Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NSSC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NSSC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NSSC in Gekko
NASDAQ: NSSC
NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$36.20+0.06 (+0.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's news centers on NAPCO's fiscal fourth-quarter results, with revenue up 10% to $55.81 million and GAAP net income rising 52.7% to $17.77 million, alongside continued analyst support: 6 of 8 analysts maintain a Buy rating, and MarketBeat cites a consensus 12-month price target of $50.40. Also disclosed was a proposed $20 million class action settlement covering NAPCO shares purchased between November 7, 2022, and August 18, 2023. Insider sales of 523,962 shares were reported alongside the Buy ratings.
NSSC closed at $36.20, little changed on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $36.91 and 200-day average of $39.42, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-year return stands at -15.6% and its six-month return at -17.7%, though the three-month return is 0.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 58.3, placing NSSC in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $38.28, putting the current price 5.4% below that level.
NSSC reports earnings on 2 November 2026, before the open, 21 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; its last reaction to earnings was -10.5%, against an average absolute reaction of 13.6% across prior reports. Analyst consensus from 4 firms rates the stock Buy with a target of $50.67, implying 40% upside versus the current price. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +6.1% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows, leaving seasonality and the approaching earnings date as the main points worth watching.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
NAPCO Security Technologies price vs fair value
Close $36.20200-day averageGekko Fair Value $38.28
NAPCO Security Technologies quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.29B
- P/E ratio
- 29.3
- Forward P/E
- 24.7
- EPS, TTM
- $1.20
- Revenue, TTM
- $202.3M
- Profit margin
- 21.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.65%
- Beta
- 1.50
- Volume
- 226,609 avg 322,486
- 1-year return
- −15.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
- 50-day average
- $36.91
- 200-day average
- $39.42
- Next earnings
- Nov 2 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 35.77M
NAPCO Security Technologies swing-trade checklist
NAPCO Security Technologies scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $36.20 is below the 50-day ($36.91) and 200-day ($39.42) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.3, Neutral
Reading 58.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
5.4% below
Price is 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 21 days
Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
NAPCO Security Technologies stock chart and price history
NAPCO Security Technologies closed at $36.20 on Oct 12, 2026, −15.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.91 to $51.77.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.2%
- 3 months
- +0.8%
- 6 months
- −17.7%
- 1 year
- −15.6%
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About NAPCO Security Technologies
NAPCO Security Technologies designs, manufactures and distributes electronic security equipment used to protect buildings and property. Its offerings span access control systems, intrusion and fire alarms, door locks and video surveillance gear, including card and biometric readers, control panels, keypads, cellular communication modules, locking hardware and surveillance cameras. These products are used by businesses, homeowners, schools and other institutions, industrial sites, and government bodies, and the company is also known for supplying security equipment tailored to educational settings.
Beyond its own manufacturing, the company buys in and resells complementary items such as readers, cameras and computer-based components that work alongside its access control and video systems, along with related peripherals made by other manufacturers. It reaches the market mainly through independent distributors, security dealers and professional installers rather than selling directly to end users.
NAPCO Security Technologies was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NSSC.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Miscellaneous commercial services
- Website
- napcosecurity.com
NAPCO Security Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
NAPCO Security Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.3, in the Neutral zone, up 0.9 points over five sessions.
58.3Neutral
Up 0.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 34 | +0.1% | +3.1% |
| Accumulation | 248 | +0.1% | +0.9% |
| Neutral (current zone) | 338 | 0.0% | −0.6% |
| Distribution | 49 | +1.8% | +2.8% |
| Selling | 13 | +3.7% | +20.5% |
Average NSSC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NSSC price, zone by zone.Track NSSC in Gekko
Is NAPCO Security Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
NAPCO Security Technologies trades 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.28, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what NAPCO Security Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$38.28
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
5.4% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.1% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NSSC in Gekko
NAPCO Security Technologies insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NAPCO Security Technologies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NSSC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NSSC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NSSC in Gekko
Buybacks
NAPCO Security Technologies has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $18.79M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.45%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NSSC.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
NAPCO Security Technologies earnings: next date and track record
NAPCO Security Technologies reports on Nov 2, 2026, before the open (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 2, 2026
Expected before the open, 21 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.38
- Revenue estimate
- $52.05M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- NSSC reported fiscal Q3 2026 total sales growth of nearly 12% year-over-year, driven by recurring service revenue growth exceeding 15% YoY. Recurring revenue now represents approximately 51% of total sales with an annualized run rate exceeding $100 million. Recurring revenue gross margins exceeded 90%, demonstrating strong operating leverage and business model effectiveness through disciplined cost management.
- Guidance
- Management highlighted strong visibility and predictability from recurring revenue streams. The annualized recurring revenue run rate surpassing $100 million signals continued momentum, though specific forward-looking revenue or earnings targets were not provided in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | $0.39 est $0.34 | $49.17M est $49.26M | −10.5% |
| Feb 2, 2026 | $0.37 est $0.31 | $48.17M est $47.80M | +18.6% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.30 | $49.17M est $47.58M | −6.3% |
| Aug 25, 2025 | $0.33 est $0.27 | $50.72M est $45.87M | +18.0% |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.30 est $0.27 | $43.96M est $44.26M | +4.0% |
| Feb 3, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.34 | $42.93M est $46.80M | −28.0% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $0.29 est $0.33 | $44.00M est $47.73M | −6.9% |
| Aug 26, 2024 | $0.36 est $0.35 | $50.33M est $50.28M | −16.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
NAPCO Security Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NAPCO Security Technologies is $50.67, +40.0% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$50.67consensus 12-month target, +40.0% from the last close
Now $36.20Avg $50.67
Low $49High $55
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Lake Street | $50 | +38.1% |
| Aug 25 | Lake Street | $50 | +38.1% |
| Aug 24 | Needham | $49 | +35.4% |
| Aug 24 | TD Cowen | $55 | +51.9% |
| Aug 24 | D.A. Davidson | $52 | +43.6% |
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
NAPCO Security Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, NAPCO Security Technologies averaged +6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, NSSC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.
NAPCO Security Technologies market cap and key statistics
NAPCO Security Technologies’s market cap is $1.29B, with a P/E ratio of 29.3 and revenue of $202.3M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.29B
- P/E ratio
- 29.3
- Forward P/E
- 24.7
- EPS, TTM
- $1.20
- Gekko Fair Value
- $38.28
Trading
- Volume
- 226,609
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 322,486
- 52-week high
- $51.77
- 52-week low
- $33.91
- Shares outstanding
- 35.77M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $202.3M
- Profit margin
- 21.3%
- Return on equity
- 23.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +52.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.50
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.65%
NAPCO Security Technologies stock news this week
Coverage of NAPCO Security Technologies this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Insiders sold 523,962 shares while 6 analysts rated Napco Security Technologies stock a BuyAD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- MarketBeat reports USD 50.40 target for Napco Security Technologies stockAD HOC NEWS, Oct 7
- Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP Announces Proposed Settlement in the NAPCO Securities Litigationwww.marketscreener.com, Oct 7
- NAPCO Security Technologies Q1 2027 Earnings Date and EstimatesMarketBeat, Oct 6
- NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:NSSC) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $50.40 According to BrokeragesMarketBeat, Oct 5
NAPCO Security Technologies peers
NAPCO Security Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SHOPShopify | Distribution | 25.9% above |
| CTASCintas | Neutral | 14.1% above |
| PYPLPayPal | Neutral | 0.8% below |
| XYZBlock | Neutral | 7.5% above |
| CPAYCorpay | Neutral | 17.5% below |
| FISVFiserv | Accumulation | 39.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
NAPCO Security Technologies stock FAQ
What is NAPCO Security Technologies’s market cap?
NAPCO Security Technologies’s market cap is $1.29B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $36.20, with 35.77M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 29.3.
What is the NAPCO Security Technologies stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NAPCO Security Technologies is $50.67, +40.0% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is NAPCO Security Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate NAPCO Security Technologies is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $36.20 is 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.28. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does NAPCO Security Technologies report earnings next?
NAPCO Security Technologies is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, before the market opens (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $52.05M. NAPCO Security Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.6% on average across the report.
What is NAPCO Security Technologies’s 52-week high and low?
NAPCO Security Technologies’s 52-week high is $51.77 and its 52-week low is $33.91; it closed at $36.20 on Oct 12, 2026, −15.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $58.09 on Aug 19, 2024.
Is NAPCO Security Technologies stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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