NYSE: MH

McGraw Hill (MH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$13.58+0.21 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

McGraw Hill completed a refinancing this week, with its McGraw-Hill Education subsidiary issuing $400 million of 8.000% senior secured notes due 2033 and closing $930 million of senior secured term loans, while extending its ABL revolver maturity to 9 October 2031. The transactions redeemed older notes and amended revolving credit facilities to push out maturities. Separately, a commentary piece described the business as sound while noting that private equity risk and valuation remain considerations.

MH closed at $13.58, up 1.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $12.83 and 200-day average of $12.76, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 51.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a reading five points higher recently. Price stands 37.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $21.58.

McGraw Hill's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, before the open, 23 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 13 August 2026 produced a 12.9% reaction after EPS of $0.57 beat the $0.48 estimate, part of a stretch of 4 beats in 6 quarters with an average absolute reaction of 13.7%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, and one billionaire holder is recorded. Among 8 covering firms, 7 rate it buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $17.92 implying 32% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

McGraw Hill price vs fair value

$21.58$13.58Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $13.58200-day averageGekko Fair Value $21.58

McGraw Hill quick facts

Market cap
$2.60B
P/E ratio
27.9
Forward P/E
17.5
EPS, TTM
$0.48
Revenue, TTM
$2.12B
Profit margin
4.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
561,364 avg 626,053
1-year return
+9.0%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±9.9%
50-day average
$12.83
200-day average
$12.76
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
191.3M
52-week range
$8.95$18.00

McGraw Hill swing-trade checklist

McGraw Hill scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $13.58 is above the 50-day ($12.83) and 200-day ($12.76) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.1, Neutral

    Reading 51.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.1% below

    Price is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

McGraw Hill stock chart and price history

McGraw Hill closed at $13.58 on Oct 12, 2026, +9.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.95 to $18.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
McGraw Hill share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$16$18NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct13.58

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.2%
3 months
+34.7%
6 months
+1.1%
1 year
+9.0%
The full MH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MH in Gekko

Follow McGraw Hill through every session

Put MH on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About McGraw Hill

McGraw Hill provides learning materials for students and professionals, spanning primary and secondary schooling, college-level study, and specialized fields such as medicine and engineering. It supplies both digital and print content, and is recognized for serving schools, universities, and individual learners in the United States and abroad.

The company's work is split into four divisions. The K-12 unit sells core and supplementary curricula straight to American school districts. The Higher Education unit builds digital tools and course materials for students and faculty at colleges and universities, reaching them through retailers, distribution partners, and its own online store. The Global Professional unit focuses on medical and engineering content for practitioners and institutions. The International division carries K-12 and higher education products into roughly 100 countries, in about 80 languages, through its own distribution channels.

McGraw Hill traces its origins to 1888 and took its present name in October 2022, having previously operated as Mav Holding Corporation. It is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Miscellaneous commercial services
Website
mheducation.com

McGraw Hill GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

McGraw Hill’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.1, in the Neutral zone, down 7.8 points over five sessions.

010051.1Neutral

Down 7.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying34−0.2%+7.3%+7.9%+7.4%
Accumulation117+1.1%+1.3%+3.1%+8.2%
Neutral (current zone)136−1.3%−2.8%−4.3%−10.3%
Distribution14+3.2%+1.2%+2.3%−18.0%
Selling0Not available

Average MH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MH price, zone by zone.Track MH in Gekko

Is McGraw Hill stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

McGraw Hill trades 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.58, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what McGraw Hill shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$21.58

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

37.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$22$13Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MH in Gekko

McGraw Hill insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for McGraw Hill, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MH in Gekko

Buybacks

McGraw Hill has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$50.00M, Jun 11, 2026
Bought back, year ended Mar 31, 2020
$2.33M
As a share of market cap
0.09%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MH.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

McGraw Hill earnings: next date and track record

McGraw Hill reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 6 reports.

4 of 6reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.7%average move across the report
3 of 5reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.5%Aug ’25+31.7%Nov ’25+10.1%Feb ’26−8.1%Jun ’26+12.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
McGraw Hill Q1 FY2027 revenue grew 2.6% YoY to approximately $549M, with recurring revenue up 9.8% representing 77% of total revenue. Adjusted EBITDA reached $207M at a 37.7% margin, up 192bps YoY, with net income of $58M. K-12 literacy programs are exceeding 25-30% capture rate targets. The company reduced gross debt by $646M in FY2026 and expanded into dyslexia screening via Stanford University partnership.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence entering fall selling season with K-12 California ELA approval expected November 2026 and Florida math adoption beginning FY2028. K-12 multi-year Science of Reading adoption cycle and Higher Education Connect stickiness support continued momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.57
est $0.48
+18.7%$549.9M
est $532.0M
+3.4%+12.9%
Jun 11, 2026$0.31
est $0.17
+82.4%$463.7M
est $439.9M
+5.4%−8.1%
Feb 11, 2026$0.28
est $0.09
+211.1%$434.2M
est $410.8M
+5.7%+10.1%
Nov 12, 2025$1.40
est $0.35
+300.0%$669.2M
est $394.5M
+69.6%+31.7%
Aug 14, 2025$0.00
est $0.39
−99.3%$535.7M
est $642.2M
−16.6%−5.5%
May 28, 2025−$1.40
est $0.00
————

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

McGraw Hill stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for McGraw Hill is $17.92, +32.0% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$17.92consensus 12-month target, +32.0% from the last close
Low $15High $20
Buy7
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$19+39.9%
Oct 5BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$17+25.2%
Sep 22BTIGBuy, reiterated$17+25.2%
Sep 22William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 18Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$16+17.8%
−4.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

McGraw Hill market cap and key statistics

McGraw Hill’s market cap is $2.60B, with a P/E ratio of 27.9 and revenue of $2.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.60B
P/E ratio
27.9
Forward P/E
17.5
EPS, TTM
$0.48
Gekko Fair Value
$21.58

Trading

Volume
561,364
Avg volume, 20 days
626,053
52-week high
$18.00
52-week low
$8.95
Shares outstanding
191.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.12B
Profit margin
4.4%
Return on equity
17.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9,860.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±9.9%

McGraw Hill peers

McGraw Hill’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SHOPShopify+3.1%Distribution25.9% above
CTASCintas+0.9%Neutral14.1% above
PYPLPayPal+0.8%Neutral0.8% below
XYZBlock−0.1%Neutral7.5% above
CPAYCorpay−0.7%Neutral17.5% below
FISVFiserv+1.3%Accumulation39.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

McGraw Hill stock FAQ

What is McGraw Hill’s market cap?

McGraw Hill’s market cap is $2.60B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $13.58, with 191.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.9.

What is the McGraw Hill stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for McGraw Hill is $17.92, +32.0% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is McGraw Hill stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate McGraw Hill is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $13.58 is 37.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does McGraw Hill report earnings next?

McGraw Hill is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.72 per share on revenue of $629.3M. McGraw Hill beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 6 reports, moving 13.7% on average across the report.

What is McGraw Hill’s 52-week high and low?

McGraw Hill’s 52-week high is $18.00 and its 52-week low is $8.95; it closed at $13.58 on Oct 12, 2026, +9.0% over the past year.

Is McGraw Hill stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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