M. BrightView beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 10% on average across the report.

What is BrightView’s 52-week high and low?

BrightView’s 52-week high is $15.00 and its 52-week low is $9.82; it closed at $10.78 on Oct 12, 2026, −16.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $18.89 on Nov 11, 2024.

Is BrightView stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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