Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ADT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ADT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADT in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryADT shares touched a 52-week low of $6.23 this week, extending a decline that leaves the stock down 28.9% over the past year. The move comes alongside the launch of ADT Blu, its DIY security system, on Walmart.com, part of a push into equipment sales and app-based engagement, and follows Q2 2026 results showing 2% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.312 billion and adjusted free cash flow up 48% to $406 million. Commentary this week has also flagged ADT's valuation, with a P/E of 7.5x compared with a Consumer Services industry average of 14.2x, alongside new competitive pressure from Xfinity's entry into home security monitoring.
ADT closed at $6.19, down 3.3% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $7.21 and its 200-day average of $7.24, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 77.3, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price sits 41.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $10.61.
The next earnings date falls on 3 November 2026, 35 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed adjusted EPS of $0.21, matching estimates, with a 3.1% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged a 3.3% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Consensus among 4 analysts stands at 3 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $8.23.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
ADT price vs fair value
Close $6.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.61
ADT quick facts
- Market cap
- $4.95B
- P/E ratio
- 8.9
- Forward P/E
- 6.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.72
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.16B
- Profit margin
- 11.9%
- Dividend yield
- 3.46%
- Beta
- 1.03
- Volume
- 8.39M avg 8.00M
- 1-year return
- −28.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- 50-day average
- $7.21
- 200-day average
- $7.24
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 675.8M
ADT swing-trade checklist
ADT scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $6.19 is below the 50-day ($7.21) and 200-day ($7.24) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
77.3, Buying
Reading 77.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
41.7% below
Price is 41.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ADT stock chart and price history
ADT closed at $6.19 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.15 to $8.89.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −17.0%
- 3 months
- −4.8%
- 6 months
- −4.2%
- 1 year
- −28.0%
The full ADT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ADT in Gekko
Follow ADT through every session
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About ADT
ADT works with homeowners and businesses to keep their properties safe, offering alarm monitoring, fire and smoke detection, video cameras, and systems that control who can enter a building. Its technicians install and watch over these setups around the clock, catching break-ins, fires, carbon monoxide leaks, floods, and unusual temperature changes, as well as responding to medical or personal emergencies. Alongside traditional alarm work, ADT builds smart home features that let people check cameras, lock or unlock doors, tweak thermostats and lights, and set automation routines through an app on their phone or another device.
Its services reach residential customers as well as commercial and multi-location businesses, marketed through brands such as ADT, ADT Pulse, Protection 1, ADT Commercial, and Blue by ADT. Behind these offerings sits a physical footprint of offices, distribution hubs, and monitoring facilities that keep installations running and respond when alarms are triggered, with the business built around long-term monitoring contracts paired with equipment installation.
Based in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT points to roots going back to 1874, though it operated for a time as Prime Security Services Parent, Inc. before switching to the ADT name in 2017. The stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker ADT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Miscellaneous commercial services
- Website
- adt.com
ADT GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ADT’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 77.3, in the Buying zone, down 0.8 points over five sessions.
77.3Buying
Down 0.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 24 | +0.1% | +2.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 202 | +0.7% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral | 403 | 0.0% | −0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 40 | −2.1% | −0.8% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ADT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ADT price, zone by zone.Track ADT in Gekko
Is ADT stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ADT trades 41.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ADT shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$10.61
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
41.7% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ADT in Gekko
ADT insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ADT, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ADT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ADT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADT in Gekko
Buybacks
ADT has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.50B, Mar 2, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $484.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 9.77%
- Trailing four quarters
- $711.9M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ADT.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
ADT earnings: next date and track record
ADT reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.24
- Revenue estimate
- $1.32B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ADT reported Q2 2026 revenue of $1.3 billion (up 2% YoY) with adjusted EPS of $0.23, flat year-over-year. Adjusted free cash flow surged ~50% versus last year, supporting $684 million in shareholder returns in H1. ADT repurchased 29 million shares as Apollo exited its position. Trailing 12-month attrition held at ~13%. Key initiatives include launching ADT Blue (DIY security), transitioning dealers to ADT+ platform, and advancing AI-driven operations.
- Guidance
- Management modestly raised full-year 2026 outlook based on strong H1 performance. Details on specific revenue and earnings targets to be provided by CFO Jeffrey Likosar. Customer pilots for new presence sensing technology expected in fall 2026, with commercial launch planned for early 2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.21 est $0.21 | $1.31B est $1.29B | +3.1% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $0.23 est $0.20 | $1.28B est $1.30B | −14.6% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.23 est $0.22 | $1.30B est $1.30B | −7.6% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.23 est $0.19 | $1.29B est $1.30B | +0.1% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.21 est $0.19 | $1.27B est $1.28B | −0.8% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.20 est $0.19 | $1.26B est $1.26B | +8.8% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.20 est $0.17 | $1.24B est $1.23B | +13.9% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | $0.17 est $0.17 | $1.20B est $1.21B | −10.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ADT stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ADT is $8.23, +33.0% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$8.23consensus 12-month target, +33.0% from the last close
Now $6.19Avg $8.23
Low $7High $9
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | BTIG | — | — |
| Jul 31 | Morgan Stanley | $7.75 | +25.2% |
| Jul 31 | Barclays | $7 | +13.1% |
| Jul 30 | RBC Capital | $9 | +45.4% |
| Jul 20 | RBC Capital | $9 | +45.4% |
+2.8%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ADT seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, ADT averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, ADT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.
ADT market cap and key statistics
ADT’s market cap is $4.95B, with a P/E ratio of 8.9 and revenue of $5.16B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $4.95B
- P/E ratio
- 8.9
- Forward P/E
- 6.3
- EPS, TTM
- $0.72
- Gekko Fair Value
- $10.61
Trading
- Volume
- 8.39M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 8.00M
- 52-week high
- $8.89
- 52-week low
- $6.15
- Shares outstanding
- 675.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.16B
- Profit margin
- 11.9%
- Return on equity
- 17.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +1.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.03
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.46%
ADT stock news this week
Coverage of ADT this week reads positive: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- ADT stock hits 52-week low at 6.23 USDInvesting.com, Sep 28
- How Walmart.com Launch Will Impact ADT (ADT) InvestorsSimply Wall Street, Sep 26
- ADT stock reports 2 percent revenue growth in Q2 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- ADT (ADT) Stock May Be Cheap Despite Its Earnings FocusWebull, Sep 25
- Xfinity Is Turning WiFi Into Home Security. ADT and Brinks Should Pay AttentionInc.com, Sep 22
- ADT Price Today: ADT Inc. Stock Price, Quote & Chart | MEXCmexc.co, Sep 22
ADT peers
ADT’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SHOPShopify | Neutral | 5.0% above |
| CTASCintas | Neutral | 11.5% above |
| PYPLPayPal | Accumulation | 4.6% below |
| XYZBlock | Accumulation | 2.5% above |
| CPAYCorpay | Accumulation | 18.1% below |
| FISVFiserv | Buying | 40.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
ADT stock FAQ
What is ADT’s market cap?
ADT’s market cap is $4.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $6.19, with 675.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.9.
What is the ADT stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ADT is $8.23, +33.0% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ADT stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ADT is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $6.19 is 41.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ADT report earnings next?
ADT is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.24 per share on revenue of $1.32B. ADT beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.
What is ADT’s 52-week high and low?
ADT’s 52-week high is $8.89 and its 52-week low is $6.15; it closed at $6.19 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $10.39 on Nov 9, 2021.
Is ADT stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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